1 Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084,China;2 Peking University,Beijing 100871,China;3 Meteorological Bureau of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,Urumqi 830002,Xinjiang,China; 4 Academy of Macroeconomic Research, National Development and Reform Commission,Beijing 100038,China;5 Xinjiang Highway Planning Survey and Design Institute,Urumqi 830002,Xinjiang,China