基于Logistic回归分析的土壤盐渍化易发性评价——以新疆南疆塔里木灌区为例

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.073

Abstract

Abstract:

The southern region of Xinjiang has great potential for land resource utilization and is a crucial reserve supplying cultivated land resources in China. Evaluating soil salinization susceptibility in this area is necessary, as it aids in making informed decisions regarding water and land selection and land zoning management in southern Xinjiang. Sources, including total dissolved solids (TDS) in groundwater, groundwater depth, soil texture, geomorphic type, land-use type, and soil salt content, were collected via field surveys. By employing data-driven evidence weight, the spatial correlations of a single factor contributing to soil salinization were analyzed, followed by a multifactor comprehensive quantitative evaluation of soil salinization using a Logistic regression model. The results showed the following: (1) Shallow groundwater depth, high groundwater TDS, fine-grained soil, alluvial (lacustrine) plain geomorphology, and grassland land-use types showed strong positive spatial correlation with high soil salt content. (2) High soil salinization-prone areas were identified, encompassing the ancient channel in the alluvial plain and ancient lake marsh in the lacustrine plain, covering ~29 km² and accounting for 1.3% of the total area. Additionally, abandoned farmland around the irrigated area was a prone area of soil salinization, covering ~453 km², accounting for 20.5% of the total area. In contrast, the vast desert and water areas around the irrigated area exhibited a low salinization-prone area of ~1726 km², accounting for 78.2% of the total irrigated area. (3) The comprehensive evaluation using the Logistic regression model was validated with field investigation, affirming its accuracy and reliability. This comprehensive quantitative assessment of soil salinization susceptibility provides a scientific basis for soil salinization prevention and control measures and for making informed decisions regarding the selection of reserved cultivated land resources in southern Xinjiang.

Key words: soil salinization, Logistic regression analysis, susceptibility evaluation, Tarim irrigation area, southern Xinjiang

JIANG Lei, LIU Xiaolong, GUO Shuai, HE Liang, XING Jianlei, GUO Junjie. Evaluation of soil salinization susceptibility based on Logistic regression analysis: A case of Tarim irrigation area in southern Xinjiang[J].Arid Land Geography, 2023, 46(11): 1858-1867.

Figures/Tables 7

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References 32

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单因素分类		单元数	盐渍化点	W⁺	W⁺方差	W^-	W^-方差	C值	C值方差	显著性指标
地下水TDS	<1 g·L^-1	793	26	0.10	0.20	-0.06	0.16	0.15	0.26	0.60
	1~3 g·L^-1	40	1	-0.18	1.01	0.00	0.13	-0.18	1.02	-0.18
	3~10 g·L^-1	616	12	-0.44	0.29	0.13	0.14	-0.57	0.32	-1.76
	>10 g·L^-1	760	27	0.18	0.20	-0.11	0.16	0.29	0.25	1.13
地下水埋深	<2 m	927	39	0.36	0.16	-0.36	0.19	0.71	0.25	2.81
	2~5 m	652	16	-0.20	0.25	0.07	0.14	-0.28	0.29	-0.95
	5~10 m	459	11	-0.23	0.31	0.05	0.14	-0.28	0.33	-0.83
	>10 m	171	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
土壤质地	砂土	628	3	-1.86	0.58	0.30	0.13	-2.16	0.59	-3.64
	壤质砂土	808	27	0.12	0.20	-0.07	0.16	0.19	0.25	0.74
	砂质壤土	6	1	1.85	1.09	-0.01	0.13	1.86	1.10	1.69
	粉砂质黏土	33	3	1.18	0.61	-0.03	0.13	1.21	0.62	1.96
	黏土	622	32	0.57	0.18	-0.34	0.17	0.91	0.25	3.62
地貌类型	冲积平原	59	5	1.11	0.47	-0.05	0.13	1.16	0.49	2.39
	湖积平原	1446	57	0.29	0.14	-0.95	0.34	1.24	0.36	3.42
	风积沙漠	588	4	-1.50	0.50	0.26	0.13	-1.76	0.52	-3.40
土地利用类型	耕地	385	8	-0.37	0.36	0.06	0.13	-0.44	0.38	-1.15
	园地	134	6	0.61	0.70	-0.01	0.13	0.62	0.71	0.86
	林地	20	2	1.31	1.06	-0.01	0.13	1.32	1.07	1.24
	草地	190	22	1.45	0.23	-0.32	0.15	1.77	0.27	6.48
	建设用地	69	2	-0.03	0.72	0.00	0.13	-0.04	0.73	-0.05
	其他土地	1204	26	-0.08	0.63	-0.01	0.14	-0.07	0.66	0.06

Evaluation of soil salinization susceptibility based on Logistic regression analysis: A case of Tarim irrigation area in southern Xinjiang

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