中国省域经济韧性与生态效率测度及其协同演化分析

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000－6060.2023.178

Abstract

Abstract:

Integrating the dynamic balance between economic resilience and eco-efficiency is important for achieving sustainable regional development. This study focuses on 30 provincial units in China from 2001 to 2020 as the research objects. Economic resilience, measured within the framework of the domestic provincial, regional adaptive cycle theory, and the driving-pressure-state-response (DPSR) model, was assessed using the combined weight model. Eco-efficiency, evaluated under the input-output theory, employed the global undesired superefficient slack based measurement (SBM) model. The synergistic evolutionary characteristics of economic resilience and eco-efficiency were elucidated using an improved Harken model. The results indicate the following factors: (1) Economic resilience substantially increased during the sample observation period, accompanied by notable regional differences and unbalanced development in the north and south regions, exemplifying a certain “East-Central-Northeast-West” ladder effect. (2) The overall trend of eco-efficiency levels decreased, with regional differences undergoing the phases of “expansion-shrinking-re-expansion”. This was marked by a considerable step imbalance and a decreasing spatial distribution from “coastal-inland”. (3) The synergistic evolution between economic resilience and eco-efficiency progressed through three stages of stabilization, decline, and stability. Importantly, no step imbalance was observed between these regions. Economic resilience, serving as a sequential parameter of synergistic evolution, emerges as the dominant factor influencing the sustainable development of the region.

Key words: economic resilience, eco-efficiency, synergistic evolution, global undesired superefficient SBM model, China

ZHOU Xia, WANG Jia. Measurement and synergistic evolution analysis of the economic resilience and eco-efficiency of provincial regions in China[J].Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(2): 319-331.

Figures/Tables 10

Fig. 1

Tab. 1

Tab. 2

Fig. 2

Fig. 3

Fig. 4

Fig. 5

Tab. 3

Results of the Harken model from 2001 to 2020"

假设条件	演化方程	控制参量	结论
$q 1 = E G G q 2 = J R R$	$l n E G G (t) = 0.816068 l n E G G (t - 1) * * * - 0.079511 l n E G G (t - 1) l n J R R (t - 1) - 0.151525 l n J R R (t) = 1.001325 l n J R R (t - 1) * * * - 0.005506 l n E G G (t - 1) 2 + 0.045938$	$λ 1 = 0.183932$ $λ 2 = - 0.001325$ $a = - 0.079511$ $b = - 0.005506$	a.拟合方程成立 b.不满足“绝热近似”假设 c.假设不成立
$q 1 = J R R q 2 = E G G$	$l n J R R (t) = 0.995228 l n J R R (t - 1) * * * - 0.005961 l n J R R (t - 1) l n E G G (t - 1) + 0.037348 l n E G G (t) = 0.925077 l n E G G (t - 1) * * * - 0.05628 l n J R R (t - 1) 2 - 0.043988$	$λ 1 = 0.004772$ $λ 2 = 0.074923$ $a = 0.005961$ $b = - 0.05628$	a.拟合方程成立 b.满足“绝热近似”假设 c.假设成立

Tab. 3

Fig. 6

Fig. 7

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指标类别	准则层	指标层	指标含义及方向	权重
开发驱动	人口总量	常住人口	美好生活向往基数（+）	0.06757
	城镇化水平	城镇化率	常住人口城镇化率（+）	0.03520
	生活消费	城镇恩格尔系数	城镇居民消费水平（-）	0.03729
	生活消费	农村恩格尔系数	农村居民消费水平（-）	0.04408
维持承压	外贸依存	外贸依存度*	城市贸易压力（-）	0.04112
	失业风险	城镇登记失业率	失业对经济的冲击（-）	0.02680
	金融风险	金融机构贷存比	金融机构流动性风险（-）	0.04586
抵抗释放	经济规模	人均GDP*	经济发展的稳定性（+）	0.04943
	产业结构	产业结构多样化指数	经济稳定器（+）	0.04281
	社会保障	失业保险参保人员/就业人数	社会保障能力（+）	0.05720
	资产投资	固定资产投资*	地区投资规模（+）	0.07746
	消费零售	社会消费品零售总额*	地区市场规模（+）	0.06833
恢复重组	资源调配	一般公共预算收入*	政府调动资源的能力（+）	0.06638
	居民抵抗力	人均可支配收入*	反映居民抗风险能力（+）	0.04887
	资本投入	科学技术投入*	创新投入水平（+）	0.09309
	成果数量	专利申请受理数	创新成果产出水平（+）	0.11595
	成果质量	专利申请质量	创新成果产出质量（+）	0.04952
	储备力量	每万人高等在校学生数	人力资本水平（+）	0.03306

指标类别	准则层	指标层	单位	具体说明
投入	经济要素	资本存量	10⁸元	永续盘存法
		年末就业人数	10⁴人	劳动力投入
	自然资源	建设用地面积	km²	土地投入
		能源消耗总量	10⁴ t标准煤	能源投入
		用水总量	10⁸ m³	水资源投入
产出	期望产出	实际地区生产总值*	10⁴元	经济产出
	非期望产出	工业废水排放量	10⁴ t	液态
		烟尘排放量	10⁴ t	固态
		SO₂排放量	10⁴ t	气态
		CO₂排放量	10⁴ t	气态

Measurement and synergistic evolution analysis of the economic resilience and eco-efficiency of provincial regions in China

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