新疆县域人力资源时空差异及影响因素分析

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000–6060.2021.091

Abstract

Abstract:

This paper selects the data of the fifth and sixth censuses of Xinjiang, in China, to estimate regional human resources based on education fund investment. Due to the accumulation of education investment, the calculation method of human resource change, excluding the accumulation of education investment, was set to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of human resources without and with the exclusion of education investment. The influencing factors of the time and space distribution of human resources in counties of Xinjiang are discussed using multiple linear regression and geographical detector techniques. This will provide references for improving the quality of human resources, optimize the spatial allocation of human resources, and provide human resource support to narrow the gap between regional economic development and maintain social stability in Xinjiang. The findings are as follows. (1) Without excluding the accumulation of education investment, the total amount of human resources in Xinjiang increased by 54.89% from 2000 to 2010, with the characteristics of scattered distribution and increasing spatial differences. The per capita human resources increased by 30.71% in 10 years. The regional differences are mainly reflected in the differences between southern and northern Xinjiang, showing the characteristics of low-value agglomeration and high-value dispersion. (2) Excluding the accumulation of human resource investment in education, the counties (cities and districts) that experienced an increase in the total amount of human resources in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2010 were mainly concentrated in southern Xinjiang. Meanwhile, those in the northern and eastern Xinjiang experienced a reduction in the total amount of human resources. The improvement degree of per capita human resources in southern Xinjiang was significantly higher than in northern and eastern Xinjiang. (3) Several factors affect the differences between the spatial and temporal distribution of per capita human resources. Factors, such as employees in secondary and tertiary industries, per capita gross national product, local fiscal revenue, and number of people engaged in health care and social security, are more significantly driven, except for education factors.

Key words: human resources, counties, influencing factors, Xinjiang

SUN Jiming,LI Jian’gang,LEI Jun,YANG Zhen,DUAN Zuliang. Spatial and temporal differences and influencing factors of county human resources in Xinjiang[J].Arid Land Geography, 2022, 45(2): 660-669.

Figures/Tables 8

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References 37

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自变量类型	自变量名称	单位
人口基础	人口总量	人
	自然增长率	‰
	迁入本县（市、区）占比	%
	流入本省其他县（市、区）占比	%
	流入外省占比	%
社会经济基础	人均国内生产总值（GDP）	元
	在岗职工平均货币工资	元
	地方财政收入	10⁴元
	二三产业从业人员占总人口比重	%
	城镇化率	%
	社会消费品零售总额	10⁴元
社会保障基础	医院、卫生院床位数	床
	社会福利院数	个
	社会福利院床位数	床
	从事卫生、社会保障人数	人

变量	2000年		2010年
变量	未标准化系数（B）	方差膨胀因子	未标准化系数（B）	方差膨胀因子
人口总量/人	-0.039^***	1.215	0.175	0.155
自然增长率/‰	-0.213^**	2.354	0.148	0.273
迁入本省其他县（市、区）占比/%	-0.063^**	1.489	0.215	0.323
人均GDP/元	0.156	3.143	0.069^***	4.253
地方财政收入/10⁴元	0.024	3.683	0.043^***	3.577
二三产业从业人员占总人口比重/%	0.068^*	4.364	0.197^***	3.346
城镇化率/%	0.079^***	3.021	0.063	0.254
从事卫生、社会保障人数/人	-0.043	3.843	0.031^***	3.543
拟合优度（R²）	0.789		0.889
调整后的R²	0.745		0.876
sig.	0.000		0.000

影响因子	2000年		2010年
影响因子	决定力	显著性水平	决定力	显著性水平
人口总量	0.17	0.97	0.27	0.54
自然增长率	0.31	0.01	0.39	0.00
迁入本省其他县（市、区）占比	0.42	0.00	0.56	0.00
人均GDP	0.57	0.00	0.51	0.00
地方财政收入	0.09	0.86	0.42	0.00
二三产业从业人员占比	0.39	0.00	0.61	0.00
城镇化率	0.46	0.00	0.65	0.00
从事卫生、社会保障人数	0.08	0.53	0.26	0.02

Spatial and temporal differences and influencing factors of county human resources in Xinjiang

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