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干旱区地理 ›› 2014, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (1): 179-187.

• 区域发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

甘肃省人口经济空间分异与关联研究

刘娜,石培基,李博   

  1. (西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院, 甘肃    兰州    730030)
  • 收稿日期:2013-05-21 修回日期:2013-07-20 出版日期:2014-01-25
  • 通讯作者: 石培基,博士生导师,教授. Email:xbsdspj@163.com
  • 作者简介:刘娜(1987-),女,山东济南人,硕士研究生,研究方向为城市与区域发展. Email:liunazhao@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目(40971078)

Space difference and correlation between population and economy in Gansu Province

LIU Na,SHI Pei-ji,LI Bo   

  1. (College of Geography and Environmental Science,Northwest Normal University,Lanzhou 730070,Gansu,China)
  • Received:2013-05-21 Revised:2013-07-20 Online:2014-01-25

摘要: 通过分析甘肃省各县区1991-2011年人口和GDP数据,计算各县区的人口地理集中度、经济地理集中度、不一致指数和Moran’s I指数等,综合运用SPSS、GeoDA和ArcGIS软件,对甘肃省人口、经济的空间分异和关联性进行研究,结果表明:甘肃省人口与经济空间分布均呈西北低东南高,高值区围绕市区集聚的特点;甘肃省人口经济的地理联系密切,地理分布一致,但是两者之间又存在一定的偏差性,表现在人口地理集中度的空间差异远大于经济地理集中度的空间差异;人口与经济匹配关系在空间分布上由分散转变为集中,总体来说不断趋于协调;从相关指数来看,甘肃省大部分地区人口经济在时间和空间上具有较弱的相应关系。

关键词: 人口, 经济, 空间分异, 空间关联, 甘肃省

Abstract: The correlation between population and economy and their changes are very important in the regional studies. Through the analysis of Population and GDP data in Gansu province during 1991-2010,based on the methods of geographic concentration,inconsistency index and Moran's Index,etc,their spatial differentiation and correlation are analyzed in Gansu Province. The following conclusions are found as follows:(1)The spatial distribution of geographic concentration of population and economy in the southeast is higher than that in the northwest. Those higher concentration areas are distributed around the cities and this trend is strengthening. (2)The geographical contact between population and economy is compact with a consistent geographic distribution,but there are some deviations between them. While the diversity of regional economy is reducing,the gap of population size is increasing. (3)According to inconsistency index,there are three types of relationships between population and economic development in the study area. The matching type of population and economy is changed from dispersive type to centralized one. The number of counties is changing in various types of region. The coordinated development area is constantly expanding. In generally,their relationship goes towards coordination. (4)According to the Pearson related index and spatial autocorrelation index,there is less temporal and spatial correlation between population and economy. And the corresponding relationships are changed from positive correlation to negative correlation. The number of counties is adding in the hot and swelling area. In other words,the area which has higher level of aggregation of population and economy is expanding. The spatial differentiation and association changes are affected by many factors,including the physical geography condition,the ecological and environmental quality,industrial structure,etc. On that basis,several tactics are put out of development of the northwest in Gansu Province.

Key words: population, economic, spatial variation, space correlation, Gansu Province

中图分类号: 

  • F127