WANG Dan, WANG Jian-peng, LOU Pan-xing, DAI Chan-gming. Evaluation and correction of high temperature weather forecast in Shaanxi Province in July 2017 using ECMWF high-resolution model[J].干旱区地理, 2019, 42(1): 38-46.
[1]邓小花,翟盘茂,袁春红.国外几套再分析资料的对比与分析[J].气象科技,2010,38(1):1-8.[DENG Xiaohua,ZHAI Panmao,YUAN Chunhong.Comparative Analysis of NCEP/NCAR, ECMWF and JMA Reanalysis[J].Meteorological science and technology, 2010,38(1):1-8.]
[2] 潘留杰,张宏芳,王建鹏.数值天气预报检验方法研究进展[J].地球科学进展,2014,29(3): 327-335.[PAN Liujie,ZHANG Hongfang,WANG Jianpeng.Progress on verification methods of numerical weather prediction[J]. Advances in Earth Science,2014,29(3):327-335.]
[3] 董全,金荣花,代刊,等.ECMWF集合预报和确定性预报对淮河流域暴雨预报的对比分析[J].气象,2016,42(9):1146-1153.[DONG Quan,JIN Ronghua, DAI Kan,et al.Comparison Between ECMWF Ensemble and Deterministic Forecast for Heavy Rainfall in the Huaihe River Basin of China[J]. Meteorological monthly,2016,42(9):1146-1153.]
[ ] 王海燕,田刚,徐卫立,等.ECMWF 模式在长江上游流域调度关键期的预报检验评估[J].干旱气象,2017,35( 1) :142-147.[ WANG Haiyan,TIAN Gang,XU Weili,et al.4valuation and Inspection of ECMWF Model Forecast Product During Dispatch Key Periods in Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin[J].Journal of Arid Meteorology,2017,35( 1):142-147.]
[5] 潘留杰,张宏芳,陈小婷,等.ECMWF 集合预报在中国中部地区的降水概率预报性能评估[J]. 高原气象,2017,36(1) : 138-147.[PAN Liujie,ZHANG Hongfang,CHEN Xiaoting,et al.Evaluation of precipitation probability forecasts of ECMWF ensemble prediction system in Central China[J]. Plateau Meteorology,2017,36(1) :138-147.]
[6] 潘留杰,张宏芳,朱伟军,等. ECMWF 模式对东北半球气象要素场预报能力的检验[J].气候与环境研究,2013,18(1):111-123.[ PAN Liujie,ZHANG Hongfang,ZHU Weijun,et al. Forecast performance verification of the ECMWF model over the Northeast Hemisphere [J]. Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese), 2013,18 (1) :111-123.]
[7] 周昆,郝元甲,姚晨,等. 6种数值模式在安徽区域天气预报中的检验[J]. 气象科学,2010,30(6): 801-805.[ZHOU Kun,HAO Yuanjia,YAO Chen,et al. The Verification of six numerical models for weather forecast in Anhui Province [J].Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2010,30(6): 801-805.]
[8] 王丹,高红燕,马磊,等.SCMOC温度精细化指导预报在陕西区域的质量检验[J].气象科技,2014,42(5):839-846.[WANG Dan,GAO Hongyan,MA Lei,et al. Quality Test of Refined Guidance SCMOC Temperature Prediction in Shaanxi Provence [J].Meteorological science and technology,2014,42(5):839-846.]
[9] PINSON P, HAGEDORN R.Verification of the ECMWF ensemble forecasts of wind speed against observations [J]. Meteorol. Appl., 2011, 00: 1-20.
[10] WANG Y, QIAN H,SONG J J, et al. Verification of the T213 global spectral model of China National Meteorology Center over the East-Asia area [J]. J. Geophys. Res., 2008, 113 (D10110): 1- 7.
[11] 龚伟伟,师春香,张涛,等.中国区域多种数值模式资料的地面气象要素评估[J]. 气候与环境研究,2015,20(1):53-62.[GONG Weiwei,SHI Chunxiang,ZHANG Tao,et al.Evaluation of surface meteorological elements from several numerical models in China [J].Climatic and Environmental Research (in Chinese),2015,20(1):53-62.]
[12] 张峰.2015年9-11月T639、ECMWF及日本模式中期预报性能检验[J].气象,2016,42(2):246-253.[ZHANG Feng. Performance Verification of Medium-Range Forecast by T639 and ECMWF and Japan Models from September to November [J].Meteorological monthly,2016,42(2):246-253].
[13] 涂小萍,姚日升.ECMWF 数值产品在热带气旋(TC)路径预报中的应用分析[J].热带气象学报,2010,26(6):759-764.[TU Xiaoping,YAO Risheng. Analysis on ECMWF NWP Products in TC Track Forecasting [J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,2010,26(6):759-764.]
[14] 肖红茹,王灿伟,周秋雪,等.T639、ECMWF 细网格模式对 2012 年5~8 月四川盆地降水预报的天气学检验[J].高原山地气象研究,2013,33(1):80-85.[XIAO Hongru,WANG Canwei,ZHOU Qiuxue,et al. Synoptic Meteorology Verification of Precipitation Forecast for T639 ECMWF Fine Grid Models from May to August 2012 in Sichuan Basin[J].Plateau and Mountain Meteorology Research,2013,33(1):80-85. ]
[14] 熊世为,郁凌华,胡姗姗,等.基于 ECMWF 细网格产品的一种优化 BP-MOS 气温预报方法[J].干旱气象,2017,35(4):668-673.[XIONG Shiwei,YU Linghua,HU Shanshan,et al.An Optimized BP-MOS Temperature Forecast Method Based on the Fine-mesh Products of ECMWF [J].Journal of Arid Meteorology,2017,35(4):668-673.]
[16] 罗菊英,周建山,闫永财.基于数值预报及上级指导产品的本地气温MOS预报方法.气象科技,2014,42(3):443-450.[LUO Juying,ZHOU Jianshan,YAN Yongcai. Local Temperature MOS Forecast Method Based on Numerical Forecast Products and Superior Guidance[J]. Meteorological science and technology,2014,42(3):443-450.]
[17] 余晖,陈国民,万日金.数值模式的热带气旋强度预报订正及其集成应用.气象学报,2015,73(4):667-678.[YU Hui,CHEN Guomin,WAN Rijin.A multi-model consensus forecast technique for tropical cyclone intensity based on model output calibration. Acta Meteorological Sinica,2015,73(4):667-678.]
[18] 李佰平,智协飞.ECWRF模式地面气温预报的四种误差订正方法的比较研究[J]. 气象,2012,38(8):897-902.[LI Baiping,ZHI Xiefei. Comparative Study of Four Correction Schemes of the ECMWF Surface Temperature Forecasts[J].Meteorological monthly,2012,38(8):897-902.]