黄河流域旅游经济与居民福祉耦合协调时空演变及驱动机制研究

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.459

Abstract

Abstract:

The synergistic development and mutual empowerment of the tourism economy and residents’ well-being are the core pathway to advancing high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin of China. This study selected 78 prefecture-level cities in the basin as the sample. By constructing a comprehensive index evaluation system and employing methods such as the entropy weighted technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution, the coupling coordination model, exploratory spatial data analysis, geographical detector, and the geographically and temporally weighted regression model, this study systematically analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution of coupling coordination between the tourism economy and residents’ well-being in the basin from 2013 to 2022. It also clarifies the current development status of their coupling coordination level and explores its multi-dimensional driving mechanisms from three dimensions—natural endowment, economic development, and social civilization. The research findings are as follows: (1) The coupling coordination degree between the tourism economy and residents’ well-being in the Yellow River Basin exhibits an overall “M” shaped trend. The coupling coordination degree demonstrates distinct spatial differentiation characterized by higher values in the east and lower values in the west, forming a concentric-layer structure with core-periphery diffusion. (2) The coupled and coordinated development of these two aspects within the Yellow River Basin is influenced by the interplay of three factors—natural endowment, economic development, and social civilization. Among these, natural endowment offers the fundamental support for development; economic growth serves as the core driving force; and social civilization plays a regulatory and supporting role. (3) Green coverage area, regional gross domestic product, total fixed asset investment, and the proportion of tourism-related fixed asset investment promote the coordinated coupling between tourism economics and residents’ well-being in the Yellow River Basin. Conversely, population density per unit of land area exerts a certain inhibitory effect on this coupling. Each influencing factor exhibits distinct spatial heterogeneity. The Yellow River Basin upstream efforts should strengthen ecological development to enhance the advantages of ecotourism. Midstream initiatives should promote the transformation of scientific and technological achievements into tourism applications. Downstream measures should improve investment quality and innovation efficiency.

Key words: tourism economy, residents’ well-being, coupling coordination, spatiotemporal characteristics, Yellow River Basin

GAO Ying, ZHOU Keli, YUAN Yuan, SHI Xinru, WU Jialin. Spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanism of coupling coordination between tourism economy and residents’ well-being in the Yellow River Basin[J].Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(7): 1493-1508.

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References 26

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一级指标	二级指标	三级指标	单位	属性	权重
旅游经济	旅游经济资源	A级景区数量	个	正	0.0639
		星级酒店数量	个	正	0.0672
		博物馆个数	个	正	0.0911
		国家级非物质文化遗产数	个	正	0.0650
	旅游经济效益	国内旅游收入	10⁸元	正	0.0972
		旅游总收入	10⁸元	正	0.0991
		人均旅游消费	元·人^-1	正	0.0350
		旅游产值密度	10⁴元·km^-2	正	0.1593
	旅游经济规模	国内旅游人数	10⁴人	正	0.0827
	旅游经济规模	旅游总人数	10⁴人	正	0.0831
	旅游持续能力	旅游总收入增长率	%	正	0.0107
		旅游总人数增长率	%	正	0.0122
		旅游总收入占GDP比重增长率	%	正	0.0202
		旅游固定资产	10⁸元	正	0.1133
居民福祉	社会保障	人均社会消费品总额	元·人^-1	正	0.1169
		城镇居民人均可支配收入	10⁴元·人^-1	正	0.0685
		农村居民人均可支配收入	10⁴元·人^-1	正	0.0371
		年末单位从业人数	人	正	0.1568
	医疗健康	每万人医院卫生院床位数	张·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.0359
		每万人卫生技术人员数	人·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.0612
		每万人执业助理医师	人·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.0420
		每万人注册护师、护士数	人·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.0409
	人居环境	PM_2.5浓度	μg·m^-3	负	0.0207
	人居环境	人均公园绿地面积	km²·人^-1	正	0.0410
	教育科技	教育支出占财政支出的比例	%	正	0.0676
		公共图书馆数量	个	正	0.1424
		数字普惠金融指数	-	正	0.0539
		每百人互联网用户数	户·(100人)^-1	正	0.0580
		每百人移动电话用户数	户·(100人)^-1	正	0.0570

耦合协调度（D）	耦合协调度等级	耦合协调度（D）	耦合协调度等级
0.0<D≤0.1	极度失调	0.5<D≤0.6	勉强协调
0.1<D≤0.2	严重失调	0.6<D≤0.7	初级协调
0.2<D≤0.3	中度失调	0.7<D≤0.8	中级协调
0.3<D≤0.4	轻度失调	0.8<D≤0.9	良好协调
0.4<D≤0.5	濒临失调	0.9<D≤1.0	优质协调

年份	全局莫兰指数	Z得分
2013	0.402	5.423
2014	0.349	5.027
2015	0.375	5.063
2016	0.324	4.393
2017	0.328	4.456
2018	0.332	4.034
2019	0.296	3.695
2020	0.260	3.570
2021	0.314	4.280
2022	0.309	4.230

系统层	准则层	指标层
自然禀赋	资源禀赋	绿化覆盖面积（X₁）/hm²
	气候条件	年均气温（X₂）/℃
	人口密度	单位土地面积人口数（X₃）/人·km^-2
经济发展	经济条件	地区生产总值（X₄）/10⁸元
	投资力度	固定资产投资总额（X₅）/10⁴元
	金融发展	金融机构贷款余额（X₆）/10⁴元
社会文明	科技创新	专利授权数（X₇）/件
	交通便利	公路密度（X₈）/km·km^-2
	政府规制	政府财政支出占GDP比重（X₉）/%
	投资政策	旅游固定资产投资占比（X₁₀）/%

驱动因子	2013年	2016年	2019年	2022年	2013—2022年
驱动因子	2013年	2016年	2019年	2022年	平均值	排序
X₁	0.628^***	0.539^***	0.608^***	0.639^***	0.635	5
X₂	0.283^***	0.282^**	0.251^**	0.301^***	0.279	7
X₃	0.318^***	0.283^**	0.265^**	0.335^**	0.300	6
X₄	0.713^***	0.678^***	0.710^***	0.717^***	0.705	1
X₅	0.713^***	0.737^***	0.626^***	0.644^**	0.680	2
X₆	0.709^***	0.634^***	0.671^***	0.676^***	0.673	3
X₇	0.693^***	0.646^***	0.606^***	0.716^***	0.665	4
X₈	0.299^***	0.253^***	0.199^***	0.209^**	0.198	10
X₉	0.324^***	0.284^***	0.327^***	0.287^***	0.240	8
X₁₀	0.289^**	0.258^***	0.159	0.207	0.228	9

Spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanism of coupling coordination between tourism economy and residents’ well-being in the Yellow River Basin

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