Arid Land Geography ›› 2022, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (4): 1254-1267.doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2021.436
• Regional Development • Previous Articles Next Articles
ZHANG Kaili1(),FENG Rongrong1,LIU Tan2,ZHANG Zhicheng1,HAN Jianing1,LIU Kang1,3()
Received:
2021-09-27
Revised:
2021-12-13
Online:
2022-07-25
Published:
2022-08-11
Contact:
Kang LIU
E-mail:202010238@stumail.nwu.edu.cn;20132381@nwu.edu.cn
ZHANG Kaili,FENG Rongrong,LIU Tan,ZHANG Zhicheng,HAN Jianing,LIU Kang. Coordination and obstacle factors of urbanization and ecosystem service value in the Yellow River Basin[J].Arid Land Geography, 2022, 45(4): 1254-1267.
Tab. 1
Comprehensive evaluation index system for urbanization"
准则层 | 指标层 | 单位 | 权重 |
---|---|---|---|
人口城市化 | 人口密度 | 人∙km-2 | 0.041 |
城镇人口密度 | 人∙km-2 | 0.054 | |
非农人口比重 | % | 0.022 | |
空间城市化 | 建成区占土地总面积百分比 | % | 0.063 |
每万人的市区面积 | km2 | 0.070 | |
人均铺装道路面积 | m2 | 0.039 | |
人均绿地面积 | 人∙m-2 | 0.051 | |
建成区绿化覆盖率 | % | 0.013 | |
经济城市化 | 人均国内生产总值 | 元 | 0.063 |
二、三产业占GDP比重 | % | 0.005 | |
限额以上工业总产值 | 104元 | 0.103 | |
固定资产投资总额 | 104元 | 0.088 | |
人均财政收入 | 元 | 0.080 | |
职工平均工资 | 元 | 0.059 | |
社会城市化 | 人均消费品零售总额 | 元 | 0.075 |
中小学生在校人数 | 104人 | 0.035 | |
人均公共图书馆藏书 | 册 | 0.045 | |
万人拥有医疗床位 | 张 | 0.016 | |
万人互联网用户 | 104人 | 0.076 |
Tab. 2
Research models and indicators"
研究模型 | 计算公式 | 模型释义 | 意义 |
---|---|---|---|
极值标准化 | | Xmj为系统m,指标j归一化后的值;xmj为各系统的原始取值;max(xmj)与min(xmj)分别为各系统j个指标的最大值和最小值 | 消除数据间屏蔽效应和量纲差异 |
熵权法 | | Xpj为第p个城市j指标的归一化值;Wj为各指标权重; | 客观确定指标权重 |
综合发展指数 | | 当m取E时, | 获得子系统的综合效益 |
欧式距离耦合度 | | Cit为两系统耦合度,以w1t、 | Cit取值在(0, 1)之间,Cit值越大,说明系统实际耦合协调状态与理想状态距离更贴合,耦合度越高 |
耦合协调度 | | CCDit为协调度;Tit为耦合协调发展水平指数,取 | 具体分级见 |
Moran’I检验 | | I为全局莫兰指数,取值在(-1, 1)之间,大于0代表正相关,即高值与高值临近,小于0代表负相关,即高值与低值临近;wij为空间权重矩阵;xi、xj分别为要素i、j的属性值; | 空间自相关检验 |
局部Geary指数 | | C为吉尔里指数(Geary)指数,取值在(0, 2)之间,大于1表示负相关,小于1表示正相关,一般认为其比莫兰指数对局部空间相关更为敏感; | 局部空间自相关检验,识别空间集聚模式 |
障碍度 | | Qj为障碍度;Wj为因子贡献度,一般用指标权重表示;Ij为指标偏离度,指标实际值与最优值之间差距,用1与标准化值Xij之差表示[ | 识别影响两系统耦合协调关系的主导障碍因素 |
Tab. 3
Judgment criteria for coupling relationship"
协调大类 | 耦合协调度 | 对比关系 | 亚类型 |
---|---|---|---|
严重失调型 | 0.0≤CCD≤0.2 | U-E>0.1 | 严重失调ESV滞后型 |
|E-U|≤0.1 | 严重失调同步型 | ||
E-U>0.1 | 严重失调城市化滞后型 | ||
轻度失调型 | 0.2<CCD≤0.4 | U-E>0.1 | 轻度失调ESV滞后型 |
|E-U|≤0.1 | 轻度失调同步型 | ||
E-U>0.1 | 轻度失调城市化滞后型 | ||
轻度耦合协调 | 0.4<CCD≤0.6 | U-E>0.1 | 轻度耦合协调ESV滞后型 |
|E-U|≤0.1 | 轻度耦合协调同步型 | ||
E-U>0.1 | 轻度耦合协调城市化滞后型 | ||
良好耦合协调 | 0.6<CCD≤0.8 | U-E>0.1 | 良好耦合协调ESV滞后型 |
|E-U|≤0.1 | 良好耦合协调同步型 | ||
E-U>0.1 | 良好耦合协调城市化滞后型 | ||
优质耦合协调 | CCD>0.8 | U-E>0.1 | 优质耦合协调ESV滞后型 |
|E-U|≤0.1 | 优质耦合协调同步型 | ||
E-U>0.1 | 优质耦合协调城市化滞后型 |
Tab. 4
Change of land use area from 1995 to 2018"
土地利用面积变化 | 年份 | 耕地 | 林地 | 草地 | 水体 | 湿地 | 建筑用地 | 未利用地 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
土地利用面积/105 hm2 | 1995 | 348.65 | 121.75 | 369.54 | 3.75 | 11.59 | 36.39 | 77.50 |
2005 | 348.25 | 129.00 | 353.46 | 4.00 | 13.00 | 41.31 | 80.16 | |
2015 | 341.95 | 129.15 | 348.40 | 4.65 | 12.35 | 54.34 | 78.31 | |
2018 | 337.29 | 129.34 | 348.32 | 4.99 | 14.04 | 58.47 | 76.62 | |
变化量/105 hm2 | 1995—2005 | -0.40 | 7.25 | -16.08 | 0.25 | 1.41 | 4.92 | 2.66 |
2005—2015 | -6.30 | 0.15 | -5.06 | 0.65 | -0.65 | 13.03 | -1.85 | |
2015—2018 | -4.66 | 0.19 | -0.08 | 0.34 | 1.69 | 4.13 | -1.69 | |
1995—2018 | -11.36 | 7.59 | -21.22 | 1.24 | 2.45 | 22.08 | -0.88 | |
变化率/% | 1995—2005 | -0.11 | 5.95 | -4.35 | 6.67 | 12.17 | 13.52 | 3.43 |
2005—2015 | -1.81 | 0.12 | -1.43 | 16.25 | -5.00 | 31.54 | -2.31 | |
2015—2018 | -1.36 | 0.15 | -0.02 | 7.31 | 13.68 | 7.60 | -2.16 | |
1995—2018 | -3.26 | 6.23 | -5.74 | 33.07 | 21.14 | 60.68 | -1.14 |
Tab. 5
Ecosystem service value of different landscape types from 1995 to 2018"
ESV | 年份 | 耕地 | 林地 | 草地 | 水体 | 湿地 | 未利用地 | 汇总 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ESV/109元 | 1995 | 156.76 | 183.79 | 293.68 | 9.91 | 82.92 | 1.09 | 728.15 |
2000 | 158.98 | 195.16 | 283.86 | 9.56 | 84.40 | 1.08 | 733.04 | |
2005 | 157.27 | 193.59 | 282.20 | 10.04 | 88.34 | 1.08 | 732.52 | |
2010 | 156.33 | 201.44 | 293.60 | 12.90 | 78.60 | 1.04 | 743.91 | |
2015 | 154.76 | 198.64 | 288.63 | 12.67 | 80.46 | 0.99 | 736.15 | |
2018 | 152.32 | 198.99 | 304.99 | 13.23 | 90.58 | 1.09 | 761.20 | |
变化量/109元 | 1995—2000 | 2.22 | 11.37 | -9.82 | -0.35 | 1.48 | -0.01 | 4.89 |
2000—2005 | -1.71 | -1.57 | -1.66 | 0.48 | 3.94 | 0.00 | -0.52 | |
2005—2010 | -0.94 | 7.85 | 11.40 | 2.86 | -9.74 | -0.04 | 11.39 | |
2010—2015 | -1.57 | -2.80 | -4.97 | -0.23 | 1.86 | -0.05 | -7.76 | |
2015—2018 | -2.44 | 0.35 | 16.36 | 0.56 | 10.12 | 0.10 | 25.05 | |
1995—2018 | -4.44 | 15.20 | 11.31 | 3.32 | 7.66 | 0.00 | 33.05 | |
变化率/% | 1995—2000 | 1.42 | 6.19 | -3.34 | -3.53 | 1.78 | -0.92 | 0.67 |
2000—2005 | -1.08 | -0.80 | -0.58 | 5.02 | 4.67 | 0.00 | -0.07 | |
2005—2010 | -0.60 | 4.05 | 4.04 | 28.49 | -11.03 | -3.70 | 1.55 | |
2010—2015 | -1.00 | -1.39 | -1.69 | -1.78 | 2.37 | -4.81 | -1.04 | |
2015—2018 | -1.58 | 0.18 | 5.67 | 4.42 | 12.58 | 10.10 | 3.40 | |
1995—2018 | -2.83 | 8.27 | 3.85 | 33.50 | 9.24 | 0.00 | 4.54 |
Tab. 8
Urbanization and ESV system criterion-level obstacles"
年份 | 城市化系统/% | ESV系统/% | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
人口城市化 | 空间城市化 | 经济城市化 | 社会城市化 | 供给服务 | 调节服务 | 文化服务 | ||
1995 | 10.25 | 22.82 | 42.23 | 24.70 | 23.82 | 59.75 | 16.43 | |
2000 | 10.47 | 22.76 | 42.30 | 24.47 | 24.00 | 59.42 | 16.58 | |
2005 | 10.53 | 22.95 | 41.93 | 24.58 | 24.10 | 59.29 | 16.61 | |
2010 | 10.59 | 23.83 | 40.78 | 24.80 | 24.20 | 59.29 | 16.50 | |
2015 | 10.93 | 25.44 | 39.17 | 24.47 | 24.21 | 59.28 | 16.51 | |
2018 | 11.13 | 27.24 | 38.04 | 23.59 | 24.49 | 59.03 | 16.49 |
Tab. 9
Main obstacle factors and their degree of obstacle"
年份 | ESV系统/% | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
原料生产 | 气候调节 | 净化环境 | 水文调节 | 美学景观 | |
1995 | 18.46 | 19.89 | 15.87 | 13.89 | 16.43 |
2000 | 18.60 | 20.02 | 16.03 | 13.19 | 16.58 |
2005 | 18.68 | 20.12 | 16.05 | 12.89 | 16.61 |
2010 | 18.60 | 20.01 | 16.01 | 13.03 | 16.50 |
2015 | 18.62 | 20.04 | 16.02 | 12.98 | 16.51 |
2018 | 18.64 | 20.05 | 15.97 | 12.68 | 16.49 |
年份 | 城市化系统/% | ||||
限额以上工业总产值 | 固定资产投资总额 | 人均财政收入 | 人均消费品零售总额 | 万人互联网用户 | |
1995 | 11.06 | 9.44 | 8.59 | 7.97 | 8.17 |
2000 | 11.11 | 9.52 | 8.67 | 7.98 | 8.07 |
2005 | 11.11 | 9.55 | 8.77 | 7.88 | 8.15 |
2010 | 10.90 | 9.59 | 9.02 | 7.64 | 8.27 |
2015 | 10.59 | 9.36 | 9.34 | 6.88 | 8.19 |
2018 | 10.58 | 9.03 | 9.90 | 6.70 | 7.24 |
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