Climatology and Hydrology

Spatial and temporal response differences to global warming hiatus of the thermophilic crops climate growth period in oases of China

Expand
  • College of Geography and Environmental Science,Northwest Normal University,Lanzhou 730070,Gansu,China

Received date: 2019-05-22

  Revised date: 2019-09-05

  Online published: 2020-11-18

Abstract

The global warming hiatus that occurred between 1998 and 2012 has attracted considerable attention;however,changes in the plant growth periods in response to this hiatus are still unclear. Oases located in China between 32°-44°N and 70°-110°E are characterized by temperate continental climates and fragile ecological environments,which are sensitive to climate change. We considered the daily mean temperature data collected by 67 surface meteorological stations distributed over Chinese oases covered with thermophilic crops between 1960 and 2016. By employing the linear trend,the inverse distance weighted(IDW),the Morlet wavelet,and the Mann-Kendall methods,we analyzed the response of thermophilic crops(in terms of growth period) to the global warming hiatus. The results showed that the trend rates of the thermophilic crops growth periods in the Chinese oases between 1998 and 2012 were -2.15 d·(10 a)-1,2.76 d·(10 a) -1,and 4.91 d·(10 a)-1,respectively. Compared with 1960-1998,the beginning day of the growth period between 1998 and 2012 occurred earlier,the ending day occurred later,and the duration was longer. No overall responses to the global warming hiatus were observed. In terms of spatial change,the Qaidam Oasis showed the strongest response to the global warming hiatus. Changes in the beginning day,ending day,and duration of the growth period of thermophilic crops occurred in 2008,2001,and 2006,respectively. However,after these changes,the climate growth period of thermophilic crops did not respond anymore to the global warming hiatus. The Morlet wavelet analysis showed that the studied time interval was dominated by short periods(2.4-3.8 a),which are consistent with those of atmospheric circulation(2-4 a) and El Niño events(2-7 a). This indicates that the growth period of thermophilic crops was mainly affected by these last two factors. Overall,our findings showed that the growth period of thermophilic crops did not respond to the global warming hiatus. These results provide a scientific basis for understanding regional responses to this global event.

Cite this article

SI Wen-yang, ZHANG Ming-jun, LIU Pu-xing . Spatial and temporal response differences to global warming hiatus of the thermophilic crops climate growth period in oases of China[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2020 , 43(4) : 899 -908 . DOI: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2020.04.05

References

[1] 秦大河,THOMAS S,259名作者和TSU(驻伯尔尼和北京). IPCC第五次评估报告第一工作组报告的亮点结论[J]. 气候变化研究进展,2014,10(1):1–6.
[QIN Dahe,THOMAS S,259 Authors and TSU (Bern & Beijing). Highlights of the IPCC working group I fifth assessment report[J]. Progress in Climate Change Research,2014,10(1):1–6.]
[2] 王晶,杨太保,冀琴,等. 1990—2015年喜马拉雅山东段中国和不丹边境地区冰川变化研究[J]. 干旱区地理,2019,42(3):542–550.
[WANG Jing,YANG Taibao,JI Qin,et al.Change of the modern glaciers in the eastern Himalaya near China and Bhutan border area from 1990 to 2015[J]. Arid Land Geography,2019,42(3):542–550.]
[3] 薛海丽,张钦,唐海萍. 近60 a内蒙古不同草原类型区极端气温和干旱事件特征分析[J]. 干旱区地理,2018,41(4):701–711.
[XUE Haili,ZHANG Qin,TANG Haiping.Extreme temperature and drought events in four different grassland areas of Inner Mongoliain in recent 60 years[J]. Arid Land Geography,2018,41(4):701–711.]
[4] 张文霞,刘普幸,冯青荣,等. 1960—2015年中国绿洲胡杨生长季对全球变暖的时空响应及原因[J]. 地理学报,2017,72(7):1151–1162.
[ZHANG Wenxia,LIU Puxing,FENG Qingrong,et al.Spatial and temporal response and its causes of the growing season of Populus euphratica to global warming in China's oases during 1960–2015[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2017,72(7):1151–1162.]
[5] CARTER B. There is a problem with global warming…it stopped in1998[N]. Telegraph Newspaper,2006–9.
[6] IPCC. Climate change 2013:The physical science basis. Contribution to working group I to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change[R]. Cambridge,United Kingdom and New York,USA:Cambridge University Press,2013.
[7] 王绍武,罗勇,赵宗慈,等. 全球变暖的停滞还能持续多久[J]?气候变化研究进展,2014,10(6):465.
[WANG Shaowu,LUO Yong,ZHAO Zongci,et al.How long will the pause of global warming stay again[J]?Progress in Climate Change Research,2014,10(6):465.]
[8] 葛全胜,王芳,王绍武,等. 对全球变暖认识的七个问题的确定与不确定性[J]. 中国人口. 资源与环境,2014,24(1):1.
[GE Quansheng,WANG Fang,WANG Shaowu,et al.Certainty and uncertainty in global warming studies[J]. China Population Resources and Envionment,2014,24(1):1.]
[9] 王绍武,罗勇,赵宗慈,等. 21世纪气候变暖并未停滞[J]. 气候变化研究进展,2013,9(5):386.
[WANG Shaowu,LUO Yong,ZHAO Zongci,et al.Global warming has not stalled in the 21st century[J]. Progress in Climate Change Research,2013,9(5):386.]
[10] 苏京志,温敏,丁一汇,等. 全球变暖趋缓研究进展[J]. 大气科学,2016,40(6):1143–1153.
[SU Jingzhi,WEN Min,DING Yihui,et al.Hiatus of global warming:A review[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,2016,40(6):1143–1153.]
[11] KARL T R,ARGUEZ A,HUANG B,et al.Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus[J]. Science,2015,348(6242):1469–1472.
[12] COWTAN K,WAY R G.Coverage bias in the Had CRUT4 temperature series and its impact on recent temperature trends[J]. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society,2014,140(683):1935–1944.
[13] EASTERLING D R,WEHNER M F.Is the climate warming or cooling[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2009,36(8):1–3.
[14] SOLOMON S,ROSENLOF K H,PORTMANN R W,et al.Contributions of stratospheric water vapor to decadal changes in the rate of global warming[J]. Science, 2010, 327(5790):1219–1223.
[15] SOLOMON S,DANIEL J S,NEELY III R,et al,The persistently variable “background” stratospheric aerosol layer and global climate change[J]. Science Magazine,2011, 333(6044):866–870.
[16] KAUFMANN R K,KAUPPI H,MANN M L,et al.Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998–2008[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,2011,108(29):11790–11793.
[17] MEEHL G A,TENG Haiyan,ARBLASTER J M.Climate model simulations of the observed early-2000s hiatus of global warming[J].Nature Climate Change,2014,4(10):898–902.
[18] YU K,XIE Shangping.Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling[J]. Nature,2013,501(7467):403.
[19] CHEN X Y, TUNG K K.Varying planetary heat sink led to global-warming slowdown and acceleration[J]. Science,2014,345(6199),897.
[20] PASIN A,TRIACCA U,ATTANASIO A.Evidence for the role of the Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and the ocean heat uptake in hiatus prediction[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2017,129(3–4):873–880.
[21] 王绍武,罗勇,赵宗慈,等. 近10年全球变暖停滞了吗[J]?气候变化研究进展,2010,6(2):95–99.
[WANG Shaowu, LUO Yong, ZHAO Zongci, et al.Does the global warming pause in the last decade:1999–2008[J]?Progress in Climate Change Research, 2010, 6(2):95–99.]
[22] 杜勤勤,张明军,王圣杰,等. 中国气温变化对全球变暖停滞的响应[J].地理学报,2018,73(9):1748–1764.
[DU Qinqin,ZHANG Mingjun,WANG Shengjie,et al.Changes in air temperature of China in response to global warming hiatus[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,2018,73(9):1748–1764.]
[23] 丁一汇. “暖冬”渐行渐远全球变暖暂时停滞了吗[J]?今日科苑,2011,(24):19.
[DING Yihui.Is the "warm Winter" on the way,global warming hiatus for the time being[J]? Modern Science,2011,(24):19.]
[24] 申元村,汪久文,伍光和,等. 中国绿洲[M]. 开封:河南大学出版社,2001.
[SHEN Yuancun,WANG Jiuwen,WU Guanghe,et al.Oasis of China[M]. Kaifeng:Henan University Press,2001.]
[25] 常兆丰,邱国玉,赵明,等. 民勤荒漠区植物物候对气候变暖的响应[J]. 生态学报,2009,29(10),5195–5206.
[CHANG Zhaofeng,QIU Guoyu,ZHAO Ming,et al.Responses of plant phenology to climate warming in Minqin desert area[J]vActa Ecologica Sinica,2009,29(10):5195–5206.]
[26] 苏广达. 作物学[M]. 广州:广东高等教育出版社,2000.
[SU Guangda.Crop science[M]. Guangzhou:Guangdong Higher Education Press,2000.]
[27] 曲曼丽. 农业气候实习指导[M]. 北京:北京农业大学出版社,1991.
[QU Manli.Agricultural climate practice guidance[M]. Beijing:Peking Agricultural University Press,1991.]
[28] FU Y,CHEN H,NIU H H,et al.Spatial and temporal variation of vegetation phenology and its response to climate changes in Qaidam Basin from 2000 to 2015[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences,2018,28(4):400–414.
[29] CHNIELEWSKI F M, ROTZER T.Response of tree phenology to climate change across Europe[J]. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2001, 108(2):101–112.
[30] 王绍武. 全球变暖的减慢并没有想像的那么严重[J]. 气候变化研究进展,2014,(2):134.
[WANG Shaowu.The slowdown in global warming is not as severe as thought[J]. Progress in Climate Change Research,2014,(2):134.]
[31] 李博,曾彪,杨太保. 1982—2015年柴达木盆地不同流域植被气候响应差异[J]. 干旱区地理,2018,41(3):449–458.
[LI Bo,ZENG Biao,YANG Taibao.Different correlations between NDVI and climate factors in different watershed over Qaidam Basin from 1982–2015[J]. Arid Land Geography,2018,41(3):449–458.]
[32] MA Y,MAO R,Feng,S H,et al.Does the recent warming hiatus exist over Norther Asia for winter wind chill temperature[J]?International Journal of Climatology,2017,37(7):3138–3144.
[33] ISAAC M H.The cause of the pause[J]. Nature,2013,501(TN. 7467):318–319.
[34] CHENG L J, ZHENG F, ZHU J.Distinctive ocean interior changes during the recent warming slowdown[J]. Scientific Reports, 2015, 5(14346):1–11.
[35] XIAO H Y,TIM B,KEVIN T,et al.The global warming hiatus:slow down or redistribution[J]?Earths Future,2016,4(11):472–482.
Outlines

/