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干旱区地理 ›› 2002, Vol. 25 ›› Issue (1): 40-43.doi: 10.13826/j.cnki.cn65-1103/x.2002.01.008

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新疆棉花比较优势的进一步分析:基于经济收益

盛承发, 王红托, 宣维健   

  1. 中国科学院动物研究所, 北京 100080
  • 收稿日期:2001-09-17 修回日期:2001-12-07 发布日期:2025-12-31
  • 基金资助:
    中国科学院“十五”新疆棉花重大创新项目(ZKNB2001-01)

A FURTHER ANALYSIS ON COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGES OF COTTON IN XINJIANG：BASED ON ECONOMIC BENEFITS

SHENG Cheng-fa, WANG Hong-tuo, XUAN Wei-jian   

  1. Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China
  • Received:2001-09-17 Revised:2001-12-07 Online:2025-12-31

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摘要： 经统计分析, 棉花净产值与玉米净产值之比X3对年度皮棉增加率Y2有极显著影响(p<0.01)、棉花净产值与(玉米 +小麦)平均净产值之比X4、棉花减税纯收益与玉米减税纯收益之比X6、棉花减税纯收益与(玉米+小麦)平均减税纯收益之比X7对年度皮棉增加率Y2有显著影响(p<0.05)。新疆中绒棉的X3介于山东和安徽之间, X4处于较高水平, X6比山东、安徽分别高0.8和0.3或73%和19%, X7比山东、安徽分别高1.1和0.2或92%和10%, 可见新疆中绒棉的种植优势是存在的。新疆长绒棉的优势更大, 以上4个指标比山东、安徽二省均值高26%～100%。这些指标的增加, 对年度皮棉增加率的贡献是明显的。按回归分析, X3、X4、X6、X7每增加1, 分别意味着当地皮棉比上年度有增加33.9%、36.8%、16.8%、12.7%的趋势。

关键词: 棉花, 比较优势, 经济效益, 种植区划, 新疆

Abstract: Based on statistical and analyzed results, the ratio of net output value of cotton to corn (X 3) impacts significantly the annual increment percent age of lint cotton production (Y 2) in China (p＜0.01). The ratio of net output value of cotton to (corn ＋ wheat) /2 (X 4) the ratio of net profit of cotton to corn (X 6) or the ratio of net profit of cotton to (corn ＋ wheat) /2 (X 7) impacts significantly the annual increment percentage of lint cotton production (Y 2) (p＜0.05). For medium staple cotton, the index of X 3 in Xinjiang is between those in Shandong and Anhui Province; X 4 in Xinjiang is at a relatively high level; X 6 in Xinjiang is 73% and 19% higher than that in Shandong and Anhui provinces, respectively, and X 7 in Xinjiang is 92% and 10% higher than that in Shandong and Anhui, respectively, These indicate the comparative advantages of mid-fiber cotton production in Xinjiang. For long-staple cotton, the above 4 indexes in Xinjiang are 26%～100% higher than those in Shandong and Anhui, indicating the greater comparative advantages. If X 3, X 4, X 6 and X 7 are increased for 1, there is a trend of increasing 33.9%, 36.8%, 16.8% and 12.7% respectively to the values of last year.

Key words: cotton, comparative advantage, economic benefits, growing regionalization, Xinjiang

中图分类号: 

  • F327