城际列车对新疆旅游经济高质量发展的影响效应及驱动机制

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2022.210

Abstract

Abstract:

This study empirically explores the effect of intercity trains on the high-quality development of tourism economy in Xinjiang, China using a multi-period difference-in-difference model and based on the municipal panel data from 2010 to 2019. It also measures the evaluation index of the high-quality development of the tourism economy through the entropy value assignment method. The conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) The study revealed an uneven high-quality tourism economic development in Xinjiang, and its evolution pattern is “monocentric radiation→bicentric radiation”. (2) The presence of intercity trains effectively improves the high-quality development of tourism economy in northern Xinjiang with negative adjustment effect and has no significant indigenous influence on southern Xinjiang with positive adjustment effect. (3) Intercity trains have significant influence on medium-level cities with high-quality development of tourism economy but have no significant influence on high-level cities and low-level cities. (4) The significant positive effect of the intercity trains on impact mechanism of development dimension is innovative development>shared development>green development>open development, and the impact on the coordinated development is not significant. This study enriches the classic cases of the integrated development of “railway+tourism” and helps explore the path mode of high-quality integrated development of intercity train and tourism economy.

Key words: high-quality development of tourism economy, intercity train, multi-period DID, influence effect, driving mechanism

BAI Yang,TAN Li’na,CHEN Chunyan,LI Zhuoyuan. Influence effect and driving mechanism of intercity trains on high-quality development of tourism economy in Xinjiang[J].Arid Land Geography, 2023, 46(4): 658-666.

Figures/Tables 7

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References 16

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系统层	维度层	指标层	具体指标	指标属性	平均权重
旅游经济高质量发展指数	创新发展	科教水平	研究与实验发展经费/财政支出	+	0.108
		科教水平	各级各类学生人数/总人口	+	0.038
		创新能力	有研究与试验发展活动的企业数	+	0.073
		创新能力	旅游总收入/全社会固定资产投资额	+	0.057
	协调发展	产业结构	第三产业贡献率	+	0.027
		产业结构	城镇化率	+	0.033
		配置效率	旅游总收入/旅游总人次	+	0.046
		配置效率	旅游总收入/旅游业从业人员	+	0.064
	绿色发展	资源消耗	（旅游总收入/GDP）×电力消费量	-	0.010
		资源消耗	（旅游总收入/GDP）×能源消费量	-	0.010
		环境保护	造林面积	+	0.042
		环境保护	绿化覆盖面积	+	0.122
	开放发展	贸易依存	进口额/出口额	+	0.050
			进出口贸易总额/GDP总量	+	0.070
			旅游外汇收入/旅游总收入	+	0.086
		通讯动力	邮电业务总量/GDP总量	+	0.061
	共享发展	接待条件	旅游资源丰度	+	0.019
		接待条件	星级酒店数量	+	0.030
		社会福利	平均每万人卫生机构床位数	+	0.054

变量	QUA
变量	回归1	回归2	回归3	回归4	回归5
DT	0.352^*** （0.017）	0.171^** （0.058）	0.166^*** （0.055）	0.135^* （0.065）	0.116^** （0.052）
PGDP	-	0.771^*** （0.129）	0.775^*** （0.128）	0.663^*** （0.121）	0.479^*** （0.116）
INV	-	-	0.134 （0.077）	0.084 （0.080）	0.213^** （0.096）
FIN	-	-	-	-0.272^* （0.127）	-0.248^** （0.111）
SW	-	-	-	-	0.373^** （0.153）
_cons	1.914^*** （0.004）	0.719^*** （0.203）	0.633^*** （0.195）	1.138^*** （0.263）	1.245^*** （0.235）
N	140	140	140	140	140
R²	0.255	0.637	0.646	0.662	0.705
固定效应	是	是	是	是	是

变量	替换DT				替换被解释变量
变量	QUA回归6	QUA回归7	QUA回归8	QUA回归9	TOU回归10	TOU回归11
DT	-	-	-	-	0.523^*** （0.074）	0.301^** （0.112）
DT_1	0.348^*** （0.011）	0.104* （0.054）	-	-	-	-
DT_2	-	-	0.339^*** （0.025）	0.102^* （0.052）	-	-
Control	NO	YES	NO	YES	NO	YES
N	140	140	140	140	140	140
R²	0.248	0.701	0.227	0.701	0.254	0.616
固定效应	是	是	是	是	是	是

变量	北疆		高水平
变量	回归12	回归13	回归14	回归15	回归16
DT*north	-0.133^** （0.046）	-	-	-	-
DT*south	-	0.133^** （0.046）	-	-	-
DT	0.222^*** （0.039）	0.089 （0.055）	0.057 （0.082）	0.290^** （0.059）	-0.058 （0.067）
Control	YES	YES	YES	YES	YES
N	140	140	50	40	50
R²	0.710	0.710	0.771	0.724	0.833
固定效应	是	是	是	是	是

变量	创新发展	协调发展	绿色发展	开放发展	共享发展
变量	回归17	回归18	回归19	回归20	回归21
DT	0.376^** （0.136）	0.095 （0.071）	0.118^*** （0.033）	0.085^*** （0.026）	0.131^** （0.056）
_cons	0.869^*** （0.029）	2.299^*** （0.015）	0.417^*** （0.007）	1.335^*** （0.006）	3.678^*** （0.012）
N	140	140	140	140	140
固定效应	是	是	是	是	是

Influence effect and driving mechanism of intercity trains on high-quality development of tourism economy in Xinjiang

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