天津市高碳排放行业碳排放影响因素研究

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 通过计算1998-2015年天津市32个工业行业各类能源消耗碳排放量，将其划分为高、中高、中、中低、低排放行业五个类别。应用LMDI方法，将天津市工业行业碳排放分解为人口规模、工业发展、行业结构、能源消耗强度、能源消耗结构以及碳排放系数六个因素，分析每一类行业的碳排放影响因素，并针对高碳排放行业建立多因素回归模型，深入研究各项因素对高碳排放行业碳排放的影响。结果表明工业发展和行业结构是高排放因素，能源强度是高减排因素。工业发展和能源强度的变化速度决定碳排放影响贡献值大小，通过降低能源强度促进碳减排是所有行业的一致规律。

关键词: 工业行业, 碳排放, 影响因素, LMDI, 多因素回归

Key words: industrial sector, carbon emission, influence factors, LMDI, multiple regression analysis

中图分类号:

李雪梅, 郝光菊, 张庆. 天津市高碳排放行业碳排放影响因素研究[J]. 干旱区地理, 2017, 40(5): 1089-1096.

LI Xue-mei, HAO Guang-ju, ZHANG Qing. Influencing factors of high-emission for industrial sub-sectors in Tianjin[J]. , 2017, 40(5): 1089-1096.

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