Arid Land Geography ›› 2026, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (4): 740-755.doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.460
• “Dual Carbon”Research • Previous Articles Next Articles
BAO Yubin1(
), ZHANG Huijuan1, YANG Xueru1, WANG Yaozong2, LI Qiaomin1, WANG Ke1, HU Sheng3
Received:2025-08-03
Revised:2025-09-09
Online:2026-04-25
Published:2026-04-28
BAO Yubin, ZHANG Huijuan, YANG Xueru, WANG Yaozong, LI Qiaomin, WANG Ke, HU Sheng. Spatiotemporal variation and potential zoning diagnosis of ecosystem carbon sinks in Ningxia[J].Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(4): 740-755.
Tab. 1
Calculation formulas for spatiotemporal analysis methods of carbon sinks"
| 时空分析方法 | 公式 | 基本原理及计算公式 |
|---|---|---|
| Theil-Sen | n为研究年数;Ci和Cj分别为第i年和第j年的碳储量值;β为趋势度,β>0时,表示呈上升趋势,β<0时,表示呈现下降趋势 | |
| Mann-Kendall | S为检验统计量;Z为标准化后的检验统计量;Var(S)为方差;sgn(Cj-Ci)为逻辑判别函数;当 | |
| Hurst指数 | R(t)=max(Xl,t)-min(Xl,t) | 设时间序列长度为N,将其划分为长度为t的连续子区间(通常t取N/2, N/4, …);Xl,n为累计离差; |
| Cv | Cv为时序数据变异系数; | |
| 空间偏相关分析 | Rxy、Rxz、Ryz分别为x,y,z变量之间的相关系数,采用t显著性检验方法;Rxy,z为控制变量z后、x与y之间的偏相关系数; | |
| 莫兰指数空间自相关分析 | I为莫兰指数;S2为方差值;e为研究对象数目;Yp、Yq分别为p、q栅格单元值; |
Tab. 3
Statistics of carbon sources/sinks by ecosystem type and land-use conversion"
| 变化类型 | 生态系统类型 | 面积/km2 | 碳储量变化/104 t | 碳储量斜率/t·hm-2·a-1 | 决定系数(R2) | 贡献率/% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 碳汇 | 森林 | 3433.3 | 372.23 | 0.58 | 0.64 | 5.89 |
| 草地 | 24868.7 | 2621.04 | 0.41 | 0.60 | 41.49 | |
| 农田 | 14685.1 | 2111.83 | 0.57 | 0.77 | 33.43 | |
| 湿地 | 303.0 | 23.80 | 0.31 | 0.81 | 0.38 | |
| 城镇 | 977.2 | 75.24 | 0.35 | 0.78 | 1.19 | |
| 草地→森林 | 363.9 | 50.48 | 0.60 | 0.76 | 0.80 | |
| 草地→农田 | 1614.7 | 342.80 | 0.96 | 0.91 | 5.43 | |
| 草地→湿地 | 180.1 | 4.81 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.08 | |
| 农田→森林 | 297.5 | 58.15 | 0.79 | 0.73 | 0.92 | |
| 农田→草地 | 3839.1 | 641.76 | 0.68 | 0.66 | 10.16 | |
| 湿地→农田 | 68.9 | 13.03 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.21 | |
| 城镇→草地 | 23.8 | 2.45 | 0.41 | 0.75 | 0.04 | |
| 碳源 | 草地→城镇 | 725.1 | -50.97 | -0.25 | 0.56 | 62.20 |
| 农田→城镇 | 568.6 | -24.69 | -0.26 | 0.37 | 30.13 | |
| 农田→湿地 | 137.0 | -5.52 | -0.34 | 0.56 | 6.74 | |
| 森林→城镇 | 15.7 | -0.74 | -0.15 | 0.16 | 0.90 | |
| 湿地→城镇 | 9.1 | -0.03 | -0.07 | 0.04 | 0.03 |
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