基于文献计量学的中亚干旱区气候变化及影响研究进展

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.616

Abstract

Abstract:

The arid Central Asia is highly vulnerable to climate change because of scarce water resources, sparse vegetation, and fragile ecosystems. Historic fluctuations in precipitation have transformed lakes and oasis areas, affecting regional development, highlighting the need to understand the characteristics and impacts of climate change on this region. This study adopted bibliometric methods based on literature from the Web of Science Core Collection and CNKI (1985—2024) and applied CiteSpace and VOSviewer to examine publication trends, collaboration networks, research hotspots, and frontiers. Results show that: Research on climate change and its effects on arid Central Asia has evolved from initial exploration to rapid growth and increased sophistication. Domestic studies can be classified into three stages (1985—2002, 2003—2011, 2012—2024), while international studies show two stages (1985—2006, 2007—2024). These efforts focus on institutions of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and universities in Xinjiang and northwestern China although international cooperation remains limited. High-frequency keywords suggest a research focus on temperature and precipitation changes and their effects on water resources, vegetation, and ecosystems, with increasing emphasis on interactions between human activities and climate change. Frontier analysis demonstrates a shift from single-factor trend detection to multisource data, process mechanisms, quantitative attribution, and ecosystem service assessment. Overall, bibliometric analysis helps explain the fragmented research landscape and empirically supports ecological protection and international cooperation in arid Central Asia.

Key words: Central Asia, arid region, climate change, research progress, bibliometrics

ZHAI Yongjian, YAO Junqiang, QIN Yan. Progress on climate change and its impacts in the arid Central Asia: A bibliometric analysis[J].Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(8): 1545-1559.

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机构名称	发文量/篇
中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所	453
中国科学院大学	406
新疆大学	144
兰州大学	110
中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所	86
中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院	69
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所	68
南京信息工程大学	54
中国科学院青藏高原研究所	54
中国科学院大气物理研究所	53

Web of Science	发文量/篇	被引量	CNKI	发文量/篇	被引量
Remote Sensing	72	1499	干旱区研究	107	2766
Journal of Arid Land	56	1114	沙漠与绿洲气象	88	1088
Science of the Total Environment	47	3257	干旱区地理	87	3128
Water	45	562	冰川冻土	73	5809
International Journal of Climatology	43	1851	干旱区资源与环境	54	1162
Ecological Indicators	37	1377	中国沙漠	49	2545
Theoretical and Applied Climatology	35	889	生态学报	35	1382
Journal of Hydrology	33	2305	中国农学通报	24	277
Global and Planetary Change	31	2094	现代农业科技	24	73
Quaternary International	31	1076	干旱气象	24	529

Progress on climate change and its impacts in the arid Central Asia: A bibliometric analysis

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