黄河流域三大城市群城市韧性空间网络结构研究

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.058

Abstract

Abstract:

In the context of complex risks and regional synergy, exploring a multi-center, multi-level, and multi-node resilience spatial network structure for the resilience building, risk prevention, and sustainable development of urban agglomerations holds significant practical value. This study applies social network theory and uses the three major urban agglomerations in the Yellow River Basin as a case study. The modified gravity model calculates the spatial correlations of urban resilience development, and based on this, social network analysis is employed to evaluate the structural characteristics of the resilience spatial association network in these urban agglomerations. The findings reveal the following: (1) The resilience level of the three major urban agglomerations in the Yellow River Basin is trending upward, with increasing intensity in network connections, indicating that the overall resilience network is becoming more robust and integrated. (2) The spatial connectivity of resilience among the urban agglomerations is tightening, with provincial capitals demonstrating a strong radiation effect and holding dominant positions, although development among sub-agglomerations remains uneven. A typical network-type spatial pattern has emerged, where the Shandong Peninsula urban agglomeration forms a resilient spatial network characterized by “one main and two subordinate” centers, with Jinan City as the central node and Qingdao City and Yantai City as secondary centers. The Central Plains urban agglomeration forms a “radial” resilient spatial network with Zhengzhou City as the center and Kaifeng City, Luoyang City, and other cities as secondary centers. The Guanzhong Plain urban agglomeration shows a closely interconnected resilience network, presenting a “dual-core” spatial pattern linked by the provincial capitals of Xi’an City and Xianyang City.

Key words: urban resilience, spatial network structure, gravitational modeling, social network analysis

SHI Weiliang, LI Boya. Resilience spatial network structure of the three major urban agglomerations in the Yellow River Basin[J].Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(10): 1767-1780.

Figures/Tables 9

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References 29

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一级指标	二级指标	三级指标	描述与说明
驱动力	经济发展驱动力	GDP增长率（+）	经济活力
		第三产业增加值（+）	产业结构
		固定资产投资增长率（+）	生产要素保障
		国内外3种专利授权数（+）	技术进步
	社会发展驱动力	城镇化率（+）	社会进步水平和经济发展水平
		人口增长率（+）	社会经济增长的基本要素
		城镇居民人均可支配收入（+）	居民消费驱动力
		一般公共预算支出（+）	社会发展驱动力
压力	经济社会压力	失业率（-）	就业风险
		外贸依存度（-）	外部安全风险
		人口密度（-）	人口压力
	生态资源压力	SO₂排放（-）	环境污染及能源压力
		废气排放（-）
		单位生产总值能耗（-）
状态	城市环境资源状态	城市人均园林绿地面积（+）	城市基础生态状况
		空气质量优良天数比例（+）	城市基础生态状况
		城市用水普及率（+）	城市能源使用情况
		燃气普及率（+）	城市能源使用情况
	城市经济社会状态	职工平均工资（+）	社会状态
		城市恩格尔系数（+）	社会状态
		人均GDP（+）	经济状态
		政府财政收入增长率（+）	经济状态
	城市基础设施状态	建成区排水管道密度（+）	排水情况
	城市基础设施状态	人均城市道路面积（+）	道路交通状况
响应	抵抗、恢复能力	互联网普及程度（+）	预警与救援能力
		千人拥有的卫生机构病床数（+）
		社会保障占公共预算支出比例（+）
		人均金融机构存款（+）
		污水处理率（+）	污染治理能力
		生活垃圾无害处理率（+）	污染治理能力
	适应响应	科学教育事业投入占GDP比重指标（+）	经济创新
		城市市政公用设施建设固定资产投资完成额指标（+）	基础设施
		居民年末储蓄余额（+）	社会提升

城市群	2012年	2013年	2014年	2015年	2016年	2017年	2018年	2019年	2020年	2021年	增幅	增速
山东半岛城市群	0.266	0.274	0.279	0.291	0.306	0.320	0.335	0.348	0.372	0.419	0.123	0.575
中原城市群	0.214	0.220	0.223	0.234	0.247	0.270	0.288	0.297	0.313	0.329	0.108	0.450
关中平原城市群	0.218	0.223	0.223	0.229	0.239	0.242	0.254	0.265	0.277	0.297	0.078	0.282

城市群	2012年		2021年
城市群	网络密度	网络关系数	网络密度	网络关系数
山东半岛城市群	0.217	52	0.233	56
中原城市群	0.307	105	0.333	114
关中平原城市群	0.136	15	0.118	13
均值	0.220	57	0.228	61

城市群	年份	板块	网络密度矩阵				像矩阵				韧性关联网络简化图
城市群	年份	板块	板块一	板块二	板块三	板块四	板块一	板块二	板块三	板块四	韧性关联网络简化图
山东半岛城市群	2012	板块一	0.300	0.500	0.067	0.050	1	1	0	0
		板块二	0.500	0.167	0.000	0.188	1	0	0	0
		板块三	0.067	0.000	0.000	0.417	0	0	0	1
		板块四	0.000	0.250	0.417	0.333	0	1	1	1
	2021	板块一	0.250	0.500	0.000	0.333	1	1	0	1
		板块二	0.500	0.250	0.000	0.200	1	1	0	0
		板块三	0.000	0.000	0.583	0.333	0	0	1	1
		板块四	0.083	0.267	0.250	0.333	0	1	1	1
中原城市群	2012	板块一	0.881	0.321	0.000	0.229	1	1	0	0
		板块二	0.321	0.667	0.000	0.050	1	1	0	0
		板块三	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.467	0	0	0	1
		板块四	0.229	0.050	0.467	0.500	0	0	1	1
	2021	板块一	1.000	0.667	0.417	0.278	1	1	1	0
		板块二	0.667	0.800	0.000	0.111	1	1	0	0
		板块三	0.417	0.000	0.583	0.167	1	0	1	0
		板块四	0.333	0.111	0.167	0.533	0	0	0	1
关中平原城市群	2012	板块一	1.000	0.500	0.000	-	1	1	0	-
		板块二	0.250	0.000	0.000	-	1	0	0	-
		板块三	0.000	0.000	0.000	-	0	0	0	-
	2021	板块一	1.000	0.250	0.000	-	1	1	0	-
		板块二	0.000	0.000	0.000	-	0	0	0	-
		板块三	0.000	0.000	0.000	-	0	0	0	-

Resilience spatial network structure of the three major urban agglomerations in the Yellow River Basin

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