中亚地区土地与人口城镇化时空耦合特征

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2022.183

Abstract

Abstract:

As an essential hub of the Silk Road Economic Belt, the coordinated development of landscape-demographic urbanization in Central Asia not only affects the sustainable socio-economic development of Central Asia but also promotes the implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative. We explored the spatiotemporal coupling characteristics of five Central Asian capitals from 2000 to 2019 using the urban expansion mode index, population concentration index, equal fan analysis method, and spatial coupling coordination model. The results are as follows: (1) From the spatial evolutionary characteristics, the expansion type of urban land in five Central Asian capitals is mainly sprawl type, and overall, the expansion mode index tends to increase and then decrease. Regarding population concentration characteristics, the population concentration index in Ashkhabad exhibits an upward trend, whereas that in Dushanbe and Nur Sultan exhibit a downward trend, and those of Tashkent and Bishkek fluctuate between 0.6 and 0.7. (2) In terms of spatial growth trends, the expansion directions of landscape urbanization and demographic urbanization are identical in Bishkek, Ashkhabad, and Nur Sultan, with a slight deviation in Tashkent and a significant difference in Dushanbe. (3) From the coupling coordination characteristics, the landscape-demographic urbanization coupling situation is poorly coordinated in Tashkent, and the coordinated urbanization development is at the initial stage. The coupling coordination situations are better in Dushanbe and Bishkek, but their coordination levels vary widely and are at the fluctuating stage. Ashkhabad and Nur Sultan exhibit high coordination levels and are at the stable stage.

Key words: urbanization, expansion mode, coupling situation, coordination level, capitals of five Central Asian countries

XIA Huaixia, LIANG Hanwei, CHEN Shuang, WANG Qian, WANG Shenmin. Spatiotemporal coupling of landscape-demographic urbanization in Central Asia[J].Arid Land Geography, 2023, 46(1): 115-126.

Figures/Tables 9

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References 36

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城市	年份	新增城市用地面积/km²	扩张模式指数	扩张模式
塔什干	2000—2005	5.578	0.535	填充式
	2005—2010	2.984	0.466	蔓延式
	2010—2015	6.542	0.454	蔓延式
	2015—2019	8.394	0.490	蔓延式
杜尚别	2000—2005	1.499	0.479	蔓延式
	2005—2010	3.563	0.417	蔓延式
	2010—2015	9.888	0.437	蔓延式
	2015—2019	3.454	0.475	蔓延式
比什凯克	2000—2005	8.143	0.476	蔓延式
	2005—2010	7.906	0.441	蔓延式
	2010—2015	18.138	0.479	蔓延式
	2015—2019	5.630	0.521	填充式
阿什哈巴德	2000—2005	4.937	0.469	蔓延式
	2005—2010	4.634	0.469	蔓延式
	2010—2015	5.244	0.464	蔓延式
	2015—2019	5.409	0.476	蔓延式
努尔苏丹	2000—2005	13.613	0.383	蔓延式
	2005—2010	27.608	0.353	蔓延式
	2010—2015	62.506	0.346	蔓延式
	2015—2019	36.528	0.423	蔓延式

城市	2000年	2005年	2010年	2015年	2019年
塔什干	0.647	0.653	0.660	0.634	0.607
杜尚别	0.593	0.566	0.562	0.556	0.549
比什凯克	0.682	0.678	0.677	0.694	0.691
阿什哈巴德	0.171	0.173	0.175	0.178	0.174
努尔苏丹	0.642	0.569	0.562	0.553	0.486

城市	年份	不协调占比/%	基本协调占比/%	高度协调占比/%
塔什干	2000—2005	97.56	0.70	1.74
	2005—2010	94.51	2.03	3.46
	2010—2015	86.35	6.43	7.22
	2015—2019	82.35	8.09	9.56
杜尚别	2000—2005	86.74	6.66	6.60
	2005—2010	82.41	7.31	10.29
	2010—2015	63.31	16.31	20.38
	2015—2019	73.70	11.04	15.26
比什凯克	2000—2005	86.84	6.74	6.42
	2005—2010	83.65	6.49	9.86
	2010—2015	90.50	3.77	5.72
	2015—2019	78.08	9.38	12.54
阿什哈巴德	2000—2005	64.41	14.00	21.58
	2005—2010	66.41	13.78	19.81
	2010—2015	69.41	13.70	16.89
	2015—2019	62.69	14.43	22.88
努尔苏丹	2000—2005	77.90	8.60	13.49
	2005—2010	68.97	12.39	18.64
	2010—2015	61.74	15.72	22.54
	2015—2019	61.47	15.73	22.80

Spatiotemporal coupling of landscape-demographic urbanization in Central Asia

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