高质量发展阶段旅游业发展水平空间分异成因探测——基于因素分解的黄河流域实证

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2022.293

Abstract

Abstract:

On the basis of the stage changes of the influencing factors of tourism development, the index system of influencing factors of tourism development in the high-quality development stage is constructed, and the spatial differentiation causes of tourism development level in the Yellow River Basin of China in 2019 are explored using geodetector and geographically weighted regression. The following conclusions are drawn: (1) In the new development stage, the development of regional tourism is affected by traditional and new factors, such as the novel development concept, both forming the system of factors affecting regional tourism development in the high-quality development stage. (2) The level of tourism development in the Yellow River Basin shows a spatial divergence pattern of decreasing from downstream to upstream, with relatively large differences in the middle and upper reaches and small differences in the downstream areas and a relatively significant mismatch of supply and demand between the upper, middle, and lower reaches. (3) In single and comprehensive dimensions, each factor has a significant influence on tourism development. However, the new factors are stronger than the traditional factors, and the influence ranking of each factor has consistency. Thus, tourism development is remarkably influenced by the synergy between factors. (4) Among the traditional factors, including consumption level, transportation conditions, and tourism resource endowment, and among the new factors, including innovation capacity and green production, have a significant spatial heterogeneous influence on tourism development. However, their heterogeneous spatial effects are different.

Key words: tourism development level, high-quality development stage, influencing factors, spatial heterogeneity, Yellow River Basin

TIAN Xiaobo,HU Jing,JIA Yaoyan,ZHU Lei. Exploring the causes of spatial differentiation of tourism development level in the high-quality development stage: Empirical evidence of Yellow River Basin based on factor decomposition[J].Arid Land Geography, 2023, 46(3): 460-470.

Figures/Tables 8

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变量	具体指标	最小值	最大值	平均值	标准误差
经济水平（X1）	人均GDP/元	14153.85	172686.34	56919.23	32551.54
消费水平（X2）	社会商品零售总额/10⁸元	7.37	5324.44	832.42	1100.31
产业结构（X3）	第三产业占GDP比重/%	28.90	67.30	48.25	9.49
交通条件（X4）	公路网密度/km·km^-2	0.04	2.39	0.99	0.60
旅游资源禀赋（X5）	4A级及以上景区数量、世界遗产数量、优秀旅游城市、国家级风景名胜区数量之和/个	0.00	30.00	9.70	6.64
城镇化水平（X6）	城镇人口占总人口比重/%	28.02	95.20	56.26	15.14
对外开放度（X7）	进出口贸易额/10⁸元	0.12	4129.90	287.90	717.02
创新能力（X8）	授权专利数量/件	11.00	34123.00	3381.23	6821.33
区域协调（X9）	居民人均消费支出与全国水平之差/元	-14800.00	8047.00	-4969.26	5128.06
生产效率（X10）	地区全要素生产率	0.32	1.32	0.76	0.29
绿色生产（X11）	每亿元GDP能耗/t标准煤·（10⁸元）^-1	0.40	8.45	1.57	1.42
旅游业发展水平（Y）	旅游业发展指数，见式（1）	3.05	265.12	88.72	55.16

传统因素	X1	X2	X3	X4	X5	X6
X1	0.23^**
X2	0.83^#	0.78^***
X3	0.53	0.86^#	0.13
X4	0.70^#	0.91^#	0.69	0.49^***
X5	0.56^#	0.85^#	0.61	0.88	0.36^***
X6	0.39^#	0.83^#	0.58	0.65^#	0.50^#	0.26^***

新因素	X7	X8	X9	X10	X11
X7	0.66^**
X8	0.85^#	0.84^***
X9	0.80^#	0.90^#	0.45^***
X10	0.74^#	0.89^#	0.68	0.16
X11	0.82^#	0.89^#	0.72^#	0.86	0.43^**

因素	X1	X2	X3	X4	X5	X6	X7	X8	X9	X10	X11
X1	0.46^*
X2	0.96^#	0.89^***
X3	0.82	0.97^#	0.32
X4	0.95^#	0.95^#	0.97^#	0.66^***
X5	0.87^#	0.96^#	0.88^#	0.96^#	0.59^***
X6	0.69^#	0.93^#	0.85	0.92^#	0.72^#	0.37^**
X7	0.84^#	0.92^#	0.84^#	0.93^#	0.92^#	0.85^#	0.70^**
X8	0.91^#	0.93^#	0.96^#	0.93^#	0.94^#	0.94^#	0.90^#	0.88^***
X9	0.76^#	0.97^#	0.86	0.95^#	0.90^#	0.79^#	0.85^#	0.93^#	0.48^**
X10	0.75	0.97^#	0.87	0.96	0.79	0.74	0.87^#	0.95^#	0.86	0.18
X11	0.83	0.96^#	0.86	0.94^#	0.91^#	0.80^#	0.90^#	0.95^#	0.84^#	0.97	0.47^**

因素	自变量	非标准化系数		标准化系数 Beta	T值	显著性	共线性
因素	自变量	B	标准误差	标准化系数 Beta	T值	显著性	允差	方差膨胀因子
传统因素	常数	-12.019	10.171	-	-1.182	0.243	-	-
	经济水平	-4.49×10^-5	0.000	-0.026	-0.577	0.566	0.290	3.446
	消费水平	0.024	0.002	0.486	12.398	0.000	0.397	2.516
	产业结构	0.162	0.169	0.028	0.957	0.343	0.725	1.378
	交通条件	39.992	2.684	0.437	14.901	0.000	0.710	1.409
	旅游资源禀赋	2.527	0.257	0.304	9.817	0.000	0.636	1.571
	城镇化水平	0.200	0.152	0.055	1.316	0.194	0.352	2.844
新因素	常数	68.918	13.002	-	5.301	0.000	-	-
	对外开放度	0.013	0.012	0.170	1.063	0.292	0.201	4.983
	创新能力	0.007	0.001	0.851	5.320	0.000	0.201	4.972
	区域协调	0.001	0.001	0.116	1.444	0.154	0.792	1.262
	生产效率	5.625	14.618	0.029	0.385	0.702	0.883	1.132
	绿色生产	6.893	3.377	0.177	2.041	0.046	0.686	1.457

Exploring the causes of spatial differentiation of tourism development level in the high-quality development stage: Empirical evidence of Yellow River Basin based on factor decomposition

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