近40 a流域气候变化与人类活动双重驱动下乌梁素海面积变化特征研究

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.734

干旱区地理 ›› 2024, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (10): 1688-1699.doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.734 cstr: 32274.14.ALG2023734

近40 a流域气候变化与人类活动双重驱动下乌梁素海面积变化特征研究

孙金容¹(), 李兴²(), 魏敬铤³

1.内蒙古师范大学化学与环境科学学院，内蒙古呼和浩特 010022
2.内蒙古师范大学节水农业工程研究中心，内蒙古呼和浩特 010022
3.内蒙古自治区环境科学学会，内蒙古呼和浩特 010022

收稿日期:2023-12-28 修回日期:2024-01-24 出版日期:2024-10-25 发布日期:2024-11-27
通讯作者: 李兴（1981-），男，副研究员，主要从事水污染控制与水环境保护等方面的研究. E-mail: lixingmm81@imnu.edu.cn
作者简介:孙金容（2000-），女，硕士研究生，主要从事气象水文方面的研究. E-mail: erjin263043@163.com
基金资助:
中央引导地方科技发展资金项目(2020ZY0026);国家自然科学基金项目(52160022)

Area change characteristics of Wuliangsuhai Lake driven by climate change and human activities in the basin in the past 40 years

SUN Jinrong¹(), LI Xing²(), WEI Jingting³

1. College of Chemistry and Environmental Science, Inner Mongolia Normal University, Hohhot 010022, Inner Mongolia, China
2. Engineering Research Center of Water-Saving Agriculture, Inner Mongolia Normal University, Hohhot 010022, Inner Mongolia, China
3. Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region Environmental Science Society, Hohhot 010022, Inner Mongolia, China

Received:2023-12-28 Revised:2024-01-24 Published:2024-10-25 Online:2024-11-27

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

湖泊面积变化是流域气候变化和人类活动的指示剂，明确湖泊面积时空动态过程是评估湖泊生态环境变化及其影响的基础。基于Landsat系列卫星影像，利用监督分类法提取1986—2021年乌梁素海面积；采用一元线性回归、M-K趋势、突变检验对乌梁素海流域的气温、降水量、相对湿度、潜在蒸散发进行了趋势、突变分析；收集流域人类活动数据，运用相关性和多元线性回归分析了气候变化和人类活动对湖泊面积变化的影响。结果表明：（1）乌梁素海面积从316.19 km²波动增加到332.34 km²，增加了5.11%；流域气温显著上升、降水增加幅度小且不显著，相对湿度和潜在蒸散发呈增加趋势，流域气候整体变暖。（2）湖泊面积与气温、降水量呈正相关，与相对湿度、潜在蒸散发呈负相关，流域人口、国内生产总值、农作物播种面积与湖泊面积均呈显著正相关。（3）2002—2021年湖泊面积扩大，GDP贡献率为76.83%，人口贡献率为18.37%，潜在蒸散发贡献率为7.73%，湖泊面积变化受人类活动影响更大。

关键词: 湖泊面积, 水体指数, 气候变化, 人类活动, 驱动因素

Abstract:

The variation in lake area is a key indicator of climate change and human activities within a basin. The spatiotemporal dynamics of lake area are essential for assessing changes in the lake’s ecological environment and their impacts. Utilizing the Landsat series of satellite images, this study applies the normalized difference water index (NDWI), the modified normalized difference water index (MNDWI), the interspectral relationship method, and the maximum likelihood supervised classification technique to extract the area of Wuliangsuhai Lake, Inner Mongolia, China. A comparative analysis was conducted to evaluate the performance of these four water body indices. The supervised classification method, which demonstrated the highest precision, was employed to extract the area of Wuliangsuhai Lake from 1986 to 2021, and the lake’s change trend was analyzed. Additionally, the trends and abrupt changes in temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, and potential evapotranspiration in the Wuliangsuhai Lake were analyzed using univariate linear regression, the M-K trend test, and the mutation test. The results indicate that the lake surface area of Wuliangsuhai Lake expanded from 316.19 km² to 332.34 km², reflecting an increase of 5.11%. Temperature and precipitation showed a significant upward trend, while relative humidity and potential evapotranspiration also increased, indicating overall warming in the basin. From 2002 to 2021, the sown area of crops demonstrated a strong positive correlation with lake area, with GDP contributing 76.83%, population contributing 18.37%, and potential evapotranspiration contributing 7.73% to the overall change.

Key words: lake area, water index, climate change, human activities, drivers

孙金容, 李兴, 魏敬铤. 近40 a流域气候变化与人类活动双重驱动下乌梁素海面积变化特征研究[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(10): 1688-1699.

SUN Jinrong, LI Xing, WEI Jingting. Area change characteristics of Wuliangsuhai Lake driven by climate change and human activities in the basin in the past 40 years[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(10): 1688-1699.

图/表 17

图1

表1

表2

图2

表3

图3

表4

图4

表5

图5

图6

图7

图8

表6

表7

图9

表8

参考文献 38

[1]	Ayele H S, Atlabachew M. Review of characterization, factors, impacts, and solutions of Lake eutrophication: Lesson for Lake Tana, Ethiopia[J]. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 2021, 28(12): 14233-14252.
[2]	刘烨焜. 卫星遥感监测岱海湖面积变化及气象因子影响分析[J]. 内蒙古气象, 2021(5): 34-40.
	[Liu Yekun. Changes in Daihai Lake area by remote sensing monitoring and analysis of the influence of meteorological factors[J]. Meteorology Journal of Inner Mongolia, 2021(5): 34-40.]
[3]	张璐, 张生, 孙标, 等. 采用水量平衡法分析呼伦湖水域面积变化因素[J]. 水资源与水工程学报, 2016, 27(2): 80-85.
	[Zhang Lu, Zhang Sheng, Sun Biao, et al. Analysis of changing factors of Hulun Lake area by using water balance method[J]. Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering, 2016, 27(2): 80-85.]
[4]	李均力, 胡汝骥, 黄勇, 等. 1964—2014年柴窝堡湖面积的时序变化及驱动因素[J]. 干旱区研究, 2015, 32(3): 417-427.
	[Li Junli, Hu Ruji, Huang Yong, et al. Spatial-temporal characterstics of Chaiwopu Lake area change and its driving factors from 1964 to 2014[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2015, 32(3): 417-427.]
[5]	Li J, Meng Y, Li Y, et al. Accurate water extraction using remote sensing imagery based on normalized difference water index and unsupervised deep learning[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2022, 612: 128202, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128202.
[6]	吕娜, 郭梦京, 赵馨, 等. 内陆淡水湖博斯腾湖水质遥感反演及时空演变特征[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(6): 953-966. doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.386
	[Lü Na, Guo Mengjing, Zhao Xin, et al. Remote sensing inversion of water quality and spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the Bosten Inland Freshwater Lake[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(6): 953-966.] doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.386
[7]	李丹, 吴保生, 陈博伟, 等. 基于卫星遥感的水体信息提取研究进展与展望[J]. 清华大学学报(自然科学版), 2020, 60(2): 147-161.
	[Li Dan, Wu Baosheng, Chen Bowei, et al. Review of water body information extraction based on satellite remote sensing[J]. Journal of Tsinghua University (Natural Science Edition), 2020, 60(2): 147-161.]
[8]	高彦哲, 阿拉腾图娅, 昙娜, 等. 2000—2020年蒙古高原湖泊变化及其影响因素分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2023, 46(2): 191-200. doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000－6060.2022.424
	[Gao Yanzhe, Alatengtuya, Tan Na, et al. Lake changes and their influence factors in the Mongolian Plateau from 2000 to 2020[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2023, 46(2): 191-200.] doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000－6060.2022.424
[9]	Li J, Sheng Y. An automated scheme for glacial lake dynamics mapping using Landsat imagery and digital elevation models: A case study in the Himalayas[J]. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 2012, 33(16): 5194-5213.
[10]	祁昌贤, 任燕, 彭海月, 等. 基于GEE云平台的三江源湖泊面积提取及动态变化[J]. 长江科学院院报, 2023, 40(7): 179-185. doi: 10.11988/ckyyb.20220806
	[Qi Changxian, Ren Yan, Peng Haiyue, et al. Extracting the dynamic change of lake area in the Three-River Headwaters Region based on Google Earth Engine[J]. Journal of Changjiang River Scientific Research, 2023, 40(7): 179-185.]
[11]	彭妍菲, 李忠勤, 姚晓军, 等. 基于多源遥感数据和GEE平台的博斯腾湖面积变化及影响因素分析[J]. 地球信息科学学报, 2021, 23(6): 1131-1153. doi: 10.12082/dqxxkx.2021.200361
	[Peng Yanfei, Li Zhongqin, Yao Xiaojun, et al. Area change and cause analysis of Bosten Lake based on multi-source remote sensing data and GEE platform[J]. Journal of Geo-Information Science, 2021, 23(6): 1131-1153.]
[12]	康健, 陆俊卿, 汪光, 等. 乌梁素海地区近50年气候变化特征分析[J]. 水利科技与经济, 2016, 22(8): 1-8.
	[Kang Jian, Lu Junqing, Wang Guang, et al. Analysis of characteristics of Wuliangsuhai nearly 50 years of climate change[J]. Water Conservancy Science and Technology and Economy, 2016, 22(8): 1-8.]
[13]	芦津, 杨瑾晟, 罗菊花, 等. 环境因子及生态补水对乌梁素海“黄苔”年际暴发面积的影响(1986—2021年)[J]. 湖泊科学, 2023, 35(6): 1881-1890.
	[Lu Jin, Yang Jinsheng, Luo Juhua, et al. Impacts of environmental factors and ecological hydration on the interannual changes of metaphytic blooms area in Lake Ulansuhai (1986—2021)[J]. Journal of Lake Sciences, 2023, 35(6): 1881-1890.]
[14]	杨惠杰, 黄文峰, 张程, 等. 乌梁素海冰封期分层与混合特征及对氧代谢速率的影响[J]. 湖泊科学, 2022, 34(3): 972-984.
	[Yang Huijie, Huang Wenfeng, Zhang Cheng, et al. Stratification and mixing characteristics in Lake Wuliangsuhai during ice-covered period and its impacts on metabolic rates[J]. Journal of Lake Sciences, 2022, 34(3): 972-984.]
[15]	卢兴顺, 丁晓宇, 赵子闻, 等. 乌梁素海冰封期污染物分布及迁移特征研究[J]. 水生态学杂志. 2021, 42(6): 41-48.
	[Lu Xingshun, Ding Xiaoyu, Zhao Ziwen, et al. Distribution and exchange of pollutants during the icebound season of Ulansuhai Lake[J]. Journal of Hydroecology, 2021, 42(6): 41-48.]
[16]	李建茹, 李兴. 基于SOM的乌梁素海浮游植物群落结构研究[J]. 生态环境学报, 2017, 26(4): 649-657.
	[Li Jianru, Li Xing. Application of self-organizing map to analysis of phytoplankton community structure in Wuliangsuhai Lake, China[J]. Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 2017, 26(4): 649-657.]
[17]	姜忠峰, 李畅游. 乌梁素海进出水量变化及水量平衡初步分析[J]. 人民黄河, 2013, 35(9): 76-78.
	[Jiang Zhongfeng, Li Changyou. Preliminary analysis of lnflow and outflow changes and water balance of Wuliangsu Lake[J]. Yellow River, 2013, 35(9): 76-78.]
[18]	Li D, Zhang J, Wang G, et al. Impact of changes in water management on hydrology and environment: A case study in north China[J]. Journal of Hydro-environment Research, 2020, 28: 75-84.
[19]	万芳. 乌梁素海生态补水研究[D]. 西安: 西安理工大学, 2011.
	[Wan Fang. Study on ecological water replenishment in Wuliangsuhai[D]. Xi’an: Xi’an University of Technology, 2011.]
[20]	苏龙飞, 李振轩, 高飞, 等. 遥感影像水体提取研究综述[J]. 国土资源遥感, 2021, 33(1): 9-19.
	[Su Longfei, Li Zhenxuan, Gao Fei, et al. A review of remote sensing image water extraction[J]. Remote Sensing for Natural Resources, 2021, 33(1): 9-19.]
[21]	Mcfeeters S K. The use of the normalized difference water index (NDWI) in the delineation of open water features[J]. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 1996, 17(7): 1425-1432.
[22]	徐涵秋. 利用改进的归一化差异水体指数(MNDWI)提取水体信息的研究[J]. 遥感学报, 2005, 9(5): 589-595.
	[Xu Hanqiu. A study on information extraction of water body with the modified normalized difference water index (MNDWI)[J]. Journal of Remote Sensing, 2005, 9(5): 589-595.]
[23]	周成虎. 遥感影像地学理解与分析[D]. 北京: 科学出版社, 1999.
	[Zhou Chenghu. Understanding and analysis of remote sensing image geoscience[D]. Beijing: Science Press, 1999.]
[24]	Smith R G A L. Crop evapotranspiration: Guidelines for computing crop water requirements-FAO irrigation and drainage paper 56[R]. Rome, FAO-Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 1998.
[25]	王鹏飞, 郭云艳, 周康, 等. 1961—2018年呼伦湖水面面积变化特征及其对气候变化的响应[J]. 环境科学研究, 2021, 34(4): 792-800.
	[Wang Pengfei, Guo Yunyan, Zhou Kang, et al. Variation of lake area of Hulun Lake during 1961—2018 and its response to climate change[J]. Research of Environmental Sciences, 2021, 34(4): 792-800.]
[26]	魏凤英. 现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M]. 北京: 气象出版社, 2007: 120-127.
	[Wei Fengying. Modern climate statistical diagnosis and prediction technology[M]. Beijing: China Meteorological Press, 2007: 120-127.]
[27]	田昊玮, 陈伏龙, 龙爱华, 等. 博尔塔拉河源流区径流对气候变化的响应及预测[J]. 干旱区地理, 2023, 46(9): 1432-1442. doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2022.555
	[Tian Haowei, Chen Fulong, Long Aihua, et al. Response and prediction of runoff to climate change in the headwaters of the Bortala River[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2023, 46(9): 1432-1442.] doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2022.555
[28]	李秀, 郎琪, 雷坤, 等. 1958—2018年永定河流域蒸发皿蒸发量的变化特征及其影响因子分析[J]. 气候与环境研究, 2021, 26(3): 323-332.
	[Li Xiu, Lang Qi, Lei Kun, et al. Variation characteristics of pan evaporation and the influencing factorsin the Yongding River Basin during 1958—2018[J]. Climatic and Environmental Research, 2021, 26(3): 323-332.]
[29]	孟爽, 姚亦鹏, 胡冰涛, 等. 蒙新高原岱海夏季叶绿素a浓度空间分布及影响因子[J]. 湖泊科学, 2023, 35(4): 1255-1268.
	[Meng Shuang, Yao Yipeng, Hu Bingtao, et al. Daihai of Mengxin Plateau spatial distribution characteristics of chlorophyl-a concentration in summer and its influencing factors in lake[J]. Journal of Lake Sciences, 2023, 35(4): 1255-1268.]
[30]	马龙, 吴敬禄. 近50年来内蒙古河套平原气候及湖泊环境演变[J]. 干旱区研究, 2010, 27(6): 871-877.
	[Ma Long, Wu Jinglu. Climate and lake environment change in the Hetao Plain of Inner Mongolia in recent 50 years[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2010, 27(6): 871-877.]
[31]	张保龙, 于亮亮, 赵宇新, 等. 乌梁素海流域近60年气候变化特征研究[J]. 宁夏工程技术, 2021, 20(4): 289-294.
	[Zhang Baolong, Yu Liangliang, Zhao Yuxin, et al. Analysis of climate change characteristics in Wuliangsu Lake Basin in recent 60 years[J]. Ningxia Engineering Technology, 2021, 20(4): 289-294.]
[32]	Chen Z, An C, Tan Q, et al. Spatiotemporal analysis of land use pattern and stream water quality in southern Alberta, Canada[J]. Journal of Contaminant Hydrology, 2021, 242: 103852, doi: 10.1016/j.jconhyd.2021.103852.
[33]	李山羊, 郭华明, 黄诗峰, 等. 1973—2014年河套平原湿地变化研究[J]. 资源科学, 2016, 38(1): 19-29. doi: 10.18402/resci.2016.01.03
	[Li Shanyang, Guo Huaming, Huang Shifeng, et al. Variation in Hetao Basin wetlands from 1973 to 2014[J]. Resources Science, 2016, 38(1): 19-29.] doi: 10.18402/resci.2016.01.03
[34]	李帅, 曲伟, 张婷婷, 等. 基于遥感影像的乌梁素海水面面积及水量变化研究[J]. 人民黄河, 2023, 45(增刊1): 22-23.
	[Li Shuai, Qu Wei, Zhang Tingting, et al. Study on sea surface area and water volume change of Wuliangsu Sea based on remote sensing images[J]. Yellow River, 2023, 45(Suppl. 1): 22-23.]
[35]	Gyau-Boakye P. Environmental impacts of the Akosombo Dam and effects of climate change on the lake levels[J]. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 2001, 3(1): 17-29.
[36]	张娜, 乌力吉, 刘松涛, 等. 呼伦湖地区气候变化特征及其对湖泊面积的影响[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2015, 29(7): 192-197.
	[Zhang Na, Wu Liji, Liu Songtao, et al. The characteristics of climate change and its influence on water area of Hulun Lake[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2015, 29(7): 192-197.]
[37]	张文星. 乌梁素海湿地芦苇空间分布信息提取及地上生物量遥感估算[D]. 呼和浩特: 内蒙古大学, 2017.
	[Zhang Wenxing. Extraction of spatial distribution information of Phragmites augustrum in Wuliangsuhai wetland and remote sensing estimation of aboveground biomass[D]. Hohhot: Inner Mongolia University, 2017.]
[38]	于瑞宏, 李畅游, 刘廷玺, 等. 乌梁素海湿地环境的演变[J]. 地理学报, 2004, 59(6): 948-955.
	[Yu Ruihong, Li Changyou, Liu Tingxi, et al. Change of wetland environment in Wuliangsuhai[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2004, 59(6): 948-955.] doi: 10.11821/xb200406018

数据系列	影像成像日期（年-月）	行列号	分辨率/m
Landsat5 TM	1986-10、1987-08、1988-08、1989-10、1990-09、1991-07、1992-09、1993-09、1994-07、1998-09、1999-09、2000-08	128/32	30
Landsat7 ETM+	2001-08、2002-09、2004-07、2005-06、2006-07、2007-07、2008-09、2009-06、2010-06、2011-08、2012-08、2014-09	128/32	30
Landsat8 OLI	2013-09、2015-07、2016-06、2017-07、2018-06、2019-07、2020-07、2021-09	128/32	30

水体指数	计算公式	作者
NDWI	NDWI=(Green-NIR)/(Green+NIR)	Mcfeeters^[21]
MNDWI	MNDWI=(Green-MIR)/(Green+MIR)	徐涵秋^[22]
谱间关系	Green+Red>NIR+SWIR1	周成虎^[23]

水体提取方法	总体分类精度/%	Kappa 系数	制图精度/%	用户精度/%
NDWI	39.62	0.0725	15.68	91.68
MNDWI	43.19	0.1202	26.42	93.86
谱间关系	55.42	0.3195	91.26	73.83
监督分类	97.80	0.9498	96.81	96.43

年份	变化量/km²	变化率/%	变异系数/%	平均值/km²
1986—2021年	16.14	5.11	4.77	338.36
1986—2001年	10.67	3.37	3.30	326.07
2002—2021年	-9.88	-2.89	3.62	348.20

气象因子	倾向率/(10a)^-1	线性趋势检验	趋势统计量（Z）	M-K趋势检验	变化趋势
气温/℃	0.529	<0.01	5.088	显著	上升
降水量/mm	6.566	>0.05	0.505	不显著	上升
相对湿度/%	1.166	>0.05	-1.898	不显著	下降
潜在蒸散发/mm	14.480	>0.05	4.593	不显著	上升

近40 a流域气候变化与人类活动双重驱动下乌梁素海面积变化特征研究

Area change characteristics of Wuliangsuhai Lake driven by climate change and human activities in the basin in the past 40 years

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

赞

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

图/表 17

参考文献 38

相关文章 15

Metrics

本文评价

推荐阅读 0

指标	气温	降水量	相对湿度	潜在蒸散发
相关系数	0.351^*	0.176	-0.132	-0.428^**
指标	人口	国内生产总值	农作物播种面积	总入湖水量
相关系数	0.587^**	0.468^**	0.432^**	-0.149

影响因子	系数	标准化系数	t	显著性P
常量	414.594	-	6.646	0.013
人口	0.573	0.341	3.209	0.003
国内生产总值	0.031	0.685	5.338	0.001
潜在蒸散发	-0.140	-0.313	-3.100	0.004
总入湖水量	-3.459	-0.395	-2.954	0.006

影响因子	影响因子变化	湖泊面积变化/km²	贡献率/%
人口	7.10×10⁴人	4.07	18.37
GDP	5.49×10¹⁰元	17.00	76.83
潜在蒸散发	-12.21 mm	1.71	7.73
入湖水量	0.68×10⁸ m³	-2.34	-10.57

[1]	康立民, 滕心如, 车佳航, 怀保娟. 昆仑山北坡区域积雪时空变化特征[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(9): 1462-1471.
[2]	王南, 刘泽轩, 郑江华, 仲涛, 孟乘枫. 天山冰湖分布时空特征及驱动力分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(9): 1472-1481.
[3]	超宝, 赵媛媛, 武海岩, 李媛, 苏宁. 2000—2020年蒙古高原生态系统服务及其对气候因子的响应[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(9): 1577-1586.
[4]	徐晓亮, 刘旭义, 关靖云, 杨晶晶, 王明辰, 暴龙飞. 中国西部边疆民族地区文旅融合高质量发展时空演化及驱动因素分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(9): 1596-1605.
[5]	李稚, 朱成刚, 汪家友, 刘永昌, 王川, 张雪琪, 韩诗茹, 方功焕. 东昆仑库木库里盆地典型湖泊水量蒸发损失估算[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(8): 1263-1276.
[6]	夏婷婷, 薛璇, 王灏伟, 徐文哲, 盛紫怡, 汪洋. 昆仑山北坡陆地水储量变化及其驱动因素分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(8): 1292-1303.
[7]	朱成刚, 陈亚宁, 张明军, 车彦军, 孙美平, 赵锐锋, 汪洋, 刘玉婷. 昆仑山北坡水资源科学考察初报[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(7): 1097-1105.
[8]	张晶, 马龙, 刘廷玺, 孙柏林, 乔子戌. 基于贺兰山青海云杉（Picea crassifolia）树轮对过去202 a最低气温的重建[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(6): 909-921.
[9]	樊静, 申彦波, 常蕊. 气候变化对太阳能资源评估典型气象年选取的影响[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(6): 922-931.
[10]	纪王迪, 黄晓军, 包微, 马耀壮. 关中地区人类活动强度与地表温度的时空关联特征及其驱动作用[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(6): 967-979.
[11]	利辉, 刘铁军, 王少慧, 刘东伟. 2001—2021年内蒙古荒漠草原水分利用效率时空变化特征及影响因素研究[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(6): 993-1003.
[12]	向燕芸, 王弋, 陈亚宁, 张齐飞, 张玉杰. 基于CMIP6模式的叶尔羌河流域未来水文干旱风险预估[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(5): 798-809.
[13]	黄云博, 张翀, 王玉丹. 渭河流域植被覆盖变化趋势及其对土壤干湿状况的响应[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(5): 841-849.
[14]	朱磊, 王科, 丁一民, 孙振源, 孙伯颜. 基于Sentinel-2的青铜峡灌区水稻和玉米种植分布早期识别[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(5): 850-860.
[15]	赵明杰, 王宁练, 石晨烈, 侯靖琪. 2000—2020年中亚大型湖泊湖冰物候时空变化[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(4): 561-575.