中国现代化人民城市建设水平的统计测度与时空格局

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.670

Abstract

Abstract:

The construction of modern people’s cities in China is important for people-centered development and modernization. Using the characteristics of modern people’s cities, a comprehensive evaluation index is created to describe the construction and temporal and spatial patterns of 279 cities in China from 2014 to 2023 using the entropy TOPSIS method, Dagum Gini coefficient, and the spatial Markov chain. The results show that: (1) The construction level of modern people’s cities has risen steadily, according to a spatial pattern where it is high in the east, moderate in the middle and west, and low in the northeast. Further, the development characteristics show a pattern of high levels in the south and low ones in the north. (2) The construction level of modern people’s cities exhibits an obvious core-periphery character in its spatial structure and spatial agglomeration. (3) Regional differences in the construction level of modern people’s cities are gradually narrowing, and such differences form the core source of the overall differences. (4) The diffusion level of modern urban construction is greater than the echo effect. The conclusion of the study provides a decision-making reference for building a modern city.

Key words: construction level of modern people’s cities, Dagum Gini coefficient, spatial Markov chain, statistical measures, spatiotemporal pattern

MENG Yuzhu, XU Yangkang, SUN Ao. Statistical measurement and spatiotemporal pattern of the construction level of modern people’s cities in China[J].Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(10): 2182-2193.

Figures/Tables 8

Tab. 1

Evaluation index system of the construction level of modern people’s cities"

维度	评价要素	测算方法	单位	属性	权重
创新	创新环境	R&D经费支出占GDP比重	%	正	0.021
		R&D人员占就业人员比重	%	正	0.039
		科学支出占财政一般预算内支出比重	%	正	0.027
	创新成效	万人发明专利授权数	件·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.049
		万人实用新型授权数	件·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.031
		万人技术合同成交额	元·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.038
		劳动生产率	元·人^-1	正	0.006
宜居	包容发展	常住人口城镇化率	%	正	0.006
		城镇职工基本养老保险参保率	%	正	0.005
		职工基本医疗保险参保率	%	正	0.014
		房价收入比	%	负	0.002
	生活便利	人均道路面积	m²·人^-1	正	0.005
		每万人拥有公共交通车辆	标台·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.014
		建成区供水管道密度	km·km^-2	正	0.007
		燃气普及率	%	正	0.001
		人均邮电业务总量	元·人^-1	正	0.015
	社会和谐	城镇登记失业率	%	负	0.002
		万人刑事案件	件·(10⁴人)^-1	负	0.016
		基于夜间灯光数据的基尼系数	-	负	0.018
		公共管理和社会组织人员数占就业人员比重	%	正	0.009
美丽	污染治理	工业废水排放量	t	负	0.002
		工业SO₂排放量	t	负	0.002
		工业烟粉尘排放量	t	负	0.001
		CO₂排放量	t	负	0.001
	生态空间	城市建成区绿化覆盖率	%	正	0.001
	生态空间	人均公园绿地面积	m²·人^-1	正	0.014
	环境改善	细颗粒物PM_2.5年平均浓度	mg·m^-3	负	0.001
		生活垃圾无害化处理率	%	正	0.001
		污水处理厂集中处理率	%	正	0.002
		一般工业固体废物综合利用率	%	正	0.003
韧性	经济韧性	社会固定资产投资总额占GDP的比重	%	正	0.004
		社会消费品零售总额占GDP的比重	%	正	0.004
		人均城乡居民储蓄年末余额	元·人^-1	正	0.008
		第三产业占第二产业比重	%	正	0.009
	安全韧性	万人拥有执业助理医师数	人·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.003
		万人医疗卫生机构床位数	张·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.003
		公共安全支出占财政一般预算内支出比重	%	正	0.037
		万人交通事故死亡人数	人·(10⁴人)^-1	负	0.002
文明	物质文明	人均地区生产总值	元·人^-1	正	0.011
		在岗职工平均工资	元·人^-1	正	0.008
		人均居民生活用电量	kWh·人^-1	正	0.004
		人均教育支出	元·人^-1	正	0.005
	精神文明	文化、体育和娱乐业人员数占就业人员比重	%	正	0.093
		每百人公共图书馆藏书册	件·(100人)^-1	正	0.056
		博物馆、体育馆、剧场影剧院数	个	正	0.019
		国内旅游人数	10⁴人	正	0.023
智慧	数字建设	4G、5G基站建设开通数	个	正	0.082
		移动电话普及率	%	正	0.009
		互联网普及率	%	正	0.008
		信息传输、计算机和软件业人数占就业人员比重	%	正	0.070
		政府开放数据平台数	所	正	0.051
	数字应用	电子商务交易额占GDP比重	%	正	0.027
		数字普惠金融指数	-	正	0.005
		机器人安装密度	%	正	0.016
		人工智能企业数	个	正	0.090

Tab. 1

Fig. 1

Fig. 2

Fig. 3

Tab. 2

Fig. 4

Fig. 5

Fig. 6

References 27

[1]	唐亚林. 现代化人民城市建设的内涵、难点与途径[J]. 新疆师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2025, 46(6): 64-71.
	[Tang Yalin. The connotation, difficulties, and pathways of constructing modern cities of the people[J]. Journal of Xinjiang Normal University (Philosophy and Social Sciences), 2025, 46(6): 64-71. ]
[2]	施志源, 景池. 现代化人民城市: 科学内涵、鲜明特质与建设路向[J]. 南昌大学学报(人文社会科学版), 2025, 56(5): 23-32.
	[Shi Zhiyuan, Jing Chi. Modern cities of the people: Scientific connotation, distinctive characteristics and construction direction[J]. Journal of Nanchang University (Humanities and Social Sciences), 2025, 56(5): 23-32. ]
[3]	宋道雷. 现代化人民城市的战略设计、运行要素与动力支撑[J]. 新疆师范大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2025, 46(6): 52-63, 2.
	[Song Daolei. Strategic design, operational elements, and dynamic drivers of the modern cities of the people[J]. Journal of Xinjiang Normal University (Edition of Philosophy and Social Sciences), 2025, 46(6): 52-63, 2. ]
[4]	姜晓萍, 曹现强, 何艳玲, 等. 推进现代化人民城市建设(笔谈)[J]. 行政论坛, 2025, 32(5): 5-29.
	[Jiang Xiaoping, Cao Xianqiang, He Yanling, et al. Promoting the construction of modern cities of the people (written discussion)[J]. Administrative Tribune, 2025, 32(5): 5-29. ]
[5]	杨雅妮. 公益诉讼助力现代化人民城市建设: 内在逻辑与推进方向[J]. 探索, 2025(5): 83-94.
	[Yang Yani. Public interest litigation advancing the construction of a modern people-centered city: Inherent logic and future driving directions[J]. Probe, 2025(5): 83-94. ]
[6]	程梦瑶, 郑霖豪. 新质生产力赋能现代化人民城市建设的逻辑与实践[J]. 郑州大学学报(哲学社会科学版), 2025, 58(6): 87-94, 171-172.
	[Cheng Mengyao, Zheng Linhao. The logic and practice of new quality productive forces empowering the construction of a modern people’s city[J]. Journal of Zhengzhou University (Philosophy and Social Sciences), 2025, 58(6): 87-94, 171-172. ]
[7]	胡薇. 人民城市: 中国式现代化城市发展的内在逻辑转向[J]. 东岳论丛, 2024, 45(10): 152-158.
	[Hu Wei. People’s city: The internal logical turn of chinese style modern city development[J]. Dong Yue Tribune, 2024, 45(10): 152-158. ]
[8]	吴旭辉, 鲁雪峰, 杨亚琼. 黄河流域中国式城市现代化水平的区域差异测度及结构分解[J]. 河北经贸大学学报, 2025, 46(6): 58-69.
	[Wu Xuhui, Lu Xuefeng, Yang Yaqiong. Regional difference measurement and structural decomposition of chinese urban modernization levels in the Yellow River Basin[J]. Journal of Hebei University of Economics and Business, 2025, 46(6): 58-69. ]
[9]	郭政, 姚士谋, 陈爽, 等. 长三角城市群城市宜居水平时空演化及影响因素[J]. 经济地理, 2020, 40(2): 79-88. doi: 10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2020.02.009
	[Guo Zheng, Yao Shimou, Chen Shuang, et al. Spatial-temporal evolution of the livability levels in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomerations and its influencing factors[J]. Economic Geography, 2020, 40(2): 79-88. ] doi: 10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2020.02.009
[10]	金祥义. 智慧城市建设与城市宜居度--基于智慧城市试点的准自然实验[J]. 经济经纬, 2024, 41(1): 42-56.
	[Jin Xiangyi. Smart city construction and urban livability: Based on quasi-natural experiments of smart city pilot projects[J]. Economic Survey, 2024, 41(1): 42-56. ]
[11]	蒙昱竹, 徐杨康, 郝振龙. 新质生产力赋能新型城镇化高质量发展: 理论逻辑与经验证据[J]. 财经科学, 2025(10): 132-148.
	[Meng Yuzhu, Xu Yangkang, Hao Zhenlong. Empowering high-quality development of new urbanization with new quality productivity: Theoretical logic and empirical evidence[J]. Finance & Economics, 2025(10): 132-148. ]
[12]	陶希东. 中国韧性城市建设: 内涵特征、短板问题与规划策略[J]. 城市规划, 2022, 46(12): 28-34, 66.
	[Tao Xidong. Construction of resilient cities in China: Connotation characteristics, weaknesses, and planning strategies[J]. City Planning Review, 2022, 46(12): 28-34, 66. ]
[13]	张文武, 王进国, 赵顺吉. 数字金融对城市韧性的影响研究--基于新质生产力的视角[J]. 西南大学学报(社会科学版), 2024, 50(6): 166-181.
	[Zhang Wenwu, Wang Jinguo, Zhao Shunji. A study on the impact of digital finance on urban resilience from the perspective of new quality productivity[J]. Journal of Southwest University (Social Sciences Edition), 2024, 50(6): 166-181. ]
[14]	武优勐, 孙豪, 王先柱. 城市现代化的测度与评价: 以长三角地区为例[J]. 上海财经大学学报, 2025, 27(3): 64-78.
	[Wu Youmeng, Sun Hao, Wang Xianzhu. Measurement and evaluation of urban modernization: A case study of the Yangtze River Delta region[J]. Journal of Shanghai University of Finance and Economics, 2025, 27(3): 64-78. ]
[15]	孟天广, 张渝西. 数据治理推动城市治理创新: 理论依据、实践路径与作用机制[J]. 治理研究, 2025, 41(4): 45-57, 158.
	[Meng Tianguang, Zhang Yuxi. Data governance promoting innovation in urban governance: Theoretical basis, practical pathways and mechanisms[J]. Governance Studies, 2025, 41(4): 45-57, 158. ]
[16]	钞小静, 沈路, 薛志欣. 基于形态属性的中国省域数字经济发展水平再测算[J]. 经济问题, 2023(2): 23-34.
	[Chao Xiaojing, Shen Lu, Xue Zhixin. Recalculation of the development level of China’s provincial digital economy based on morphological attributes[J]. On Economic Problems, 2023(2): 23-34. ]
[17]	Sun L, Miao C, Yang L. Ecological-economic efficiency evaluation of green technology innovation in strategic emerging industries based on entropy weighted TOPSIS method[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2017, 73: 554-558. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2016.10.018
[18]	Li Z, Luo Z, Wang Y, et al. Suitability evaluation system for the shallow geothermal energy implementation in region by entropy weight method and TOPSIS method[J]. Renewable Energy, 2022, 184: 564-576. doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2021.11.112
[19]	张音, 孙从建, 刘庚, 等. 2000-2023年黄河流域山西段生态环境质量时空变化及其驱动因素[J]. 干旱区地理, 2025, 48(11): 1983-1994. doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.221
	[Zhang Yin, Sun Congjian, Liu Geng, et al. Spatiotemporal changes and driving factors of ecological environment quality in the Shanxi section of the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2023[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2025, 48(11): 1983-1994. ] doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.221
[20]	刘艺欣, 裴婷婷, 陈英, 等. 基于县域尺度的甘肃省乡村振兴发展水平测度及时空分异[J]. 干旱区地理, 2025, 48(9): 1683-1693. doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.545
	[Liu Yixin, Pei Tingting, Chen Ying, et al. Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of urban ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2025, 48(9): 1683-1693. ] doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.545
[21]	Agovino M, Crociata A, Sacco P L. Proximity effects in obesity rates in the US: A spatial Markov chains approach[J]. Social Science & Medicine, 2019, 220: 301-311. doi: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2018.11.013
[22]	张立新, 张家瑞. 中国新基建与区域韧性耦合协调发展: 时空差异与演变趋势[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(12): 2164-2176. doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.370
	[Zhang Lixin, Zhang Jiarui. Coupling and coordinated development of new infrastructure and regional resilience in China: Spatio-temporal differences and evolution trends[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(12): 2164-2176. ] doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.370
[23]	Knox A D, Myrdal G. Economic theory and under-developed regions[J]. Economica, 1960, 27(107): 280, doi: 10.2307/2601684.
[24]	师博, 王铮. 中国式城市现代化的测度评价、区域分异与推进方略--基于长江经济带与黄河流域的比较研究[J]. 学习与实践, 2023(11): 60-70.
	[Shi Bo, Wang Zheng. Evaluation, regional differentiation and promotion strategy of chinese-style urban modernization: A comparative study based on the Yangtze River Economic Belt and the Yellow River Basin[J]. Study and Practice, 2023(11): 60-70. ]
[25]	曹建飞. 数字经济、要素流动与中国式城市现代化[J]. 统计与决策, 2025, 41(16): 5-10.
	[Cao Jianfei. Digital economy, factor flow and chinese-style urban modernization[J]. Statistics & Decision, 2025, 41(16): 5-10. ]
[26]	刘士林. 人民城市: 理论渊源和当代发展[J]. 南京社会科学, 2020(8): 66-72.
	[Liu Shilin. Theoretical origin and contemporary development of people’s city[J]. Nanjing Journal of Social Sciences, 2020(8): 66-72. ]
[27]	孙亚男, 刘燕伟, 傅念豪, 等. 中国新质生产力的增长模式、区域差异与协调发展[J]. 财经研究, 2024, 50(6): 4-18, 33.
	[Sun Yanan, Liu Yanwei, Fu Nianhao, et al. The growth patterns, regional disparity, and coordinated development of China’s new quality productive forces[J]. Journal of Finance and Economics, 2024, 50(6): 4-18, 33. ]

年份	全局莫兰指数	Z值
2014	0.081	4.586
2015	0.090	5.112
2016	0.141	7.853
2017	0.137	7.620
2018	0.137	7.595
2019	0.150	8.295
2020	0.139	7.699
2021	0.145	8.058
2022	0.124	6.909
2023	0.067	3.885

Statistical measurement and spatiotemporal pattern of the construction level of modern people’s cities in China

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

Like

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

Figures/Tables 8

References 27

Related Articles 14

Metrics

Comments

Recommended 0

[1]	LIU Yuxuan, JIANG Zizhen, ZHANG Chenghe, LAN Yihong, WANG Meimei. Spatiotemporal pattern evolution and vulnerability assessment of China’s interprovincial innovation network [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(9): 1877-1889.
[2]	LIU Honghong, ZHANG Wenbin. Where is the big gap of the coordinated development of carbon reduction, pollution reduction, green expansion, and growth in China? The east and the west or the north and the south [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(4): 769-777.
[3]	LIU Shiqi, ZHANG Airu. Measurement and spatiotemporal differentiation of China’s silver economy development level [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(10): 2158-2170.
[4]	YANG Juxing, SUN Hui, ZHOU Jinnan, TUO Caijin, ZHANG Ruowei. Spatiotemporal evolution and pathway selection of transformation decarbonization in resource-based cities of China [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(1): 151-163.
[5]	LI Liangliang, XIA Yong, WANG Fuhong, GUO Bingxin, ZHAO Lanlan. Muskmelon production pattern and its contributing factors in Xinjiang [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2025, 48(9): 1567-1577.
[6]	WANG Xin, ZHENG Fang, HE Lingyao, HE Haoliang, HOU Ying. Spatiotemporal differentiation pattern and driving factors of common prosperity level in Ningxia county areas [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2025, 48(7): 1293-1303.
[7]	PANG Jiapeng, LI Mengyuan. Spatial differences and causes of tourism and leisure blocks in China [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2025, 48(5): 905-915.
[8]	CHAO Bao, ZHAO Yuanyuan, WU Haiyan, LI Yuan, SU Ning. Ecosystem services and its response to climate factors in the Mongolian Plateau from 2000 to 2020 [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(9): 1577-1586.
[9]	WANG JiaJia, ZHANG Ke. Unevenness and evolutionary trend of high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin from an ecological protection perspective [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(4): 695-706.
[10]	GAO Fuxin, ZHAO Ling, WEI Qiong. Spatiotemporal pattern and dynamic evolution of rural non-farm employment: A case of Qinghai Province [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2023, 46(12): 2111-2119.
[11]	WANG Yukai,GUO Hui. Spatial and temporal differentiation and convergence studies of the eco-efficiency of Xinjiang tourism industry [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2022, 45(4): 1320-1331.
[12]	LI Lingwei,BAI Yongping,YANG Xuedi,ZHANG Chunyue,LIANG Jianshe,WANG Qian. Dynamic evolution and regional differences of sustainable development in Jiziwan of the Yellow River [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2022, 45(2): 639-649.
[13]	TAO Zefu,WANG Shiqing,SUN Piling,LI Kaidi,TIAN Wen,HAN Xiaoxiao. Spatio-temporal differentiation and driving factors of cropland in the agro-pastoral ecotone of northern China [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2022, 45(1): 153-163.
[14]	ZHOU Di, ZHOU Feng-nian, ZHENG Chu-peng. Regional differences and its solidification of carbon emission in China: An equity and efficiency perspective [J]. Arid Land Geography, 2019, 42(6): 1461-1469.