甘肃省人口-经济-社会-资源-环境系统耦合协调及可持续发展时空综合测度研究

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2020.06.24

干旱区地理 ›› 2020, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (6): 1622-1634.doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2020.06.24

甘肃省人口-经济-社会-资源-环境系统耦合协调及可持续发展时空综合测度研究

李恒吉 ^1,2，曲建升^1,2，庞家幸 ¹，徐丽¹，韩金雨 ¹

1 兰州大学资源环境学院，甘肃兰州 730000； 2 中国科学院兰州文献情报中心 / 全球变化研究信息中心，甘肃兰州 730000

收稿日期:2019-08-21 修回日期:2020-03-27 出版日期:2020-11-25 发布日期:2020-11-25
通讯作者: 曲建升（1973-），男，山东省莱阳人，研究员，博导，主要研究领域为可持续发展与碳排放方面的研究.
作者简介:李恒吉（1985-），男，甘肃省庆阳人，在读博士，助理研究员，主要从事区域可持续发展与碳排放方面的研究. E-mail: lihengji@llas.ac.cn
基金资助:
国家重点研发计划项目“结构调整与减排管理对碳排放强度的作用规律及参数化”（2016YFA0602803）；国家自然科学基金项目（41561110，41261112）

Spatial-temporal synthetic measurement of coupling coordination and sustainable development of population-economy-society-resource- environment system in Gansu Province

LI Heng-ji^1,2, QU Jian-sheng^1,2, PANG Jia-xing¹, XU Li¹, HAN Jin-yu¹

1 College of Earth and Environmental Science, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China; 2 Lanzhou Information Center, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, China

Received:2019-08-21 Revised:2020-03-27 Online:2020-11-25 Published:2020-11-25

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 如何实现人口、经济、社会、资源、环境系统的协调及可持续发展，是全人类共同面临的难题。以甘肃全省及其各市州为研究对象，基于 GIS 技术和各种数学分析方法，开展人口-经济-社会-资源-环境系统协调及可持续发展时空综合测度研究。结果表明：甘肃省及各市州的可持续发展综合水平总体上均呈现逐步上升趋势。甘肃省及各市州 5 大系统的耦合协调发展水平均保持稳步上升的良好趋势。可持续发展综合水平重心总体上在向东南方向移动，各子系统可持续发展水平重心，大致沿西北—东南方向分布。5 大系统耦合协调度重心大致向东偏移，但偏移幅度不大，其演变相对比较平稳。

关键词: 可持续发展, 耦合协调, 时空, 系统, 指标

Abstract: How to achieve the coordination and sustainable development of population, economy, society, resource, and environment system is a common problem facing all mankind. This research uses various mathematical analysis methods and GIS technology on the Gansu Province, China and its sub- regions to conduct the spatial- temporal comprehensive measurement of coordination and sustainable development of population-economy-society-resource- environment system. It makes up for the lack of the research of sustainable development form single angle, and it provides theoretical support and decision-making basis to realize a strategy for the sustainable development of Gansu Province. The results are as follows. Overall, the comprehensive level of sustainable development in Gansu Province shows gradual upwards. Among them, the level of sustainable development of economic and social subsystems is growing faster. The sustainable development level of population and environment subsystems is growing steadily, and the sustainable development level of resource subsystem fluctuates greatly. The comprehensive level of sustainable development in each city and state shows a gradual upward trend. However, the increase is limited and volatile in some areas. Among them, the development trend of sustainable development level of each subsystem is different with obvious spatial differences. The coordination development level of the five systems in Gansu Province keeps a good steady rising trend. The evolution of the coordination development level of the five systems in each city and state is basically in line with the steady growth trend. The evolution trend is basically consistent with that of the whole Gansu province. Among them, the number of regions in the state of maladjusted recession and on the verge of maladjusted recession is gradually decreasing, while the number of regions in the state of coordination development and reluctant coordination development is gradually increasing. On the whole, the gravity center of the comprehensive level of sustainable development is moving towards southeast. The comprehensive level of sustainable development in the southeastern part of Gansu Province has grown fast with strong momentum of development. The sustainable development level focuses on the subsystems distributed along the northwest-southeast direction, where the northwest-southeast migration is the dominant direction. Among them, the gravity center of the economic subsystem and population subsystem focus on the northwest distribution, while the gravity center of the resource subsystem shifts to southeast. The gravity center of the society and environment subsystems is observed to be in the middle. The gravity center of the coupling coordination degree of the five systems shifts to eastward but the migration range is not large and its evolution is relatively stable. The gravity center offset distance of coupling coordination degree in the east- west direction is greater than the north- south direction. That is, the growth rate difference of the coordination development level among the five systems in the east-west direction is greater than that in the north-south direction.

Key words: sustainable development, coupling coordination, spatial-temporal, system, index

李恒吉, 曲建升, 庞家幸, 徐丽, 韩金雨 . 甘肃省人口-经济-社会-资源-环境系统耦合协调及可持续发展时空综合测度研究[J]. 干旱区地理, 2020, 43(6): 1622-1634.

LI Heng-ji, QU Jian-sheng, PANG Jia-xing, XU Li, HAN Jin-yu. Spatial-temporal synthetic measurement of coupling coordination and sustainable development of population-economy-society-resource- environment system in Gansu Province[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2020, 43(6): 1622-1634.

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甘肃省人口-经济-社会-资源-环境系统耦合协调及可持续发展时空综合测度研究

Spatial-temporal synthetic measurement of coupling coordination and sustainable development of population-economy-society-resource- environment system in Gansu Province

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