湟水流域西宁段产业结构升级与生态效率提升的耦合路径识别

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.245

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

协调好湟水流域产业结构升级与生态保护的关系，对推动黄河流域高质量发展、祁连山生态屏障建设及区域可持续发展意义重大。基于湟水流域西宁段7县区2010—2021年面板数据，运用Super-Undesirable SBM模型和扩展的耦合协调模型对产业结构升级、生态效率提升及两系统耦合协调水平进行测算评价，并借助坐标分类法对路径进行识别。结果表明：（1）样本区产业结构升级与生态效率提升水平区域差异显著，且呈现出“中心凸出、两边薄弱”的空间分布。（2）样本区内各县区整体耦合协调水平不高，区域差异显著，且大部分处于过渡耦合阶段，弹性较弱。（3）产业结构升级固化是该区域耦合协调水平较低的主要制约；耦合路径发展中应重点关注“双低”类型区域，同时避免陷入“低水平协调”陷阱。最后从内部突破资源约束与外部实现制度均衡分配2个维度提出相关发展建议。研究结果可为实现湟水流域西宁段高质量发展提供参考。

关键词: 产业结构升级, 生态效率提升, 耦合协调度, 耦合路径识别, 湟水流域

Abstract:

This study utilizes panel data spanning 2010 to 2021 from seven counties and districts within the Xining section of the Huangshui Basin. Employing the Super-Undesirable SBM model and an extended coupling coordination model, we assess the levels of industrial structure upgrading and ecological efficiency enhancement. Additionally, we evaluate the coupling coordination between these two systems, identifying optimal paths through the coordinate classification method. The findings reveal: (1) Substantial regional variations exist in both industrial structure upgrading and ecological efficiency enhancement across the sample area. The spatial distribution exhibits a pattern of prominence in the center and weakness on the sides. (2) The overall coupling and coordination levels among the counties and districts demonstrate a lack of high coherence, marked by significant regional disparities. Most areas fall into the transitional coupling stage with weak elasticity. (3) The solidification of industrial structure upgrading emerges as the primary impediment to achieving a higher level of coupling coordination in the region. Developing coupling paths should prioritize regions characterized by the “double-low” type, steering clear of the pitfalls associated with “low-level coordination”. In conclusion, this study recommends internal breakthroughs to address resource constraints and external strategies to achieve a balanced distribution within the systems.

Key words: industrial structure upgrading, eco-efficiency enhancement, coupling coordination, coupling path identification, Huangshui Basin

陈超超, 马丁丑, 陈强强. 湟水流域西宁段产业结构升级与生态效率提升的耦合路径识别[J]. 干旱区地理, 2023, 46(12): 2042-2051.

CHEN Chaochao, MA Dingchou, CHEN Qiangqiang. Coupling path identification of industrial structure upgrading and eco-efficiency enhancement in Xining section of Huangshui Basin[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2023, 46(12): 2042-2051.

图/表 9

图1

图2

表1

表2

产业结构升级指标"

一级指标	二级指标	计算公式
产业结构高级化（TA）	服务化倾向	$服务化倾向 = 第三产业增加值第二产业增加值$
产业结构合理化（TR）	泰尔指数	$T L = ∑ i = 1 n Y i Y l n Y i L i Y L$ ， i=1, 2, 3 式中：TL为泰尔指数；Y_i为第i个产业产值占比；L_i为第i个产业劳动力占比；Y为总产值；L为总劳动力。
产业结构高效化（TE）	固定资产投资效果系数	$固定资产投资效果系数 = 国内生产总值逐期增长量上一年全社会固定资产投资完成额$

表2

表3

图3

图4

图5

图6

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类型	耦合协调度（D）	等级
协调类	(0.9, 1.0]	优质协调
	(0.8, 0.9]	良好协调
	(0.7, 0.8]	中级协调
	(0.6, 0.7]	初级协调
过渡类	(0.5, 0.6]	勉强协调
	(0.4, 0.5]	濒临失调
	(0.3, 0.4]	轻度失调
失调类	(0.2, 0.3]	中度失调
	(0.1, 0.2]	严重失调
	(0.0, 0.1]	极度失调

一级指标	二级指标	计量方式
投入	资本投入	资本存量/10⁴元
	劳动力投入	三次产业就业人数/人
	资源投入	能源消耗/t
产出	期望产出	地区GDP/10⁴元
产出	非期望产出	SO₂排放总量/t