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干旱区地理 ›› 2001, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (1): 67-73.doi: 10.13826/j.cnki.cn65-1103/x.2001.01.012

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小冰期以来中国十年尺度气候变化时空分布特征的初步研究

杨保   

  1. 中国科学院兰州寒区旱区环境与工程研究所, 兰州 730000
  • 收稿日期:1999-09-16 修回日期:2000-05-16 发布日期:2025-12-31
  • 基金资助:
    中国科学院95重大项目 (KZ951-A1-402-03)资助

PRELIMINARY STUDY ON THE TEMPORAL AND SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF CLIMATIC VARIATIONS IN A DECADAL RESOLUTION SINCE THE LITTE ICE AGE

Yangbao   

  1. Institute of Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
  • Received:1999-09-16 Revised:2000-05-16 Online:2025-12-31

摘要: 依据10年际的冰芯、树轮和历史文献记录, 首先进行了聚类分析, 近400年来中国温度变化大体上可分为两类:第一类包括高原南部、高原西部、东北和闽台地区;第二类包括西南、华南、华中、华东、西北和华北地区。接着分析了近600年、500年和400年三种不同时间尺度上中国气温的时空分布, 第一特征向量显示中国东部温度值高于西部, 第二特征向量中高原南部、高原东北部与高原西部的反位相变化趋势在不同时间尺度的EOF结果中都有表现。西南、华南区与华北、华东区在后两种时间尺度上温度变化位相相反。以上这些变化型在近40年来的年际变化中同样发生。小冰期在不同时间尺度的第一特征向量的权重系数中均有明显表现。将中国温度变化与北半球和北极进行比较, 发现它们变化非常类似, 且以北半球和北极滞后中国温度20年时相关相关最好。

关键词: 小冰期, 温度, 时空分布, 中国

Abstract: Recent studies show that the "Little Ice Age" is not of uniformly cold conditions throughout the sixteenth to the nineteenth centuries, it experienced both the warm and cold episodes. In a view of the vast geographical range in China, the climate change during this period might be different from the various regions.
Based on the proxy data, such as the ice cores, tree rings and documentary records, a cluster analysis is firstly applied in this paper. Climate change in China can been divided into two patterns. The first climate pattern covers the south and west parts of Tibet Plateau, northeast China and Ming-Tai region (Fujian and Taiwan Province) ; the second one covers consists of the southwest, south, central, east north and northwest parts of China. Then, temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of the temperature series of the three different time scales (the last 600 a, 500 a and 400 a) in China are discussed. The results show that the first three eigenvectors account for 70% of the total variance. Therefore, they can be used to describe the temporal and spatial features of the temperature series in China. The conclusions are as following:
(1) The temperature values in east China are higher than those in west China;
(2) The temperature distribution pattern of the south and northeast parts of Tibet Plateau to that of west Tibet Plateau, that of the southwest and south China to that of north and east China are opposite.
(3) These decadal temperature distribution patterns occurred among the interannual temperature variations during the last 40 years, too.
(4) The little Ice Age was conspicuous in temporal influence coefficient of EOF 1.The first temporal coefficients of the three different time scales are characterized by the colder 19 th century, the coldest 1650 s, 1830 s and 1860 s as well as the warmer 18 th century.
(5) Warming in 20 th century was abnormally marked in the past few centuries.
(6) Comparison of temperature variations between China and the Northern Hemisphere and the Arctic region shows that the temperature variations in China were similar to that of the two regions mentioned above. Also, the coefficient is greatest when the temperature series of the Northern Hemisphere and the Arctic region time-lagged by 20 a than that of China.
However, there exist such deficiencies as coverage and representation of data in this work.

Key words: the Little Ice Age, temporal and spatial distribution, temperature

中图分类号: 

  • P467