新疆文旅新质生产力发展时空演变特征与驱动因素

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.785

Abstract

Abstract:

This study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system for the new quality productive factors of cultural tourism in Xinjiang of China from three dimensions of laborers, labor materials, and labor objects and uses the entropy method, spatial autocorrelation, geographic detector, and other research methods to explore the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of the development level of the new quality productive factors of cultural tourism in 14 prefectures and regions of Xinjiang from 2013 to 2023. The results indicate that (1) From 2013 to 2023, the overall level of the new quality productivity in Xinjiang’s cultural tourism industry experienced a continuous growth trend, and the development levels of all dimensions have improved. The dimension of labor materials in cultural tourism witnessed the highest increase. (2) The development level of the new quality productivity in Xinjiang’s cultural tourism industry presents a spatial development pattern of “northern Xinjiang>southern Xinjiang>eastern Xinjiang”. The degree of spatial agglomeration has gradually weakened, but its overall characteristics are still evident. (3) Economic development level, industrial development level, market demand, scientific and technological investment intensity, education level, and transportation conditions are important driving factors for the development of new quality productivity in Xinjiang’s cultural tourism industry, among which transportation conditions and market demand have the most significant driving effects. The results provide data support for cultivating new quality productivity in Xinjiang’s cultural and tourism industry and help realize its high-quality development.

Key words: new quality productive forces of cultural tourism, spatiotemporal evolution, driving factors, Xinjiang

ZHU Yiting, LIANG Guixian, ZHOU Chunshan, XIN Long, LI Jinxue. Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of new quality productive forces development of cultural tourism in Xinjiang[J].Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(1): 128-139.

Figures/Tables 9

Fig. 1

Tab. 1

Evaluation index system of new quality productive forces development of cultural tourism"

目标层	维度层	要素层	指标层	指标说明	权重	属性
文旅新质生产力	文旅劳动者	劳动者人才规模	中高等院校文旅专业学生规模	（中高等院校学生总数×含有文旅相关专业的中高等院校数）/中高等院校总数	0.128	正向
		劳动者结构	文旅从业人员数量占比	文旅从业人员数量/就业总人数	0.036	正向
		劳动者效能	每万人发明文旅专利授权量	Innojoy专利搜索引擎以“文化”“旅游”为关键词搜索得到的新疆和各地州专利授权数	0.029	正向
			文旅收入占比	文旅收入/GDP比重	0.040	正向
			开放度	进出口总额/GDP比重	0.049	正向
	文旅劳动资料	文旅设备	观光游览设施投入	（接待游客量×第三产业固定资产投资额）/固定资产总投资额	0.051	正向
			游乐设施投资比重	（特种设备数量×第三产业固定资产投资额）/总投资额	0.035	正向
			演艺设备投入	（艺术表演团体和场所演出场次×第三产业固定资产投资额）/总投资额	0.034	正向
			博物馆设备投入	（博物馆数量×第三产业固定资产投资额）/总投资额	0.055	正向
		文旅数字化	信息化基础	信息传输、计算机服务和软件业从业人员数与就业人员比重	0.081	正向
			互联网基础	移动互联网终端用户数/常住人口数	0.062	正向
			电子商务交易水平	电子商务交易额	0.039	正向
			文旅网络支付水平	数字普惠金融指数	0.038	正向
		文旅科技创新	文旅产业R&D人员	R&D人员全时当量×文旅从业人员数量占地区就业总人数的比值	0.045	正向
		文旅科技创新	科技创新环境	技术合同成交额占GDP比例	0.041	正向
	文旅劳动对象	文旅资源	3A级及以上景区占比	旅游景区名录中的3A级及以上景区数量占总景区数量比例	0.046	正向
			非物质文化遗产占比	地区与国家级非物质文化遗产代表性项目总数量比例	0.064	正向
			文旅投资强度	文旅项目投资额/第三产业增加值	0.023	正向
		文旅绿色发展	文旅废水排放量	废水排放量×文旅收入与工业总产值比值	0.023	负向
			文旅水量消耗	用水量×文旅收入与工业总产值比值	0.023	负向
			文旅电力消耗	用电量×文旅收入与工业总产值比值	0.059	负向

Tab. 1

Fig. 2

Fig. 3

Tab. 2

Fig. 4

Tab. 3

Tab. 4

Fig. 5

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年份	全局莫兰指数	Z值	P值
2013	0.830	5.041	0.001
2018	0.774	4.562	0.001
2023	0.535	4.558	0.002

驱动因子	经济发展水平	产业发展水平	市场需求	科技投资强度	教育水平	交通条件
q值	0.766	0.801	0.835	0.804	0.826	0.854
P值	0.024	0.005	0.009	0.032	0.010	0.014

驱动因子	2013年		2018年		2023年
驱动因子	q值	P值	q值	P值	q值	P值
经济发展水平	0.808	0.010	0.730	0.032	0.761	0.023
产业发展水平	0.606	0.007	0.909	0.000	0.886	0.002
市场需求	0.862	0.005	0.859	0.010	0.780	0.007
科技投资强度	0.800	0.043	0.748	0.050	0.864	0.004
教育水平	0.916	0.000	0.871	0.007	0.692	0.034
交通条件	0.820	0.030	0.823	0.010	0.919	0.000

Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of new quality productive forces development of cultural tourism in Xinjiang

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