陇东黄土高原生态系统服务权衡效应及其驱动因素

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.151

Abstract

Abstract:

Quantifying spatial and temporal changes in ecosystem services and analyzing trade-offs and influencing factors are essential for restoring regional ecological functions. This study focuses on the Longdong Loess Plateau of Gansu Province, China, evaluating four key ecosystem services: water yield, grain provision, soil conservation, and carbon sequestration. The assessment was conducted using the InVEST model, and the Sen+Mann-Kendall method was applied to analyze spatial and temporal change trends of ecosystem services from 2001 to 2020. Trade-off effects among ecosystem services were quantified through correlation analysis and root mean square deviation. Additionally, the geodetector method was used to explore the driving factors of these trade-offs. The findings indicated that: (1) Over the past 20 years, water yield, grain provision, and soil conservation in the Longdong Loess Plateau showed no significant increases, while carbon sequestration demonstrated a notable upward trend. (2) Trade-off effects among ecosystem services exhibited spatial variation. Trade-offs between water yield and grain provision were primarily concentrated in the southeastern region of the Longdong Loess Plateau, while trade-offs between grain provision and soil conservation were distributed in the southern region of the Longdong Loess Plateau, and the degree of trade-offs declined over time. The trends of the degree of trade-offs between grain provision and carbon sequestration showed significant regional increases. (3) The trade-off effects of ecosystem services were influenced by a combination of natural and human factors, with annual precipitation identified as the primary driver. This study provides a scientific basis for regional ecological planning and strategies to enhance ecosystem service quality by addressing trade-off effects.

Key words: trends analysis, trade-offs/synergy, root mean square deviation, geodetector, Longdong Loess Plateau

HUANG Xueyu, XIU Lina, LU Zhixiang. Effects and driving factors of ecosystem service trade-offs in the Longdong Loess Plateau, China[J].Arid Land Geography, 2025, 48(3): 480-493.

Figures/Tables 10

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变化趋势	检验	分级标准
β>0	Z>1.96	显著增加
β>0	∣Z∣<1.96	不显著增加
β=0	∣Z∣<1.96	基本不变
β<0	∣Z∣<1.96	不显著减少
β<0	Z<1.96	显著减少

生态系统服务	年份	自然因素							人为因素
生态系统服务	年份	DEM	土地利用	NDVI	年降水量	坡度	年均气温	土壤类型	GDP	人口密度
产水量与粮食供给	2001	0.241	0.122	0.312	0.829	0.016	0.212	0.067	0.643	0.534
	2010	0.242	0.128	0.393	0.829	0.016	0.207	0.067	0.533	0.508
	2020	0.241	0.175	0.381	0.819	0.016	0.214	0.067	0.407	0.561
产水量与壤保持	2001	0.207	0.177	0.329	0.815	0.062	0.241	0.098	0.653	0.560
	2010	0.205	0.180	0.304	0.815	0.062	0.236	0.098	0.526	0.560
	2020	0.206	0.217	0.279	0.759	0.063	0.239	0.098	0.415	0.611
产水量与固碳	2001	0.309	0.144	0.177	0.569	0.036	0.420	0.089	0.518	0.495
	2010	0.309	0.139	0.195	0.569	0.036	0.426	0.089	0.432	0.490
	2020	0.309	0.131	0.200	0.549	0.036	0.416	0.089	0.298	0.536
粮食供给与土壤保持	2001	0.121	0.091	0.108	0.156	0.050	0.091	0.018	0.114	0.108
	2010	0.122	0.103	0.169	0.156	0.049	0.089	0.018	0.093	0.102
	2020	0.121	0.109	0.130	0.182	0.050	0.089	0.018	0.087	0.093
粮食供给与固碳	2001	0.101	0.310	0.449	0.423	0.026	0.088	0.088	0.336	0.270
	2010	0.101	0.321	0.481	0.424	0.026	0.092	0.088	0.295	0.241
	2020	0.101	0.357	0.457	0.436	0.026	0.104	0.088	0.245	0.268
土壤保持与固碳	2001	0.060	0.286	0.454	0.462	0.054	0.074	0.096	0.356	0.304
	2010	0.059	0.283	0.352	0.462	0.054	0.077	0.096	0.185	0.300
	2020	0.059	0.324	0.352	0.424	0.054	0.088	0.096	0.273	0.352

Effects and driving factors of ecosystem service trade-offs in the Longdong Loess Plateau, China

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