宁夏开发区土地集约利用时空分布特征与驱动因素分析

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.538

Abstract

Abstract:

The intensive utilization of land within development zones is crucial for the region’s high-quality development in the new era, with its dynamics emerging as a prominent research area. This study, focusing on the development zones of Ningxia, China, investigates the spatio-temporal distribution of land use intensification from 2018 to 2021. It identifies key influencing factors such as economic quality, innovation drive, open environment, green transformation, and structural optimization, employing the geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model to delineate the underlying drivers of intensive land use. The findings reveal that: (1) Land use intensification in Ningxia’s development zones exhibits a distribution pattern where the northern Yellow River irrigation area surpasses the central arid area, which in turn surpasses the southern mountainous area, with the disparity between these areas decreasing over the study period. (2) The GTWR model proficiently captures spatial and temporal variations in the driving mechanism, highlighting green transformation and structural optimization as primary influencers, followed by innovation drive and economic quality. (3) The impact of each factor on land use intensification exhibits significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity; for instance, the growth rate of fixed asset investment exerts a more pronounced influence in the northern Yellow River irrigation area, while the growth rate of industrial enterprises’ total income is more influential in the central and southern regions. Moreover, the effect of land consumption per unit of industrial income on intensification levels slightly diminishes, with the influence of other factors gradually intensifying. This study elucidates the dynamic mechanisms of intensive land use across different development zones, aiming to inform land use policy and support the development of high-quality zones in the western Yellow River Basin.

Key words: high-quality development, intensive land use, driving mechanism, GTWR model, development zones of Ningxia

YUAN Qingwen, LIU Yanfang, ZHAO Jinmei, AN Rui, LIU Yaolin. Spatial and temporal distribution characteristics and driving factors of land intensive utilization in development zones of Ningxia[J].Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(5): 861-871.

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开发区名称	编号	所处区域	开发区名称	编号	所处区域
银川经济技术开发区	R1	北部引黄灌区	永宁工业园区	R13	北部引黄灌区
银川高新技术产业开发区	R2	北部引黄灌区	吴忠金积工业园区	R14	北部引黄灌区
石嘴山高新技术产业开发区	R3	北部引黄灌区	同心工业园区	R15	中部干旱区
银川综合保税区	R4	北部引黄灌区	中卫工业园区	R16	北部引黄灌区
石嘴山经济技术开发区	R5	北部引黄灌区	青铜峡工业园区	R17	北部引黄灌区
贺兰工业园区	R6	北部引黄灌区	西吉工业园区	R18	南部山区
平罗工业园区	R7	北部引黄灌区	隆德县六盘山工业园区	R19	南部山区
吴忠太阳山开发区	R8	中部干旱区	泾源县轻工产业园区	R20	南部山区
盐池工业园区	R9	中部干旱区	彭阳县王洼产业园区	R21	南部山区
中宁工业园区	R10	北部引黄灌区	海兴开发区	R22	南部山区
固原经济开发区	R11	南部山区	苏银产业园	R23	北部引黄灌区
宁东能源化工基地开发区	R12	北部引黄灌区

目标	目标层权重	子目标	子目标权重	指标	指标属性	指标权重
土地利用状况	0.72	土地利用程度	0.23	土地开发率	正向	0.24
				土地供应率	正向	0.34
				土地建成率	正向	0.42
		用地结构状况	0.24	工业用地率	正向	1.00
		土地利用强度	0.53	综合容积率	正向	0.24
				建筑密度	正向	0.22
				工业用地综合容积率	正向	0.28
				工业用地建筑系数	正向	0.26
用地效益	0.18	产业用地投入产出效益	1.00	工业用地固定资产投入强度	正向	0.40
				工业用地产出强度	正向	0.30
				工业用地地均税收	正向	0.30
管理绩效	0.10	土地利用监管绩效	1.00	土地闲置率	负向	0.50
管理绩效	0.10	土地利用监管绩效	1.00	批而未供率	负向	0.50

维度	指标	计算方法	指标属性
经济质量	工业企业总收入增长率	本期工业企业总收入较上期的增长	正向
经济质量	总收入在市域占比	工业企业总收入/所在市域生产总值	正向
创新驱动	固定资产投资增长率	本期固定资产投资较上期的增长	正向
创新驱动	高新技术产业收入占比	高新技术产业收入/开发区总收入	正向
开放环境	距三站一场最近距离	开发区距离火车站、高铁站、汽车站、机场的最近距离	负向
开放环境	制度创新力	梳理各园区成立以来管控政策，根据创新能力进行1~5赋值	正向
绿色转型	单位工业收入地耗	工业用地面积/工业企业总收入	负向
结构优化	二、三产业税收增长率	本期二、三产业税收总额较上期的增长	正向
结构优化	工业用地投入产出增长率	本期工业用地投入产出强度较上期的增长	正向

变量	2019年		2020年		2021年		2019—2021年
变量	OLS	GWR	OLS	GWR	OLS	GWR	GTWR
R²	0.693	0.909	0.646	0.870	0.749	0.970	0.714
调整的R²	0.480	0.578	0.401	0.468	0.576	0.865	0.671
AICc	204.135	192.555	235.004	197.798	198.415	187.654	162.679

维度	解释变量	最小值	最大值	平均值	标准差
经济质量	工业企业总收入增长率	0.284	0.488	0.368	0.055
经济质量	总收入在市域占比	-0.053	0.049	0.007	0.023
创新驱动	固定资产投资增长率	0.165	0.866	0.383	0.175
创新驱动	高新技术产业收入占比	0.016	0.236	0.138	0.055
开放环境	距三站一场最近距离	-0.152	0.302	-0.047	0.129
开放环境	制度创新力	0.001	0.074	0.024	0.019
绿色转型	单位工业收入地耗	-0.822	0.311	-0.435	0.220
结构优化	二、三产业税收增长率	0.019	1.152	0.360	0.293
结构优化	工业用地投入产出增长率	0.267	0.549	0.443	0.062

Spatial and temporal distribution characteristics and driving factors of land intensive utilization in development zones of Ningxia

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