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干旱区地理 ›› 2021, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (5): 1396-1406.doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000–6060.2021.05.20

• 地球信息科学 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于MCR模型的卡拉麦里地区生态安全格局变化研究

赵晓峰1,2,3,4(),王金林1,2,3,4(),王珊珊1,2,3,4,王权5   

  1. 1.中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所,荒漠与绿洲生态国家重点实验室,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011
    2.新疆矿产资源与数字地质重点实验室,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011
    3.中国科学院新疆矿产资源研究中心,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011
    4.中国科学院大学,北京 100049
    5.日本静冈大学,静冈 422-8529
  • 收稿日期:2020-09-22 修回日期:2020-11-10 出版日期:2021-09-25 发布日期:2021-09-22
  • 通讯作者: 王金林
  • 作者简介:赵晓峰(1994-),男,硕士,主要从事景观生态及生态安全等方面的研究. E-mail: 464592044@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    新疆维吾尔自治区重点研发计划项目(2017B03017-2)

Changes of ecological security pattern in Kalamaili region based on MCR models

ZHAO Xiaofeng1,2,3,4(),WANG Jinlin1,2,3,4(),WANG Shanshan1,2,3,4,WANG Quan5   

  1. 1. State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, China
    2. Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Mineral Resources and Digital Geology, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, China
    3. Xinjiang Research Centre for Mineral Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, Xinjiang, China
    4. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
    5. Shizuoka University, Shizuoka 422-8529, Japan
  • Received:2020-09-22 Revised:2020-11-10 Online:2021-09-25 Published:2021-09-22
  • Contact: Jinlin WANG

摘要:

随着生产力的发展,人类在开发活动中导致的植被破坏、水源污染、土壤污染等生态环境问题日益突出,人类活动与自然环境之间的矛盾和保障人类社会的可持续发展已经成为急需解决的问题。利用最小累积阻力模型(MCR)对1990-2019年卡拉麦里地区的生态安全格局变化规律进行分析,并结合元胞自动机-马尔可夫模型(CA-Markov)对2025年本地区的生态安全格局进行预测。结果表明:(1) 将卡拉麦里地区的生态安全格局分为安全区、低安全区及不安全区,安全区的面积在2010-2015年萎缩至3237.31 km2,主要转化为低安全区及不安全区,这一时期的人类活动严重影响到了本区的生态环境。(2) 2019年,安全区面积为6265.91 km2,低安全区及不安全区基本恢复为自然状态,生态治理工作取得良好效果。(3) 预测可知,2025年卡拉麦里地区景观格局变化不大,仍以草地、未利用地为主。生态安全区面积6421.88 km2,低安全区及不安全区面积有继续下降趋势。(4) 在卡山保护区中部的交通路线附近形成了一条带状低安全区,将成为今后保护区生态监测与保护的重点区域。

关键词: CA-Markov模型, 生态安全格局, 最小累积阻力模型(MCR), 卡拉麦里地区

Abstract:

The Kalamaili Mountain Ungulate Nature Reserve (Kalamaili Reserve) is an important wildlife reserve in northern Xinjiang, China with high ecological conservation values. From 2005 to 2015, intense human development in Kalamaili region severely damaged the local ecological environment, dramatically reducing the number of khulan (Equus hemionus) and other large wildlife. Since 2015, the quality of the Kalamaili region ecology has improved dramatically due to the development of ecological protection and restoration. Against this backdrop, the article is based on Landsat images of 1990, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2019 and data on the natural and human condition in the study area. In addition, the Minimum Cumulative Resistance (MCR) model was used to study changes in the ecological security patterns of Kalamaili Reserve from 1990 to 2019. Furthermore, the cellular Automata-Markov (CA-Markov) model was combined to predict the ecological security pattern of the region in 2025. Next, important factors affecting the ecological security of Kalamaili Reserve were analyzed. There is specific guiding importance for preserving the ecological environment and wildlife in Kalamaili Reserve. The results suggest that (1) ecological security patterns can be divided into safe, low-safe, and unsafe zones. The safe zone shrank to 3237.31 km2 from 2010 to 2015, changing mainly to low-safe and unsafe zones. Human activity during this period had a severe impact on the ecological environment of the region. (2) The area of the safe zone was 6265.91 km2 in 2019. Low-safe and unsafe zones have basically been restored to their natural state, indicating good results based on ecological governance efforts. (3) The Kalamaili Region landscape pattern is not expected to change significantly by 2025. Grasslands and unused land still dominate the region. The area of ecologically safe zone will increase to 6421.88 km2, and the low-safe and unsafe zones will continue to decrease. (4) A belt of the low-safe zone will be formed near the traffic route in the middle of the Kalamaili Reserve, which will be the focus of future ecological monitoring and protection of the Kalamaili Reserve. (5) Human activity is a sensitive factor that affects the ecological environment of Kalamaili Reserve. It has been suggested that future conservation efforts should continue to limit human economic development activities in Kalamaili Reserve. At the same time, it is necessary to strengthen the monitoring and inspection works around the roads in the Kalamaili Reserve, accumulate data on wildlife near the road, and provide the scientific basis for the future construction of the Kalamaili Reserve.

Key words: the cellular automata-Markov (CA-Markov) model, ecological security pattern, the minimum cumulative resistance (MCR) model, Kalamaili region