气候变化和人类活动对六盘山地区植被净初级生产力的影响

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.600

干旱区地理 ›› 2026, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (10): 2079-2093.doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.600 cstr: 32274.14.ALG2025600

气候变化和人类活动对六盘山地区植被净初级生产力的影响

马丽萍¹^,²^,³(), 赵慧¹^,²^,³(), 杨建玲¹^,²^,³, 韩颖娟¹^,²^,³, 李梦华¹^,²^,³, 马力¹^,²^,³, 杨雪梅¹^,²^,³

¹ 中国气象局旱区特色农业气象灾害监测预警与风险管理重点实验室，宁夏银川 750002
² 宁夏回族自治区气象科学研究所，宁夏银川 750002
³ 宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室，宁夏银川 750002

收稿日期:2025-09-27 修回日期:2025-10-13 出版日期:2026-10-25 发布日期:2026-10-26
通讯作者: 赵慧（1992-），女，硕士研究生，工程师，主要从事生态气象等方面的研究. E-mail: zhaohui_cau@163.com
作者简介:马丽萍（1999-），女，硕士研究生，助理工程师，主要从事生态气象等方面的研究. E-mail: malp_172@163.com
作者贡献
论文构思：马丽萍、赵慧、杨建玲、韩颖娟；数据管理：赵慧、马丽萍、李梦华、杨雪梅、马力；规范分析：马丽萍、赵慧；获取资助：杨建玲、韩颖娟、李梦华；调查研究：马丽萍、赵慧；方法设计：马丽萍、赵慧；项目管理：杨建玲、韩颖娟、马丽萍；提供资源：马丽萍、赵慧；软件编程：马丽萍、赵慧；监督指导：赵慧、杨建玲、韩颖娟；验证复核：赵慧；可视化：马丽萍；初稿撰写：马丽萍；修订编辑：马丽萍、赵慧。
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金联合基金项目(U22A20577);中国气象局气候变化专题项目(QBZZ202509);宁夏自然科学基金项目(2024-AAC-03418);宁夏自然科学基金项目(2025AAC030325);宁夏回族自治区科技惠民专项(2025CMG03053)

Impacts of climate change and human activities on vegetation net primary productivity in the Liupan Mountains area

MA Liping¹^,²^,³(), ZHAO Hui¹^,²^,³(), YANG Jianling¹^,²^,³, HAN Yingjuan¹^,²^,³, LI Menghua¹^,²^,³, MA Li¹^,²^,³, YANG Xuemei¹^,²^,³

¹ Key Laboratory for Meteorological Disaster Monitoring and Early Warning and Risk Management of Characteristic Agriculture in Arid Regions, CMA, Yinchuan 750002, Ningxia, China
² Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region Meteorological Science Research Institute, Yinchuan 750002, Ningxia, China
³ Ningxia Key Laboratory for Meteorological Disaster Prevention and Reduction, Yinchuan 750002, Ningxia, China

Received:2025-09-27 Revised:2025-10-13 Published:2026-10-25 Online:2026-10-26

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

为厘清气候变化和人类活动对六盘山地区植被净初级生产力（NPP）的作用机制和贡献程度，基于分辨率成像光谱仪NPP数据和气象数据，采用趋势分析、偏相关分析、差值比较等方法研究2001—2024年六盘山地区潜在净初级生产力（PNPP）、实际净初级生产力（ANPP）和人类活动影响下净初级生产力变化（HNPP）的时空演变特征，定量评估气候变化和人类活动对NPP的影响。结果表明：（1） PNPP、ANPP由南向北递减。PNPP呈上升趋势；ANPP显著增大，增速为6.01 g C·m^-2·a^-1，极显著增大面积占86.17%，未来15.27%的地区将增大；HNPP>0，空间分布南北低中间高，且波动减小。（2）植被ANPP与降水量、平均气温和平均风速以正相关关系为主，与相对湿度和太阳辐射以负相关关系为主；ANPP与人口密度的偏相关关系以负相关为主，与土地利用强度呈正相关的区域面积大于负相关区。（3）植被改善区面积占比为97.23%，气候变化主导和人类活动主导的区域分别占植被改善区面积的16.45%、12.02%，二者共同主导的面积占71.53%。植被改善区人类活动相对贡献率与气候变化相对贡献率基本相当，人类活动是六盘山地区植被退化的主要原因。研究结果为六盘山地区有效应对气候变化、科学制定生态保护修复策略提供科学依据。

关键词: 六盘山地区, 净初级生产力, 气候变化, 人类活动, 时空演变

Abstract:

To clarify the mechanisms and contributions of climate change and human activities to vegetation net primary productivity (NPP) in the Liupan Mountains area, this study analyzed MODIS NPP and meteorological data from 2001 to 2024 using trend analysis, partial correlation analysis, and difference comparison methods to examine the spatiotemporal evolution of potential NPP (PNPP), actual NPP (ANPP), and human-induced NPP (HNPP). The effects of climate change and human activities on NPP were quantitatively evaluated. The results revealed the following: (1) PNPP and ANPP gradually decreased from south to north, with PNPP exhibiting an increasing trend. ANPP increased significantly, with a growth rate of 6.01 g C·m⁻²·a⁻¹, and areas with significant increases accounted for 86.17% of the total region. Approximately 15.27% of the total area is expected to increase in the future. HNPP remained positive, with low values in the north and south and higher values in the middle, displaying a fluctuating downward trend. (2) ANPP was mainly positively correlated with precipitation, average air temperature, and average wind speed, while showing predominantly negative correlations with relative humidity and solar radiation. The partial correlation between ANPP and population density was mostly negative, although areas showing a positive correlation between ANPP and land-use intensity exceeded those with negative correlations. (3) The vegetation improvement area encompassed 97.23% of the region, with climate-change-dominated and human-activity-dominated zones accounting for 16.45% and 12.02%, respectively. Notably, 71.53% of the area was influenced by both factors. The relative contributions of climate change and human activities were generally comparable in vegetation improvement areas, whereas human activities primarily drove vegetation degradation in the Liupan Mountains area. This study provides a scientific basis for effectively addressing climate change and developing strategies for ecological protection and restoration in the Liupan Mountains area.

Key words: Liupan Mountains area, net primary productivity, climate change, human activities, spatiote-mporal variations

马丽萍, 赵慧, 杨建玲, 韩颖娟, 李梦华, 马力, 杨雪梅. 气候变化和人类活动对六盘山地区植被净初级生产力的影响[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(10): 2079-2093.

MA Liping, ZHAO Hui, YANG Jianling, HAN Yingjuan, LI Menghua, MA Li, YANG Xuemei. Impacts of climate change and human activities on vegetation net primary productivity in the Liupan Mountains area[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(10): 2079-2093.

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气候变化和人类活动对六盘山地区植被净初级生产力的影响

Impacts of climate change and human activities on vegetation net primary productivity in the Liupan Mountains area

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