1980—2018年银川市生态系统服务价值评价及驱动力分析

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000–6060.2021.02.26

Abstract

Abstract:

Accurate ecosystem service value (ESV) evaluation and its driving force analysis relate to regional ecological security and economic development. Based on land-use data of various districts and counties in Yinchuan City, Ningxia Province, China from 1980 to 2018, combined with the change rate, dynamic attitude, sensitivity, and correlation, this study calculated the ESV in Yinchuan and applied GeoDetector to analyze the driving factors. The results show that from 1980 to 2018, the total ESV of different ecological services decreased by 0.755×10⁹ Yuan·km^-2. The change range of ESV of most ecological services is small, and the hydrological regulation value is the highest, and the change is significant. The dynamic attitude of water resources supply is the greatest, showing an increasing trend. The sensitivity of grassland and water ESV is strong, and the relationship between water and total ESV is the strongest. From the viewpoint of distribution, the ESV in Lingwu City is the highest and that in Jinfeng County is the smallest. The principal drivers of single-factors are GDP and DEM. In the multifactor interaction drive, GDP ∩ temperature and GDP ∩ DEM contribute most to the ESV distribution in Yinchuan. The distribution of ESV in Yinchuan is predominantly influenced by the interaction of human and natural factors. This study used high-resolution data and various evaluation indicators to account for the ESV of Yinchuan with long-term series in detail. The study evenly selected six time-nodes throughout the time series to highlight the meticulous features of ESV changes of Yinchuan. By exploring the factors changing the ESV, the interaction between the factors was quantified using GeoDetector, indicating that this tool is critical for the ecological environment. This study could provide reliable scientific reference and decision data for the ecological environmental protection and sustainable development of Yinchuan.

Key words: ecosystem service value, driving force analysis, GeoDetector, Yinchuan City

WANG Bo,YANG Taibao. Value evaluation and driving force analysis of ecosystem services in Yinchuan City from 1980 to 2018[J].Arid Land Geography, 2021, 44(2): 552-564.

Figures/Tables 13

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服务类别	单项服务	林地	草地	耕地	水体	裸地
供给服务	食物生产	6.472	5.450	42.854	22.313	0.000
	原料生产	14.648	8.005	5.178	12.434	0.000
	水资源供给	7.494	4.428	-71.537	185.314	0.000
调节服务	气体调节	48.032	28.104	34.814	45.477	0.681
	气候调节	144.095	74.262	17.986	100.321	0.000
	净化环境	43.603	24.527	5.314	155.847	3.407
	水文调节	114.118	54.334	75.965	2154.100	1.022
支持服务	土壤保持	58.592	34.235	7.290	55.185	0.681
	维持养分循环	4.428	2.725	5.995	4.258	0.000
	生物多样性	53.482	31.169	6.609	177.479	0.681
文化服务	美学景观	23.505	13.796	2.861	112.755	0.341
	合计	518.469	281.035	133.329	3025.483	6.813

判据	交互作用
q(X₁ ∩ X₂)<min[q(X₁),q(X₂)]	非线性减弱
min[q(X₁), q(X₂)]<q(X₁ ∩ X₂)<max[q(X₁), q(X₂)]	单因子非线性减弱
q(X₁ ∩ X₂)>max[q(X₁), q(X₂)]	双因子增强
q(X₁ ∩ X₂)=q(X₁) + q(X₂)	独立
q(X₁ ∩ X₂)>q(X₁) + q(X₂)	非线性增强

服务项目	1980年	1990年	1995年	2000年	2005年	2010年	2015年	2018年
食物生产	1.066	1.067	1.199	1.277	1.216	1.225	1.245	1.182
原料生产	0.446	0.445	0.438	0.445	0.440	0.442	0.438	0.425
水资源供给	-0.691	-0.750	-0.978	-1.063	-0.949	-0.976	-1.013	-0.935
气体调节	1.877	1.877	1.908	1.964	1.920	1.930	1.925	1.858
气候调节	3.569	3.563	3.390	3.403	3.397	3.412	3.355	3.279
净化环境	1.527	1.491	1.450	1.476	1.483	1.476	1.459	1.423
水文调节	9.384	8.820	9.260	9.841	9.863	9.752	9.819	9.491
土壤保持	1.620	1.614	1.533	1.540	1.537	1.542	1.516	1.482
维持养分循环	0.229	0.229	0.241	0.251	0.243	0.245	0.246	0.236
生物多样性	1.813	1.774	1.721	1.756	1.760	1.757	1.738	1.695
美学景观	0.892	0.865	0.847	0.870	0.874	0.870	0.863	0.841
合计	21.732	20.995	21.009	21.760	21.784	21.675	21.591	20.977

土地类型	1980—1990年	1990—1995年	1995—2000年	2000—2005年	2005—2010年	2010—2015年	2015—2018年	1980—2018年
林地	-0.286	-1.768	-4.663	6.348	0.681	-1.814	-1.878	-0.087
草地	0.981	-10.716	-0.292	-1.560	0.624	-2.881	-1.488	-0.393
耕地	0.659	17.983	7.754	-5.989	0.949	2.428	-5.770	0.462
水体	-10.268	7.120	8.782	1.974	-2.285	1.295	-3.185	0.088
裸地	-1.172	-4.188	-12.051	6.332	-7.601	-4.544	-4.158	-0.702

服务项目	变化动态度/%	等级	趋势
食物生产	0.295	2	增加
原料生产	-0.118	6	减少
水资源供给	0.917	1	增加
气体调节	-0.023	5	减少
气候调节	-0.213	10	减少
净化环境	-0.177	9	减少
水文调节	0.044	4	增加
土壤保持	-0.223	11	减少
维持养分循环	0.086	3	增加
生物多样性	-0.170	8	减少
美学景观	-0.146	7	减少

Value evaluation and driving force analysis of ecosystem services in Yinchuan City from 1980 to 2018

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土地类型	1980年	1990年	1995年	2000年	2005年	2010年	2015年	2018年
林地	±0.126	±0.130	±0.127	±0.117	±0.125	±0.126	±0.124	±0.126
草地	±0.384	±0.401	±0.358	±0.344	±0.339	±0.342	±0.334	±0.339
耕地	±0.116	±0.121	±0.143	±0.148	±0.139	±0.141	±0.145	±0.141
水体	±0.370	±0.343	±0.367	±0.386	±0.393	±0.386	±0.393	±0.391
裸地	±0.005	±0.005	±0.005	±0.004	±0.005	±0.004	±0.004	±0.004

土地类型	1980年	1990年	1995年	2000年	2005年	2010年	2015年	2018年
林地	9.663	9.681	9.670	9.624	9.657	9.664	9.656	9.662
草地	10.834	10.913	10.717	10.656	10.630	10.647	10.608	10.629
耕地	9.619	9.641	9.739	9.765	9.724	9.734	9.752	9.732
水体	10.770	10.651	10.761	10.845	10.877	10.845	10.875	10.869
裸地	9.114	9.115	9.114	9.110	9.111	9.110	9.109	9.109

服务项目	林地	草地	耕地	水体	裸地
文化服务	0.364	0.559*	-0.346	0.169	0.465
供给服务	0.613*	0.864**	-0.903**	-0.404	0.721**
调节服务	-0.203	-0.438	0.629*	0.903**	-0.413
支持服务	0.457	0.889**	-0.656**	-0.352	0.790**
总价值	0.012	-0.073	0.304	0.721**	-0.096

	DEM	坡度	距离铁路距离	距离公路距离	距离水路距离	NDVI	降水量	气温	人口密度	GDP
DEM	0.151
坡度	0.183	0.074
距离铁路距离	0.184	0.132	0.028
距离公路距离	0.158	0.084	0.047	0.016
距离水路距离	0.164	0.131	0.102	0.072	0.061
NDVI	0.174	0.155	0.075	0.058	0.096	0.042
降水量	0.208	0.144	0.103	0.081	0.131	0.106	0.048
气温	0.168	0.186	0.185	0.152	0.161	0.174	0.226	0.141
人口密度	0.205	0.178	0.123	0.107	0.145	0.106	0.150	0.222	0.090
GDP	0.304	0.262	0.207	0.186	0.231	0.212	0.230	0.320	0.203	0.173

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