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干旱区地理 ›› 2026, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (1): 106-116.doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.789 cstr: 32274.14.ALG2024789

• 旅游地理 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于PVAR模型的中国快速交通、旅游经济与旅游生态效率关系研究

李亚茹1,2(), 白洋1,2(), 周春山3, 陈明珠1,2   

  1. 1 新疆历史文化旅游可持续发展重点实验室,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830046
    2 新疆大学旅游学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830046
    3 中山大学地理科学与规划学院,广东 广州 510275
  • 收稿日期:2024-12-25 修回日期:2025-03-20 出版日期:2026-01-25 发布日期:2026-01-18
  • 通讯作者: 白洋(1982-),男,博士,副教授,主要从事旅游科学与服务管理研究. E-mail: baiyang@xju.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:李亚茹(2000-),女,博士研究生,主要从事旅游可持续发展研究. E-mail: liyaru20002023@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学基金项目(2024BMZ096);新疆大学研究生教育教学改革项目(XJDX2024YJG24);新疆维吾尔自治区研究生科研创新项目(XJ2024G067)

Relationship between rapid transportation, tourism economy and tourism eco-efficiency in China based on PVAR model

LI Yaru1,2(), BAI Yang1,2(), ZHOU Chunshan3, CHEN Mingzhu1,2   

  1. 1 Key Laboratory of the Sustainable Development of Xinjiang’s Historical and Cultural Tourism, Urumqi 830046, Xinjiang, China
    2 College of Tourism, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, Xinjiang, China
    3 School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510275, Guangdong, China
  • Received:2024-12-25 Revised:2025-03-20 Published:2026-01-25 Online:2026-01-18

摘要:

快速交通、旅游经济与旅游生态效率的协调互动,对于推动旅游业绿色转型进而实现高质量发展具有重要意义。基于2009—2022年中国省际面板数据构建面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型,探究三者的互动机理、交互关系及异质特征。结果表明:(1)快速交通、旅游经济与旅游生态效率均呈现较为积极的增长态势,由低逐渐向高发展水平支撑下的良性均衡过渡是三者协调发展的主流趋势。(2)快速交通与旅游经济在全国和东部地区存在双向格兰杰因果关系,二者呈现良性的正向交互响应但并不持久。快速交通的自我强化特征突出,旅游经济在以自驱为主的同时主要受到快速交通的较强影响。(3)快速交通与旅游生态效率间仅存在单向格兰杰因果关系,快速交通对旅游生态效率的正向驱动趋向波动递减,旅游生态效率对快速交通的冲击普遍微弱。二者互动失调明显,相互呈现低水平的方差贡献度。(4)旅游经济与旅游生态效率在全国存在双向格兰杰因果关系,具有旅游经济驱动短期强势且有效、旅游生态效率作用持续乏力且无序的互动响应特征。旅游生态效率的内部推力不足,在东部和中部地区旅游经济对其方差贡献率最大。

关键词: 快速交通, 旅游经济, 旅游生态效率, PVAR模型

Abstract:

The coordinated interaction among rapid transportation, tourism economy, and tourism eco-efficiency is crucial for promoting the green transformation of tourism and achieving high-quality development. Based on China’s provincial panel data from 2009 to 2022, this study constructs a panel vector autoregression model to explore the interaction mechanisms, dynamic relationships, and regional heterogeneity among the three elements. The findings reveal that (1) Rapid transportation, tourism economy, and tourism eco-efficiency all exhibit positive growth trends, with a mainstream transition toward a benign equilibrium supported by gradual development from lower to higher levels. (2) Bidirectional Granger causality exists between rapid transportation and the tourism economy at both the national and eastern regional levels, implying a positive but short-lived interactive response. Rapid transportation has strong self-reinforcing characteristics, while the tourism economy is primarily self-driven yet significantly influenced by rapid transportation. (3) Only unidirectional Granger causality is observed between rapid transportation and tourism eco-efficiency. The positive driving effect of rapid transportation on tourism eco-efficiency tends to fluctuate and diminish, while the impact of tourism eco-efficiency on rapid transportation remains weak. Their interaction is notably imbalanced, with low mutual variance contribution rates. (4) Bidirectional Granger causality between the tourism economy and tourism eco-efficiency exists at the national level, characterized by strong and effective short-term driving of the tourism economy, which contrasts with the persistent weakness and disorderly effects of tourism eco-efficiency. Tourism eco-efficiency lacks sufficient endogenous momentum, with the tourism economy contributing the most to its variance in the eastern and central regions.

Key words: rapid transportation, tourism economy, tourism eco-efficiency, PVAR model