河西走廊村民关联的空间格局及影响因素分析

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 为深入研究村民关联的空间格局及影响因素，利用河西走廊15个县（市、区）的调查数据，采用模糊综合评判法测算村民关联的水平，运用探索性空间数据分析（ESDA）法测评村民关联的空间格局与区域差异，并运用地理加权回归（GWR）模型分析村民关联的影响因素。研究表明：（1）河西走廊地区村民关联水平普遍较低，空间格局差异明显，存在显著的正的空间自相关性。（2）河西走廊村民关联具有“点—带—团”状结构特征。村民关联水平较高的县级单元主要处于石羊河流域，形成了分值较高的聚集“点”；村民关联较低的疏勒河流域的敦煌市、玉门市、瓜州县形成了低值分布“带”；张掖市、酒泉市所辖县形成了村民关联低值“团”。（3）村内因子和村间因子与村民关联都呈显著的正相关关系，空间分异特征明显。村内影响因子的回归系数在空间上从西北向东南方向呈现逐渐递增的趋势，而村间因子形成了河西走廊东部和西部的高值聚集中心，呈现出空间地域上“两头高中间低”的“哑铃”结构。剖析村民关联空间格局及影响因素的内在机理，为促进农地制度有效合理变革进而提高农地利用效率，提出保护农地权益的合理化建议提供理论依据和方法参考。

关键词: 村民关联, 空间特征, 影响因素, ESDA-GWR, 河西走廊

Abstract: Based on the survey data of 15 counties in Hexi Corridor,Gansu Province,China,this paper was to explore the spatial characteristics and influence factors of villagers linkage by firstly using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to measure the linkage level and then using exploratory spatial data analysis to determine the spatial characteristics and differences.At last,the Geographically Weighted Regression method was applied to analyze the influencing factors.The results showed as follows:(1) The villagers linkage level was generally low with a obviously different d spatial characteristics.There is a significant positive spatial auto-correlation. (2) The villagers linkage has the "points-belt-circle" structural characteristics.Those counties or county-equivalent places with a high linkage level were mainly located in Shiyang River Basin,constituting those points.Located in Shule River Basic,Dunhuang City,Yumen City,and Guazhou County formed the belt with a low linkage level. The counties under Zhangye City and Jiuquan City composed the circle with a much lower linkage level. (3) The influence factors present a significant positive correlation with a spatial heterogeneity.The factors within the village showed an increasing trend from the northwest to the southeast.The inter-village factors had made the east and west of Hexi Corridor centers of high linkage level.So a "dumbbell" shape was formed from regional perspective.Exploring the spatial characteristics and influence factors of villagers linkage provided the information in reforming the land use policy and improving the efficiency of land use as well as protecting the farmland rights.

Key words: villagers linkage, spatial characteristics, influencing factors, ESDA-GWR, Hexi Corridor

中图分类号:

F301

刘洋, 陈英, 张玉娇, 宋文. 河西走廊村民关联的空间格局及影响因素分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2018, 41(1): 195-204.

LIU Yang, CHEN Ying, ZHANG Yu-jiao, SONG Wen. Spatial characteristics and influence factors of villagers linkage in Hexi Corridor[J]. 干旱区地理, 2018, 41(1): 195-204.

参考文献

[1] 贺雪峰.地权的逻辑——中国农村土地制度向何处去[M].北京:中国政法大学出版社,2010.[HE Xuefeng.The logic of land ownership:where is the China's rural land system[M].Beijing:China University of Political Science and Law Press,2010.]
[2] 徐鸣,张学艺.制约农民合作的传统文化因素分析[J].理论与改革,2014,(6):128-130.[XU Ming,ZHANG Xueyi.Analysis of the traditional cultural factors restricting on farmers'cooperation[J].Theory and Reform,2014,(6):128-130.]
[3] 哈斯巴根,佟宝全.农业地区人地系统脆弱性及其发展模式研究[J].干旱区地理,2014,37(3):601-608.[HA Sibagen,TONG Baoquan.Man-land system vulnerability and development model of agricultural regions[J].Arid Land Geography,2014,37(3):601-608.]
[4] 李义波,弓路沙.农民合作行为变化与社会变迁的微观机制——以华北平原S村为例[J].中国农村观察,2011,(1):39-48.[LI Yibo,GONG Lusha.The microscopic mechanism between the change on farmers' cooperation behavior and the social transformation:a case of S village in North China Plain[J].China Rural Survey,2011,(1):39-48.]
[5] 胡平波.农民专业合作社中农民合作行为激励分析——基于正式制度与声誉制度的协同治理关系[J].农业经济问题,2013,34(10):73-82.[HU Pingbo. The analysis on incentive of farmer's cooperative behavior in professional farmers cooperatives:based on synergic relationship between formal institution and the reputation system[J].Lssues in Agricultural Economy,2013,34(10):73-82.]
[6] 段瑞娟.贫困地区农村社区合作经济组织与农民福利关系研究——以宁夏贺兰立岗镇兰光村为例[J].农业经济,2013,(5):101-103.[DUAN Ruijuan.The relationship between the rural cooperative economic organizations and farmer's welfare in poverty-stricken area:a case of Languang Village Ligang Town in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region[J].Agricultural Economy,2013,(5):101-103.]
[7] 白志远.村民关联度对耕地利用效率的影响研究——以甘肃河西走廊地区为例[D].兰州:甘肃农业大学,2014.[BAI Zhiyuan.Effects of villagers correlation of arable land use efficiency:a case of Hexi Corridor in Gansu[D].Lanzhou:Gansu Agricultural University,2014.]
[8] 宋文,陈英,白志远,等.村民关联对农地流转及规模经营意愿的影响研究——以甘肃省河西走廊为例[J].干旱区资源与环境,2015,29(4):71-77.[SONG Wen,CHEN Ying,BAI Zhiyuan.Influence of villagers' association on the will of farmland circulation and scale operation:a case of Hexi Corridor in Gansu Province[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2015,29(4):71-77.]
[9] 张馨予.村民关联度对农户土地流转意愿的影响研究——以武威市凉州区上庄村为例[D].兰州:甘肃农业大学,2014.[ZHANG Xinyu.Research on influence of villagers correlation degree to the will of peasant household land transfer:a case of Shangzhuang Village[D].Lanzhou:Gansu Agricultural University,2014.]
[10] 陈莉.村民关联度与农地制度变迁的关系研究——以石羊河流域地区为例[D].兰州:甘肃农业大学,2013.[CHEN Li.Relationship between villagers correlation degree and evolution of farmland system:a case of Shiyang River drainage area[D].Lanzhou:Gansu Agricultural University,2013.]
[11] 宋文.村民关联与农地规模经营的关系研究——以甘肃河西走廊地区为例[D].兰州:甘肃农业大学,2015.[SONG Wen.Research on the relation between villagers correlation and farmland scale management:a case of Hexi Corridor Region in Gansu Province[D].Lanzhou:Gansu Agricultural University,2015.]
[12] 乔蕻强,陈英.村民关联度对农田水利设施建设农户参与度的影响[J].中国沙漠,2016,36(2):549-555.[QIAO Hongqiang,CHEN Ying.Influence of villager correlation on villager participation in water conservancy facilities construction[J].Journal of Desert Research,2016,36(2):549-555.]
[13] 陈永桃.村民关联度对征地效率影响研究——以武威市为例[D].兰州:甘肃农业大学,2016.[CHEN Yongtao.Research the effect of the villagers association on land expropriation efficiency:a case of Wuwei City[D].Lanzhou:Gansu Agricultural University,2016.]
[14] 智静,乔琦,傅泽强.干旱地区工业系统资源代谢水平分析——以宁东能源煤化工基地为例[J].干旱区地理,2015,38(1):155-162.[ZHI Jing,QIAO Qi,FU Zeqiang.Resources metabolism analysis for the Ningdong energy(coal)chemical base in Ningxia Province,China[J].Arid Land Geography,2015,38(1):155-162.]
[15] 刘青,李贵才,仝德,等.基于ESDA的深圳市高新技术企业空间格局及影响因素[J].经济地理,2011,31(6):926-933.[LIU Qing,LI Guicai,TONG De,et al.The spatial pattern and influence factors of high-tech firms in Shenzhen based on ESDA[J].Economic Geography,2011,31(6):926-933.]
[16] 王劲峰,廖一兰,刘鑫.空间数据分析教程[M].北京:科学出版社,2010:101-109.[WANG Jingfeng,LIAO Yilan,LIU Xin.The course of spatial data analysis[M].Beijing:Science Press,2010:101-109.]
[17] 刘晓婷,陈闻君.2004-2013年新疆县域经济空间差异演化[J].中国沙漠,2015,35(4):1089-1095.[LIU Xiaoting,CHEN Wenjun.Dynamics of spatial pattern of country's economics during 2004-2013 in Xinjiang,China[J].Journal of Desert Research,2015,35(4):1089-1095.]
[18] 潘竟虎,石培基.甘肃省城乡统筹发展程度地域差异及其机理研究[J].干旱区地理,2011,34(2):355-363.[PAN Jinghu,SHI Peiji.Spatial difference of coordinative development of urban and rural areas and its mechanism in Gansu Province[J].Arid Land Geography,2011,34(2):355-363.]
[19] YAN Yaoyang,JAMES R.Thomas,TANG Walter.Geographically weighted spatial modelling of sediment quality in Lake Okeechobee,Florida[J].GIScience & Remote Sensing,2014,51(4):605-609.
[20] 任国平,刘黎明,付永虎,等.基于GWR模型的都市城郊村域农户生计资本空间差异分析——以上海市青浦区为例[J].资源科学,2016,38(8):1594-1608.[REN Guoping,LIU Liming,FU Yonghu,et al.Spatial differentiation of rural household livelihood capital in metropolitan suburbs based on GWR model:a case study of Qingpu District in Shanghai[J].Resources Science,2016,38(8):1594-1608.]
[21] 付桂军,齐义军.煤炭资源型区域可持续发展水平比较研究——基于模糊综合评价法的分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2013,27(4):106-110.[FU Guijun,QI Yijun.The comparative study on the sustainable development levels in coal resource base regions:based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2013,27(4):106-110.]
[22] 陈永桃,陈英,马婷婷.农民农地产权认知的影响因素分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2017,31(2):25-31.[CHEN Yongtao,CHEN Ying,MA Tingting.An analysis of the influencing factors of farmers cognition of rural land property rights[J].Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment,2017,31(2):25-31.]
[23] 张兰,冯淑怡,曲福田,等.农地规模经营影响因素的实证研究——基于江苏省村庄调查数据[J].中国土地科学,2015,29(11):32-39.[ZHANG Lan,FENG Shuyi,QU Futian, et al.Empirical analysis on influencing factors of farmland scale management:based on the survey data of sample villages in Jiangsu Province[J].China Land Sciences,2015,29(11):32-39.]
[24] 杨倩倩,陈英,金生霞,等.河西走廊中部山丹县农地规模经营意愿及其影响因素研究[J].干旱区地理,2012,35(6):1004-1011.[YANG Qianqian,CHEN Ying,JIN Shengxia,et al.Households'willingness and its determinants on the scale land management in Shandan County in middle Hexi Corridor[J].Arid Land Geography,2012,35(6):1004-1011.]
[25] 贺雪峰.中国农业的发展道路与政策重点[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2010,10(4):1-7.[HE Xuefeng.On orientations for China's agricultural development and its policy focus[J].Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University (Social Sciences Edition),2010,10(4):1-7.]
[26] 宋文,吴克宁,陈英,等.基于地理空间适宜性指数自相关的农村居民点整理分区[J].农业工程学报,2016,32(19):249-257.[SONG Wen,WU Kening,CHEN Ying,et al.Zoning of rural residential land consolidation based on spatial autocorrelation of geographical spatial suitability index[J].Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,2016,32(19):249-257.]
[27] 刘敏,赵翠薇,施明辉.贵州山区土地利用变化多尺度空间自相关分析[J].农业工程学报,2012,28(20):239-246.[LIU Min,ZHAO Cuiwei,SHI Minghui.Spatial autocorrelation analysis of multi-scale land use change at mountainous areas in Guizhou Province[J].Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering,2012,28(20):239-246.]