Arid Land Geography ›› 2025, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (6): 1089-1102.doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.504
• Territory Resources and Tourism Geography • Previous Articles Next Articles
NIE Hanyu1(), ZHANG Yanhui2, LI Hui3(
), ZHENG Yaomin4
Received:
2024-08-21
Revised:
2024-10-07
Online:
2025-06-25
Published:
2025-06-18
Contact:
LI Hui
E-mail:niehanyu@yeah.net;lihuimarketing@163.com
NIE Hanyu, ZHANG Yanhui, LI Hui, ZHENG Yaomin. Spatio-temporal evolution and multi-scale barrier factor analysis of tourism ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin[J].Arid Land Geography, 2025, 48(6): 1089-1102.
Tab. 1
Evaluation index system for tourism ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin"
准则层 | 要素层 | 指标层 | 指标释义 | 指标权重 |
---|---|---|---|---|
防御抵抗能力(D) | 经济支撑 | 人均GDP(D1) | 经济基础支撑 | 0.0386(+) |
旅游收入占GDP比重(D2) | 旅游业市场地位 | 0.0313(+) | ||
产业支撑 | 旅游要素集聚水平(D3) | 旅游产业对旅游生态系统的支撑 | 0.0986(+) | |
旅行社与星级饭店数量(D4) | 旅游接待能力 | 0.0305(+) | ||
社会压力 | 游客密度指数(D5) | 游客活动对旅游地人口结构和生态环境的压力程度 | 0.0029(-) | |
旅游交通压力(D6) | 游客流动对旅游地交通基础设施的压力程度 | 0.0027(-) | ||
旅游空间指数(D7) | 游客活动对国土空间资源的胁迫 | 0.0055(-) | ||
生态压力 | 废水排放量(D8) | 污染物排放对旅游生态系统(包括水体环境、空气质量、 气候变化等)产生的负面影响及破坏程度 | 0.0075(-) | |
SO2排放量(D9) | 0.0128(-) | |||
碳排放量(D10) | 0.0121(-) | |||
恢复适应能力(R) | 内部驱动 | 人均旅游消费支出(R1) | 系统运行对旅游地经济收益、旅游市场的影响 | 0.0290(+) |
旅游接待人次(R2) | 旅游市场活力及吸引力水平 | 0.0704(+) | ||
旅游从业人员比例(R3) | 旅游就业吸纳能力及人才资本水平 | 0.0256(+) | ||
外部保障 | 人均拥有道路面积(R4) | 交通基础设施保障水平 | 0.0161(+) | |
人均医疗卫生机构床位数(R5) | 公共卫生服务保障水平 | 0.0264(+) | ||
互联网普及率(R6) | 通讯保障水平 | 0.0266(+) | ||
资源环境 | 森林覆盖率(R7) | 旅游生态系统环境保护及健康状况 | 0.0207(+) | |
自然保护区占辖区面积比例(R8) | 0.0285(+) | |||
水资源总量(R9) | 0.0665(+) | |||
城市公园绿地面积(R10) | 0.0566(+) | |||
创新进化能力(I) | 经济调控 | 财政支出占GDP比重(I1) | 旅游生态系统潜在财政支持 | 0.0282(+) |
环境污染治理投资占GDP比重(I2) | 旅游生态系统实际资金投入 | 0.0270(+) | ||
产业提升 | 旅游收入增长率(I3) | 旅游业产业增长能力 | 0.0075(+) | |
旅游接待人次增长率(I4) | 0.0049(+) | |||
创新研发 | 旅游R&D经费(I5) | 旅游创新研发经费投入 | 0.1073(+) | |
旅游发明专利授权量(I6) | 旅游创新研发成果产出 | 0.1221(+) | ||
旅游院校学生数量(I7) | 旅游创新研发人才支撑 | 0.0574(+) | ||
环境治理 | 固体废物综合利用率(I8) | 旅游生态系统环境保护与污染防治效率 | 0.0158(+) | |
生活垃圾无害化处理率(I9) | 0.0105(+) | |||
污水处理率(I10) | 0.0104(+) |
Tab. 2
Calculation results based on the Markov transition probalility matrix (2000—2022)"
区域 | t/t+1 | 旅游生态韧性发展水平 | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
低 | 较低 | 中 | 高 | ||
黄河上游 | 低 | 0.857 | 0.071 | 0.071 | 0.000 |
较低 | 0.111 | 0.667 | 0.222 | 0.000 | |
中 | 0.037 | 0.259 | 0.593 | 0.111 | |
高 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.107 | 0.893 | |
黄河中游 | 低 | 0.727 | 0.273 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
较低 | 0.182 | 0.364 | 0.455 | 0.000 | |
中 | 0.091 | 0.364 | 0.364 | 0.182 | |
高 | 0.091 | 0.000 | 0.182 | 0.727 | |
黄河下游 | 低 | 0.583 | 0.333 | 0.083 | 0.000 |
较低 | 0.273 | 0.545 | 0.182 | 0.000 | |
中 | 0.000 | 0.100 | 0.700 | 0.200 | |
高 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.182 | 0.818 |
Tab. 3
Global Moran’s I of tourism ecological resilience development level in the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2022"
年份 | Moran’s I | Z值 | P值 | 年份 | Moran’s I | Z值 | P值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | 0.210 | 1.657 | 0.048** | 2012 | 0.417 | 2.785 | 0.003*** |
2001 | 0.253 | 1.800 | 0.035** | 2013 | 0.354 | 2.530 | 0.006*** |
2002 | 0.244 | 1.758 | 0.040** | 2014 | 0.457 | 2.800 | 0.003*** |
2003 | 0.495 | 2.678 | 0.004*** | 2015 | 0.497 | 2.822 | 0.002*** |
2004 | 0.439 | 2.448 | 0.007*** | 2016 | 0.571 | 3.156 | 0.001*** |
2005 | 0.392 | 2.532 | 0.006*** | 2017 | 0.544 | 2.983 | 0.001*** |
2006 | 0.492 | 2.825 | 0.002*** | 2018 | 0.503 | 2.745 | 0.003*** |
2007 | 0.356 | 2.303 | 0.011** | 2019 | 0.466 | 2.543 | 0.005*** |
2008 | 0.260 | 1.898 | 0.029** | 2020 | 0.448 | 2.522 | 0.006*** |
2009 | 0.367 | 2.393 | 0.008*** | 2021 | 0.355 | 2.104 | 0.018** |
2010 | 0.370 | 2.374 | 0.009*** | 2022 | 0.477 | 2.740 | 0.003*** |
2011 | 0.366 | 2.434 | 0.007*** |
Tab. 4
Main obstacle factors (top five) in the tourism ecological resilience index layer in the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2022 /%"
年份 | 青海 | 四川 | 甘肃 | 宁夏 | 内蒙古 | 陕西 | 山西 | 河南 | 山东 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | I6(15.56) | D3(15.68) | I5(12.82) | I6(15.39) | I6(15.26) | D3(12.69) | I5(14.89) | I5(11.99) | I6(27.78) |
I5(13.68) | I7(11.55) | D3(11.87) | I5(13.52) | I5(13.34) | R9(9.62) | D3(12.06) | R9(9.34) | R9(13.43) | |
D3(12.57) | I6(9.27) | I6(9.91) | D3(11.79) | D3(12.26) | R10(8.14) | R9(9.86) | I6(7.61) | I5(10.28) | |
R2(8.87) | R10(8.34) | R2(7.97) | R2(8.87) | R2(8.17) | I7(7.90) | I7(7.99) | I7(7.17) | I1(6.42) | |
I7(7.26) | D1(7.50) | R9(7.46) | R9(8.39) | R9(7.19) | R2(7.18) | R10(6.77) | D1(5.50) | I2(5.27) | |
2007 | I6(15.60) | I6(16.37) | I6(14.35) | I6(15.07) | I6(15.68) | I6(16.35) | I6(14.56) | I6(12.65) | R9(20.39) |
I5(13.72) | D3(15.03) | I5(12.59) | I5(13.23) | I5(13.37) | D3(11.10) | I5(12.40) | I5(10.93) | I1(10.36) | |
D3(12.60) | R10(7.71) | D3(11.80) | D3(11.66) | D3(12.84) | I5(8.48) | R9(9.34) | R9(9.32) | R8(9.51) | |
R2(8.87) | D1(6.66) | R2(7.86) | R2(8.69) | R2(8.34) | R9(8.08) | D3(9.20) | R10(5.71) | I2(7.82) | |
I7(7.34) | I5(5.92) | R9(7.20) | R9(8.21) | R9(7.77) | R10(6.92) | R10(6.87) | R8(4.99) | R5(6.81) | |
2014 | I6(15.08) | D3(15.00) | I6(14.44) | I5(13.38) | I6(17.35) | I6(12.26) | I6(16.76) | I6(15.03) | R9(20.40) |
I5(13.86) | I6(12.95) | I5(12.12) | I6(12.78) | I5(13.55) | I5(11.15) | I5(12.01) | I5(11.19) | I1(9.15) | |
D3(12.75) | I5(10.99) | D3(11.26) | D3(11.66) | D3(13.55) | D3(10.58) | R9(9.35) | R9(9.30) | R8(8.33) | |
R2(9.05) | R10(7.00) | R9(7.25) | R2(8.77) | R2(9.01) | R9(9.12) | D3(7.28) | R10(4.97) | R1(7.56) | |
I7(7.42) | D1(5.91) | R2(6.80) | R9(8.29) | R9(7.49) | R10(7.32) | R10(6.56) | R8(4.47) | R5(7.41) | |
2022 | I6(15.19) | D3(19.24) | I6(14.68) | I6(14.97) | I6(16.09) | I6(13.30) | I6(14.64) | I6(11.10) | R9(17.27) |
I5(13.35) | I6(14.61) | I5(12.85) | I5(12.94) | I5(13.56) | D3(10.69) | I5(12.50) | I5(10.99) | I7(12.29) | |
D3(12.27) | R10(7.53) | D3(11.98) | D3(10.78) | D3(12.96) | I5(10.38) | D3(9.66) | R9(9.80) | I1(9.48) | |
R2(8.75) | I1(7.31) | R9(7.53) | R2(8.45) | R2(8.33) | R9(9.04) | R9(8.00) | D3(8.34) | I2(8.63) | |
I7(7.14) | I2(6.76) | R2(7.23) | R9(8.22) | I7(7.20) | I7(8.32) | I7(5.97) | I7(6.23) | R8(8.62) |
Tab. 5
Main obstacle factors (top five) in the tourism ecological resilience index layer of various watersheds in the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2022 /%"
年份 | 上游 | 中游 | 下游 |
---|---|---|---|
2000 | I6(13.08) | D3(12.37) | I6(17.69) |
D3(12.83) | R9(9.74) | R9(11.38) | |
I5(10.67) | I5(8.95) | I5(11.13) | |
I7(8.01) | I7(7.94) | I1(5.65) | |
R10(6.86) | R10(7.45) | I2(5.16) | |
2007 | I6(15.42) | I6(15.45) | R9(14.86) |
D3(12.79) | I5(10.44) | I1(7.42) | |
I5(11.76) | D3(10.15) | R8(7.25) | |
R2(7.01) | R9(8.71) | I6(6.33) | |
R10(6.82) | R10(6.90) | I2(6.27) | |
2014 | I6(14.52) | I6(14.51) | R9(14.85) |
D3(12.85) | I5(11.58) | I6(7.51) | |
I5(12.78) | R9(9.24) | I1(6.66) | |
R2(7.03) | D3(8.93) | R8(6.40) | |
R10(6.53) | R10(6.94) | R5(5.78) | |
2022 | I6(15.11) | I6(13.97) | R9(13.53) |
D3(13.45) | I5(11.44) | I7(9.26) | |
I5(10.54) | D3(10.18) | I1(6.88) | |
R10(6.69) | R9(8.52) | R8(6.67) | |
R2(6.55) | I7(7.15) | I2(6.42) |
[1] |
王兆峰, 刘庆芳. 中国省域旅游效率空间网络结构演化及其影响因素[J]. 地理科学, 2021, 41(3): 397-406.
doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2021.03.004 |
[Wang Zhaofeng, Liu Qingfang. The evolution and influencing factors of spatial network structure of China’s provincial tourism efficiency[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2021, 41(3): 397-406. ]
doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2021.03.004 |
|
[2] |
王松茂, 牛金兰. 山东省旅游经济与城市生态韧性协同演化研究[J]. 地理学报, 2023, 78(10): 2591-2608.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb202310013 |
[Wang Songmao, Niu Jinlan. Co-evolution of tourism economy and urban ecological resilience in Shandong Province[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2023, 78(10): 2591-2608. ]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb202310013 |
|
[3] | Holling C S. Resilience and stability of ecological systems[J]. Annual Review of Ecology & Systematics, 1973, 4(1): 1-23. |
[4] | Li Y, Shi Y, Qureshi S, et al. Applying the concept of spatial resilience to socio-ecological systems in the urban wetland interface[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2014, 42(1): 135-146. |
[5] | Ma L, Tao T, Li Z, et al. Study on spatial divergence of rural resilience and optimal governance paths in oasis: The case of Yongchang County in the Hexi Corridor of China[J]. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 2024, 26(2): 4603-4627. |
[6] | Yuan Y, Bai Z, Zhang J, et al. Increasing urban ecological resilience based on ecological security pattern: A case study in a resource-based city[J]. Ecological Engineering, 2022, 175(5): 1064-1086. |
[7] | 杨秀平, 贾云婷, 翁钢民, 等. 城市旅游环境系统韧性的系统动力学研究——以兰州市为例[J]. 旅游科学, 2020, 34(2): 23-40. |
[Yang Xiuping, Jia Yunting, Weng Gangmin, et al. A study on system dynamics of the resilience of urban tourism environment system: A case study of Lanzhou City[J]. Tourism Science, 2020, 34(2): 23-40. ] | |
[8] | 李志远, 夏赞才. 长江经济带旅游业高质量发展水平测度及失配度时空格局探究[J]. 南京师大学报(自然科学版), 2021, 44(4): 33-42. |
[Li Zhiyuan, Xia Zancai. Synergy effect and spatial characteristics analysis of tourism ecological resilience and efficiency in the Yangtze River Economic Belt[J]. Journal of Nanjing Normal University (Natural Science Edition), 2021, 44(4): 33-42. ] | |
[9] | Cochrane J. The sphere of tourism resilience[J]. Tourism Recreation Research, 2010, 35(2): 173-185. |
[10] |
李志远, 冯学钢, 何静, 等. 中国旅游生态韧性空间关联网络结构及其驱动因素[J]. 地理研究, 2024, 43(5): 1146-1165.
doi: 10.11821/dlyj020230737 |
[Li Zhiyuan, Feng Xuegang, He Jing, et al. Spatial correlation network structure and driving factors of tourism ecological resilience in China[J]. Geographical Research, 2024, 43(5): 1146-1165. ] | |
[11] | 张傲翔, 苗成林, 陈峥妍. 黄河流域城市生态韧性、社会网络及其影响因素分析[J/OL]. 干旱区地理. [2025-01-04]. . |
[Zhang Aoxiang, Miao Chenglin, Chen Zhengyan. Urban ecological resilience, social networks and its influencing factors in the Yellow River Basin[J/OL]. Arid Land Geography. [2025-01-04]. http://kns.cnki.net/kcms/detail/65.1103.x.20240524.1707.001.html.] | |
[12] |
郭向阳, 明庆忠, 杨春宇, 等. 喀斯特生态脆弱区旅游生态系统韧性时空变化及多尺度障碍因素——以贵州省为例[J]. 经济地理, 2023, 43(10): 190-200, 230.
doi: 10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2023.10.019 |
[Guo Xiangyang, Ming Qingzhong, Yang Chunyu, et al. Spatiotemporal evolution of tourism ecosystem resilience in karst ecologically fragile areas and its multi-scale obstacle factors: A case study of Guizhou[J]. Economic Geography, 2023, 43(10): 190-200, 230. ]
doi: 10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2023.10.019 |
|
[13] | 方叶林, 吴燕妮, 王秋月, 等. 基于DPSIR模型的城市旅游经济韧性评价与影响因素——以长三角城市群为例[J]. 南京师大学报(自然科学版), 2024, 47(2): 26-34. |
[Fang Yelin, Wu Yanni, Wang Qiuyue, et al. Evaluation and influencing factors of tourism economic resilience based on DPSIR model: A case study of the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration[J]. Journal of Nanjing Normal University (Natural Science Edition), 2024, 47(2): 26-34. ] | |
[14] | 王兆峰, 陈青青. 1998年以来长江经济带旅游生态安全时空格局演化及趋势预测[J]. 生态学报, 2021, 41(1): 320-332. |
[Wang Zhaofeng, Chen Qingqing. Spatio-temporal pattern evolution and trend prediction of tourism ecological security in the Yangtze River Economic Belt since 1998[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica, 2021, 41(1): 320-332. ] | |
[15] |
任洪杰, 李辉尚. 中国乡村生态韧性时空演变特征及影响因素探究[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(11): 1915-1923.
doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.707 |
[Ren Hongjie, Li Huishang. Spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of rural ecological resilience in China[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(11): 1915-1923. ]
doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.707 |
|
[16] | Folke C, Carpenter S R, Walker B, et al. Resilience thinking: Integrating resilience, adaptability and transformability[J]. Ecology and Society, 2010, 15(4): 152-167. |
[17] |
张明斗, 任衍婷, 周亮. 黄河流域城市生态韧性时空演变特征及影响因素分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(3): 445-454.
doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.381 |
[Zhang Mingdou, Ren Yanting, Zhou Liang. Spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of urban ecological resilience in the Yellow River Basin[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(3): 445-454. ]
doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.381 |
|
[18] |
方叶林, 王秋月, 黄震方, 等. 中国旅游经济韧性的时空演化及影响机理研究[J]. 地理科学进展, 2023, 42(3): 417-427.
doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2023.03.001 |
[Fang Yelin, Wang Qiuyue, Huang Zhenfang, et al. Spatial and temporal evolution of tourism economic resilience and mechanism of impact in China[J]. Progress in Geography, 2023, 42(3): 417-427. ]
doi: 10.18306/dlkxjz.2023.03.001 |
|
[19] | Pike A, Dawley S, Tomaney J. Resilience, adaptation and adaptability[J]. Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, 2010, 3(1): 59-70. |
[20] | 牛亚菲, 陈田. 旅游生态环境系统研究——生态旅游研究的基石[J]. 旅游学刊, 2004, 19(4): 5-6. |
[Niu Yafei, Chen Tian. Research on tourism eco-environment system: The cornerstone of ecotourism research[J]. Tourism Tribune, 2004, 19(4): 5-6. ] | |
[21] |
李博, 秦欢, 余建辉, 等. 中国省域旅游资源竞争力评价及其格局演变[J]. 经济地理, 2019, 39(9): 232-240.
doi: 10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2019.09.028 |
[Li Bo, Qin Huan, Yu Jianhui, et al. Evaluation and pattern evolution of provincial tourism resources competitiveness in China[J]. Economic Geography, 2019, 39(9): 232-240. ]
doi: 10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2019.09.028 |
|
[22] |
王少剑, 高爽, 黄永源, 等. 基于超效率SBM模型的中国城市碳排放绩效时空演变格局及预测[J]. 地理学报, 2020, 75(6): 1316-1330.
doi: 10.11821/dlxb202006016 |
[Wang Shaojian, Gao Shuang, Huang Yongyuan, et al. Spatio-temporal evolution and trend prediction of urban carbon emission performance in China based on super-efficiency SBM model[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2020, 75(6): 1316-1330. ]
doi: 10.11821/dlxb202006016 |
|
[23] | 李文龙, 起建凌, 张洪宇, 等. 中国农业高质量发展水平评价、时间演进及空间相关性分析[J]. 云南农业大学学报(社会科学版), 2024, 18(1): 1-8. |
[Li Wenlong, Qi Jianling, Zhang Hongyu, et al. Evaluation of agricultural high-quality development level, regional difference and spatial correlation analysis in China[J]. Journal of Yunnan Agricultural University (Social Science Edition), 2024, 18(1): 1-8. ] | |
[24] |
叶文丽, 杨新军, 吴孔森, 等. 黄土高原社会-生态系统恢复力时空变化特征与影响因素分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2022, 45(3): 912-924.
doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2021.386 |
[Ye Wenli, Yang Xinjun, Wu Kongsen, et al. Spatio-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of social-ecological system resilience in the Loess Plateau[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2022, 45(3): 912-924. ]
doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2021.386 |
|
[25] | 王彩丽, 闫绪娴. 成渝城市群城市韧性时空格局演变及障碍因子识别[J]. 重庆大学学报(社会科学版), 2023, 29(3): 21-33. |
[Wang Caili, Yan Xuxian. Spatiotemporal revolution and obstacles identification of urban resilience in Chengdu-Chongqing urban agglomeration[J]. Journal of Chongqing University (Social Science Edition), 2023, 29(3): 21-33. ] | |
[26] |
刘玒玒, 刘书芳. 祁连山地区复合生态系统韧性时空演化及障碍因子识别[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(2): 237-247.
doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.214 |
[Liu Honghong, Liu Shufang. Spatiotemporal evolution and obstacle identification of complex ecosystem resilience in the Qilian Mountain area[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(2): 237-247. ]
doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.214 |
|
[27] |
赵明亮, 刘芳毅, 王欢, 等. FDI、 环境规制与黄河流域城市绿色全要素生产率[J]. 经济地理, 2020, 40(4): 38-47.
doi: 10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2020.04.005 |
[Zhao Mingliang, Liu Fangyi, Wang Huan, et al. Foreign direct investment, environmental regulation and urban green total factor productivity of the Yellow River Basin[J]. Economic Geography, 2020, 40(4): 38-47. ]
doi: 10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2020.04.005 |
|
[28] | 李凯风, 李子豪. 黄河流域绿色全要素生产率测度[J]. 统计与决策, 2022, 38(4): 98-101. |
[Li Kaifeng, Li Zihao. Measurement of green total factor productivity in the Yellow River Basin[J]. Statistics & Decision, 2022, 38(4): 98-101. ] |
Viewed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Full text 59
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Abstract 61
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Cited |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Shared | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|