The agricultural products trade between China and countries participating in the "Belt and Road Initiative" is one of the key fields in the economic cooperation.This paper examines the trade scale,structure and potential between China and countries participating in the "Belt and Road Initiative" using methods including the applied statistics description,comparative analysis,and the gravity model based on the trade statistics by the World Bank.The result has shown that the effect of agricultural trade presents a staircase-like feature in terms of the regional difference.The ASEAN region is the region with the highest trade volume while the Central Asia is the region of a relative lower volume in the trade of agricultural products yet with a rapid growth.The products involved in the trade were the labor intensive or land intensive ones which require an improvement on the trade structure.The population size,the economic scale,and the economic cooperation organization are the main factors which can influence the agricultural trade between China and the relevant countries.The geographic distance has significant negative effects on the trade.The positive effect caused by the agricultural products trade in China-ASEAN free trade zone is larger than that happened in the SCO.The trade potentials of agricultural products between China and relevant countries present different trend.The countries which have larger and faster growth rate of trade volume,and have geographical advantages basically belong to the potential remodeling,and top countries in every region also belong to the potential ones.There is an urgent need to create new potential of agricultural products for China.It is the rational choice to upgrade structure of agricultural trade and optimize the environment of the trade for achieving win-win situation.From the perspectives of promoting green trade and achieving mutual benefits,this paper analyzed the trade effects and trend of agricultural products of countries along the "Belt and Road Initiative" area.It would be helpful to promote the cooperation and share prosperity between China and relevant countries participating in the "Belt and Road Initiative".
[1] 刘卫东."一带一路"战略的科学内涵与科学问题[J].地理科学进展,2015,(5):538-544.[LIU Weidong.Scientific understanding of the Belt and Road Initiative of China and related research theme[J].Progress in Geography,2015,(5):538-544.]
[2] 储殷,高远.中国"一带一路"战略定位的三个问题[J].国际经济评论,2015,(2):90-99.[CHU Yin,GAO Yuan.China's Belt and Road Initiative:Three questions to be answered[J].International Economic Review,2015,(2):90-99.]
[3] 邹嘉龄,刘春腊.中国与"一带一路"沿线国家贸易格局及经济贡献[J].地理科学进展,2015,(5):598-605.[ZOU Jialing,LIU Chunla.Spatial patterns and economic effects of China's trade with countries along Belt and Road[J].Progress in Geography,2015,(5):598-605.]
[4] 公丕萍,宋周颖,刘卫东.中国与"一带一路"沿线国家的商品贸易格局[J].地理科学进展,2015,(5):571-580.[GONG Piping,SONG Zhouying,LIU Weidong.Commodity structure of trade between China and countries in the Belt and Road Initiative area[J].Progress in Geography,2015,(5):571-580.]
[5] 张海森,谢杰.中国-东欧农产品贸易:基于引力模型实证研究[J].中国农村经济,2008,(10):45-53.[ZHANG Haisen,XIE Jie.Agricultural trade between China and Eastern-Europe:With gravity model[J].Chinese Rural Economy,2008,(10):45-53.]
[6] 汤碧.中国与金砖国家农产品贸易:比较优势与合作潜力[J].农业经济问题,2012,(10):67-75.[TANG Bi.Agricultural products trade between China and the Bric Countries:Comparative and potential for cooperation[J].Issues in Agricultural Economy,2012,(10):67-75.]
[7] 孙大岩,孔繁利.中国-东盟农产品贸易新趋势与对策[J].改革与战略,2015,(10):186-190.[SUN Dayan,KONG Fanli.The study on new trends and countermeasures of China-ASEAN agricultural trade[J].Reformation & Strategy,2015,(10):186-190.]
[8] 李富佳,董锁成,原琳娜."一带一路"农业战略格局及对策[J].中国科学院院刊,2016,31(6):678-688.[LI Fujia,DONG Suocheng,YUAN Linna.Study on agriculture patterns and strategy of the Belt and Road[J].Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences,2016,31(6):678-688.]
[9] 张芸,杨光,杨阳."一带一路"战略:加强中国与中亚农业合作的契机[J].国际经济合作,2015,(1):31-34.[ZHANG Yun,YANG Guang,YANG Yang.The strategy of the Belt and Road:The opportunity to strength cooperation between China and Central Asia[J].Journal of International Economic Cooperation,2015,(1):31-34.]
[10] 李豫新,朱新鑫.农业"走出去"背景下中国与中亚五国农业合作前景分析[J].农业经济问题,2010,(9):42-48.[LI Yuxin,ZHU Xinxin.The prospect of agricultural cooperation between China and Central Asia under the background of agriculture[J].Issues in Agricultural Economy,2010,(9):42-48.]
[11] 王瑞,王丽萍.我国农产品贸易流量现状与影响因素:基于引力模型的实证研究[J].国际贸易问题,2012,(4):39-48.[WANG Rui,WANG Liping.China trade flow status agricultural product and influence factors:Empirical study base on gravity model[J].Journal of International Trade,2012,(4):39-48.]
[12] 孔庆峰,董虹蔚."一带一路"国家的贸易便利化水平测算与贸易潜力研究[J].国际贸易问题,2015,(12):158-168.[KONG Qingfeng,DONG Hongwei.Trade facilitation and trade potential of countries along the Belt and Road Initiative area[J].Journal of International Trade,2015,(12):158-168.]
[13] 倪沙,王永兴,景维民.中国对"一带一路"沿线国家直接投资的引力分析[J].天津财经大学学报,2015,(5):3-14.[NI Sha,WANG Yongxing,JING Weimin.Analysis of China's direct investment to countries along "one Belt and one Road" with gravity model[J].Journal of Tianjin University of Finance and Economics,2015,(5):3-14.]
[14] 郑蕾,刘志高.中国对"一带一路"沿线直接投资空间格局[J].地理科学进展,2015,(5):563-570.[ZHENG Lei,LIU Zhigao.Spatial pattern of Chinese outward direct investment in the Belt and Road Initiative area[J].Progress in Geography,2015,(5):563-570.]
[15] 范彬彬,罗格平,胡增运,等.中亚土地资源开发与利用分析[J].干旱区地理,2012,35(6):929-937.[FAN Binbin,LUO Geping,HU Zengyun,et al.Land resource development and development and utilization in Central Asia[J].Arid Land Geography,2012,35(6):929-937.]
[16] 钟钰,赵长和,王立鹤.新时期促进我国农业对外投资的对策研究[J].经济纵横,2016,(5):94-98.[ZHONG Yu,ZHAO Changhe,WANG Lihe.Study on the countermeasures of promoting foreign investment in China's agriculture in the new era[J].Economic Review,2016,(5):94-98.]
[17] 刘海猛,方创琳,任宇飞.丝绸之路经济带中哈国际合作示范区物流业发展与跨境电商平台建设[J].干旱区地理,2016,39(5):1201-1210.[LIU Haimeng,FANG Chuanglin,REN Yufei. Logistics industry and cross-border electric business of Sino-Kazakhstan cooperation demonstration zone in Silk Road Economic Belt[J].Arid Land Geography,2016,39(5):1201-1210.]
[18] 齐胜达,雷军,段祖亮,等.中国丝绸之路经济带区域物流空间差异及其演化研究[J].干旱区地理,2016,39(1):208-215.[QI Shengda,LEI Jun,DUAN Zuliang,et al.Spatial difference and evolution of regional logistic in Silk-road Economic Belt in China[J].Arid Land Geography,2016,39(1):208-215.]
[19] 魏晓旭,赵军,魏伟. 丝绸之路经济带中国段经济发展时空演化特征[J].干旱区地理,2015,38(6):1300-1309.[WEI Xiaoxu,ZHAO Jun,WEI Wei.Spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of economic development in Silk Road Economic China Belt[J].Arid Land Geography,2015,38(6):1300-1309.]
