中国省域新质生产力与旅游高质量发展适配度时空演变及障碍因子研究

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.710

Abstract

Abstract:

The integrated development of new-quality productive forces and high-quality tourism serves not only as a vital driver of high-quality economic development but also a key measure to strengthening national competitiveness and promoting coordinated regional development. Grounded in the essential requirements of new-quality productive forces and high-quality tourism development and upon clarifying the adaptive logic mechanism that links the two, we develop comprehensive evaluation index systems for each. By applying the entropy weight TOPSIS method, adaptability comprehensive evaluation model, and obstacle degree model, we conduct an in-depth analysis of the developmental levels, spatiotemporal evolution, and key obstacle factors of new-quality productive forces and high-quality tourism development across China’s 31 provinces (including autonomous regions and municipalities) from 2006 to 2022. The results indicate that: (1) From 2006 to 2022, apart from the short-term impact of the pandemic on the tourism industry, the overall developmental levels of both systems exhibited a coordinated upward trend. (2) Spatially, the developmental levels of both systems display significant characteristics of leading in the east, rising in the central, and lagging in the west and northeast. (3) The level of adaptability between the two exhibits a fluctuating upward trend, with the degree of adaptability gradually shifting from extreme inadaptability to moderate adaptability. Spatially, it demonstrates a distinct pattern of “high in the east and low in the west, high in the south and low in the north”. (4) In most provinces, the primary constraints on the development of the new-quality productive forces system are the unmber of artificial intelligence enterprises, revenue from high-tech industries, and the number of newly launched product development projects. Conversely, high-quality tourism development is mainly driven by the growth rate of domestic tourism, the turnover of technology market, and the number of inbound overnight tourists. The research findings provide a scientific foundation for various regions to design differentiated policies that leverage new-quality productive forces to promote high-quality tourism development.

Key words: new quality productive forces, high-quality tourism development, adaptability, spatiotemporal evolution, barrier factors

LU Yayan, FENG Tian, YANG Zhaoping, HAN Fang, JIA Yingying. Spatiotemporal evolution and obstacle factors of the adaptability between new quality productive forces and high-quality tourism development in Chinese provinces[J].Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(4): 643-655.

Figures/Tables 13

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准则层	指标层	单位	属性	指标权重
劳动者	人均受教育程度（A₁）	年	+	0.0028
	在校大学生学生人数（A₂）	人	+	0.0198
	研发人员数量（A₃）	人	+	0.0454
	高校R&D人员全时当量（A₄）	h	+	0.0274
	高技术产业R&D人员折合全时当量（A₅）	h	+	0.0823
	规上工业企业R&D人员折合全时当量（A₆）	h	+	0.0593
	教育经费投入（A₇）	10⁸元	+	0.0249
	科学技术经费投入（A₈）	10⁸元	+	0.0552
劳动对象	高技术产业收入（A₉）	10⁸元	+	0.0757
	高技术产业投资增长情况（A₁₀）	%	+	0.0149
	人工智能企业数（A₁₁）	个	+	0.0955
	新产品开发项目数（A₁₂）	个	+	0.0735
	城市绿地面积（A₁₃）	hm²	+	0.0320
	工业污染治理力度（A₁₄）	%	+	0.0334
	一般工业固体废物综合利用率（A₁₅）	%	+	0.0060
劳动资料	网络普及率（A₁₆）	10⁴个	+	0.0386
	光缆线路长度（A₁₇）	km	+	0.0149
	移动电话交换机容量（A₁₈）	10⁴户	+	0.0218
	能源消耗（A₁₉）	%	-	0.0005
	可再生能源（A₂₀）	10⁸ kWh	+	0.0549
	R&D经费投入强度（A₂₁）	%	+	0.0215
	专利授权数（A₂₂）	件	+	0.0744
	数字化（A₂₃）	%	+	0.0761
	电信业务总量（A₂₄）	10⁸元	+	0.0490

准则层	指标层	单位	属性	指标权重
创新驱动	旅游R&D经费（B₁）	10⁸元	+	0.0577
	旅游高等院校数（B₂）	个	+	0.0248
	技术市场成交额（B₃）	10⁴元	+	0.1074
	旅游院校在校生人数（B₄）	人	+	0.0477
效益提升	国内旅游收入增长率（B₅）	%	+	0.0030
	国内旅游人数增长率（B₆）	%	+	0.2875
	旅游从业人数（B₇）	人	+	0.0246
	旅游业增长弹性系数（B₈）	%	+	0.0003
供给质量	星级酒店数（B₉）	个	+	0.0207
	交通运输里程数（B₁₀）	km	+	0.0182
	旅行社个数（B₁₁）	个	+	0.0215
	3A级及以上景区数（B₁₂）	个	+	0.0343
结构优化	住宿和餐饮业比重（B₁₃）	%	+	0.0111
	第三产业比重（B₁₄）	%	+	0.0142
	旅游者人均消费水平（B₁₅）	元	+	0.0134
	旅游收入比重（B₁₆）	%	+	0.0183
开放发展	艺术表演团体演出场次（B₁₇）	10⁴场	+	0.0676
	文化旅游体育与传媒支出（B₁₈）	10⁸元	+	0.0264
	旅游外汇收入（B₁₉）	10⁶USD	+	0.0675
	主要文化机构数（B₂₀）	个	+	0.0176
	接待入境过夜游客人次（B₂₁）	10⁴人	+	0.0743
生态效益	旅游业废水排放（B₂₂）	10⁴ t	-	0.0035
	旅游业废气排放（B₂₃）	10⁴ t	-	0.0018
	旅游业环境污染控制水平（B₂₄）	10⁸元	+	0.0368

Spatiotemporal evolution and obstacle factors of the adaptability between new quality productive forces and high-quality tourism development in Chinese provinces

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