资源依赖性地区生态经济价值时空演变与影响因素研究——以内蒙古县域为例

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.784

Abstract

Abstract:

The construction of ecological civilization is a critical issue in the current era, and research on the spatiotemporal variations of ecological-economic value and its driving factors is essential for achieving coordinated regional economic growth and ecological protection. Using land-use remote sensing monitoring data from 1983 to 2023, this study applies the equivalent factor method to quantitatively assess ecological-economic value at the county scale in Inner Mongolia, China and to analyze its spatial and temporal evolution. Geodetector and geographically weighted regression models are employed to explore the determinants of spatial differentiation in ecological-economic value. The results indicate that: (1) Land-use types in Inner Mongolia changed significantly between 1983 and 2023, with grassland occupying the largest area and serving as the main source of cultivated land conversion. (2) Ecological economic value declined from 66.34 billion yuan in 1983 to 65.04 billion yuan in 2023, representing a total loss of 1.3 billion yuan. Spatially, ecological economic value exhibited a “high in the north and low in the south” and “high in the east and low in the west” distribution pattern. (3) Average annual temperature and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) were the dominant factors influencing ecological-economic value. Temperature showed a negative correlation, while NDVI was positively correlated, increasing from west to east. These findings provide a scientific reference for developing ecological protection policies in Inner Mongolia. Future efforts should emphasize balancing the transformation among different land-use types to promote the synergistic advancement of economic development and ecological protection.

Key words: ecological-economic value, ecological value equivalent, spatio-temporal analysis, geographically weighted regression, Inner Mongolia

LI Wenlong, GUO Jing, LIN Haiying, PAN Xia. Spatio-temporal evolution of ecological-economic values in resource-dependent regions and influencing factors: A case study of Inner Mongolia counties[J].Arid Land Geography, 2025, 48(10): 1855-1865.

Figures/Tables 13

Fig. 1

Tab. 1

Tab. 2

Ecological value equivalent and ecological-economic values of Inner Mongolia counties"

县域单元	生态价值当量/10⁴	生态经济价值/10⁸元	县域单元	生态价值当量/10⁴	生态经济价值/10⁸元	县域单元	生态价值当量/10⁴	生态经济价值/10⁸元
阿巴嘎旗	108.99	14.27	杭锦旗	59.22	7.75	土默特左旗	13.40	1.75
阿尔山市	61.59	8.06	和林格尔县	14.98	1.96	托克托县	5.28	0.69
阿拉善右旗	41.31	5.41	红山区	1.92	0.25	翁牛特旗	47.95	6.28
阿拉善左旗	108.45	14.20	化德县	8.62	1.13	乌达区	0.64	0.08
阿鲁科尔沁旗	70.73	9.26	回民区	0.95	0.12	乌拉特后旗	60.20	7.88
阿荣旗	95.49	12.50	霍林郭勒市	2.80	0.37	乌拉特前旗	34.97	4.58
敖汉旗	34.88	4.57	集宁区	0.34	0.04	乌拉特中旗	92.76	12.14
巴林右旗	46.76	6.12	九原区	3.63	0.48	乌兰浩特市	11.47	1.50
巴林左旗	34.94	4.57	喀喇沁旗	17.90	2.34	乌审旗	34.98	4.58
白云鄂博矿区	1.31	0.17	开鲁县	17.31	2.27	五原县	8.17	1.07
察哈尔右翼后旗	14.69	1.92	科尔沁区	14.53	1.90	武川县	21.86	2.86
察哈尔右翼前旗	10.46	1.37	科尔沁右翼前旗	105.40	13.80	西乌珠穆沁旗	115.26	15.09
察哈尔右翼中旗	16.51	2.16	科尔沁右翼中旗	68.36	8.95	锡林浩特市	61.87	8.10
陈巴尔虎旗	96.26	12.60	科尔沁左翼后旗	55.10	7.21	镶黄旗	20.84	2.73
达尔罕茂明安联合旗	74.42	9.74	科尔沁左翼中旗	35.86	4.69	新巴尔虎右旗	140.35	18.37
达拉特旗	33.34	4.37	克什克腾旗	100.54	13.16	新巴尔虎左旗	116.12	15.20
磴口县	8.05	1.05	库伦旗	18.60	2.44	兴和县	13.58	1.78
东河区	2.12	0.28	昆都仑区	1.15	0.15	牙克石市	246.07	32.22
东胜区	9.75	1.28	凉城县	17.59	2.30	伊金霍洛旗	23.16	3.03
东乌珠穆沁旗	247.13	32.35	林西县	17.94	2.35	玉泉区	0.56	0.07
多伦县	17.47	2.29	临河区	7.47	0.98	元宝山区	4.30	0.56
额尔古纳市	240.88	31.54	满洲里市	3.08	0.40	扎赉诺尔区	1.07	0.14
额济纳旗	98.25	12.86	莫力达瓦达斡尔族自治旗	62.62	8.20	扎赉特旗	67.82	8.88
鄂伦春自治旗	493.06	64.55	奈曼旗	31.33	4.10	扎兰屯市	152.63	19.98
鄂托克旗	74.62	9.77	宁城县	23.87	3.13	扎鲁特旗	93.17	12.20
鄂托克前旗	40.33	5.28	清水河县	12.41	1.63	正蓝旗	40.47	5.30
鄂温克族自治旗	130.94	17.14	赛罕区	4.11	0.54	正镶白旗	24.04	3.15
二连浩特市	14.79	1.94	商都县	15.01	1.97	准格尔旗	31.37	4.11
丰镇市	10.03	1.31	石拐区	4.02	0.53	卓资县	14.17	1.86
根河市	181.69	23.79	四子王旗	96.23	12.60	康巴什区	1.61	0.21
固阳县	19.86	2.60	苏尼特右旗	89.06	11.66	新城区	3.67	0.48
海勃湾区	1.53	0.20	苏尼特左旗	138.99	18.20	青山区	1.15	0.15
海拉尔区	7.43	0.97	太仆寺旗	12.45	1.63	松山区	28.02	3.67
海南区	3.61	0.47	突泉县	23.86	3.12
杭锦后旗	5.25	0.69	土默特右旗	10.04	1.31

Tab. 2

Tab. 3

Tab. 4

Fig. 2

Fig. 3

Tab. 5

Tab. 6

Tab. 7

Tab. 8

Tab. 9

Fig. 4

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生态价值当量	Costanza （1997年）	谢高地（2002年）	谢高地（2007年）
林地	1.00	1.00	1.00
草地	0.25	0.42	0.42
耕地	0.09	0.20	0.28
湿地	2.35	2.41	1.95
河流湖泊	0.97	4.99	1.61
荒漠	0.00	0.02	0.05

年份	耕地		林地		草地		湿地		河流湖泊		荒漠
年份	面积/km²	占比/%	面积/km²	占比/%	面积/km²	占比/%	面积/km²	占比/%	面积/km²	占比/%	面积/km²	占比/%
1983	99895	8.99	168208	15.14	541038	48.69	28368	2.55	9177	0.83	264434	23.80
1993	103272	9.30	167587	15.09	538173	48.45	28014	2.52	8986	0.81	264687	23.83
2003	113616	10.23	163772	14.75	530198	47.76	26360	2.37	9376	0.84	266761	24.03
2013	118926	10.71	178664	16.09	471153	42.43	51214	4.61	8248	0.74	282219	25.42
2023	113834	10.28	165313	14.93	526151	47.53	25751	2.33	9363	0.85	266672	24.09

年份	生态经济价值	耕地	林地	草地	湿地	河流湖泊	荒漠	合计
1983	价值量/10⁸元	36.62	220.22	297.50	72.42	19.34	17.31	663.41
1983	占比/%	5.52	33.19	44.84	10.92	2.92	2.61	100.00
1993	价值量/10⁸元	37.86	219.40	295.92	71.52	18.94	17.33	660.97
1993	占比/%	5.73	33.19	44.77	10.82	2.87	2.62	100.00
2003	价值量/10⁸元	41.65	214.41	291.54	67.30	19.76	17.46	652.12
2003	占比/%	6.39	32.88	44.71	10.32	3.03	2.68	100.00
2013	价值量/10⁸元	43.60	233.91	259.07	130.75	17.39	18.47	703.18
2013	占比/%	6.20	33.26	36.84	18.59	2.47	2.63	100.00
2023	价值量/10⁸元	41.73	216.43	289.31	65.74	19.74	17.46	650.40
2023	占比/%	6.42	33.28	44.48	10.11	3.03	2.68	100.00

年份	全局莫兰指数	P值	Z得分
1983	0.410	0.001	6.450
1993	0.411	0.001	6.453
2003	0.406	0.001	6.387
2013	0.447	0.001	7.389
2023	0.409	0.001	6.434

影响因素	影响因子	单位	影响方向
自然因素	年均气温（X₁）	℃	负相关
	年均降水量（X₂）	mm	正相关
	NDVI（X₃）	-	正相关
	高程（X₄）	m	正相关
社会因素	人口密度（X₅）	人·km^-2	负相关
	人口总量（X₆）	人	负相关
	城镇化率（X₇）	％	负相关
经济因素	地区生产总值（X₈）	10⁴元	负相关
	全体居民人均可支配收入（X₉）	元·人^-1	正相关
	社会消费品零售总额（X₁₀）	10⁴元	正相关

Spatio-temporal evolution of ecological-economic values in resource-dependent regions and influencing factors: A case study of Inner Mongolia counties

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指标	X₁	X₂	X₃	X₄	X₅	X₆	X₇	X₈	X₉	X₁₀
q值	0.37	0.17	0.24	0.07	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.06	0.09	0.08
P值	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.17	0.02	0.15	0.23	0.19	0.08	0.08

变量	系数	标准差	t值	P值	方差膨胀因子
年均气温	-1.2858	0.2830	-4.54	0.000	1.69
年均降水量	-1174.998	2805.002	-0.42	0.676	4.28
NDVI	14.8112	5.8676	2.52	0.013	3.82
人口密度	-0.0007	0.0012	-0.57	0.570	1.13

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