伊犁地区旅游发展水平与乡村振兴耦合机制及实证研究

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.392

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

通过旅游发展促进乡村振兴是国家的重要战略，如何实现旅游发展水平与乡村振兴协调发展是当前学界关注的问题。在分析旅游发展水平与乡村振兴耦合机制的基础上，构建评价指标体系，运用熵权法、综合测度模型、耦合协调度模型和地理探测器分析了伊犁地区2003—2023年旅游发展水平与乡村振兴、耦合协调演变特征和耦合影响机制。结果表明：（1）旅游发展水平与乡村振兴具有耦合关系。（2）对旅游发展水平和乡村振兴贡献最大的因子分别是创新驱动和治理有效。（3）旅游发展水平与乡村振兴耦合呈现波动上升趋势，经历了中度失调、濒临失调、勉强协调和初级协调4种类型。（4）旅游资源禀赋和交通基础设施水平对耦合协调度的解释力相对较强，而产业结构优化与升级和政府宏观调控对耦合协调度的解释力相对较弱。研究结果为伊犁地区旅游与乡村振兴协调发展提供了科学依据。

关键词: 旅游发展水平, 乡村振兴, 耦合机制, 伊犁地区

Abstract:

Tourism-driven rural revitalization has become a key national strategy. The academic community is actively exploring how to achieve coordinated development between tourism advancement and rural revitalization. Empirical research on the coupling mechanisms between tourism development and rural revitalization will help facilitate their synergistic progress. This has significant implications for achieving comprehensive rural revitalization. The study focuses on Ili region, analyzing the coupling mechanism with the entropy weight method, integrated measurement models, coupling coordination metrics, and geodetector analysis. The comprehensive evaluation examines tourism and rural revitalization in Ili region from 2003 to 2023, as well as their coupled evolution and interaction mechanisms. The results show: (1) Tourism development and rural revitalization are synergistic. (2) Innovation-driven development is the primary contributor to tourism, while effective governance is most important for rural revitalization. (3) The coupling relationship shows a fluctuating upward trend, moving through four stages: Moderate imbalance, near imbalance, barely coordinated, and primary coordination. (4) Tourism resource endowment and transportation infrastructure demonstrate strong explanatory power for synergy, while industrial structure optimization and government macroregulation have relatively weaker effects. While the coupling relationship has progressed from “moderate imbalance” to “primary coordination” type, it has not yet reached a level of strong good coordination. Therefore, various factors should be considered to further coordinate tourism development and rural revitalization. The findings provide a scientific basis for advancing the integration of tourism development and rural revitalization in Ili region.

Key words: tourism development level, rural revitalization, coupling mechanism, Ili region

秦趣, 唐晓兵, 文斌. 伊犁地区旅游发展水平与乡村振兴耦合机制及实证研究[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(6): 1277-1287.

QIN Qu, TANG Xiaobing, WEN Bin. Empirical study on the coupling mechanism of tourism development level and rural revitalization in Ili region[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(6): 1277-1287.

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系统层	子系统层	指标层	权重值	属性
旅游发展水平	创新驱动（0.2074）	旅游专利授权数/个	0.0492	+
		旅游R&D经费投入强度/%	0.0276	+
		技术进步贡献率/%	0.0385	+
		智慧旅游景区数/个	0.0483	+
		旅游学术论文发表数量/篇	0.0438	+
	稳定高效（0.1496）	旅游业全员劳动生产率/%	0.0367	+
		旅游劳动弹性系数/%	0.0152	+
		旅游收入增长率/%	0.0315	+
		旅游人次增长率/%	0.0323	+
		旅游外汇增长率/%	0.0339	+
	协调发展（0.2038）	旅游收入占一产比重/%	0.0576	+
		旅游收入占GDP比重/%	0.0598	+
		旅游收入占三产比重/%	0.0591	+
		非遗项目数/个	0.0273	+
	绿色持续（0.1763）	环境污染治理投资占比/%	0.0131	+
		自然保护区面积占比/%	0.0221	+
		森林覆盖率/%	0.0289	+
		生活垃圾无害化处理率/%	0.0347	+
		单位旅游收入能耗/%	0.0475	-
		空气优良天数占比/%	0.0300	+
	开放活力（0.1374）	对外贸易总额/10⁴元	0.0198	+
		出境旅游人数/人次	0.0188	+
		入境旅游人数/人次	0.0169	+
		入境游客占游客总量比重/%	0.0314	+
		入境旅游收入/10⁴元	0.0233	+
		入境旅游人均天花费/元·d^-1·人^-1	0.0272	+
	公平共享（0.1255）	路网密度/km·km^-2	0.0347	+
		旅客运输量/10⁴人次	0.0277	+
		人均公共图书馆藏量/册	0.0333	+
		博物馆数量/个	0.0298	+

系统层	子系统层	指标层	权重值	属性
乡村振兴	产业兴旺（0.1762）	人均农林牧渔业产值/10⁴元	0.0299	+
		第一产业增加值占GDP比重/%	0.0329	+
		人均粮食产量/kg	0.0243	+
		旅游从业人员比重/%	0.0078	+
		农业机械总动力/kW	0.0285	+
		人均地区生产总值/10⁴元	0.0292	+
		全社会固定资产投资/10⁴元	0.0236	+
	生态宜居（0.2059）	乡村绿化覆盖率/%	0.0340	+
		人均水资源量/m³·人^-1	0.0395	+
		农村自来水普及率/%	0.0516	+
		农村燃气普及率/%	0.0212	+
		人均道路面积/m²	0.0596	+
	乡风文明（0.1726）	农村居民教育文娱消费支出占比/%	0.0205	+
		农村居民平均受教育年限/a·人^-1	0.0254	+
		学龄儿童净入学率/%	0.0255	+
		电视节目综合人口覆盖率/%	0.0322	+
		互联网宽带接入用户数/10⁴户	0.0690	+
	治理有效（0.2279）	一般公共预算支出/10⁴元	0.0289	+
		城乡居民可支配收入比/%	0.0398	+
		每万人卫生院床位数/张·(10⁴人)^-1	0.0286	+
		每万人卫生技术人员数/人·(10⁴人)^-1	0.0321	+
		村民参与旅游的积极性/%	0.0426	+
		有开展旅游接待服务的村比重/%	0.0559	+
	生活富裕（0.2174）	农村居民人均可支配收入/元	0.0407	+
		农村居民人均消费支出/元	0.0396	+
		农村居民家庭恩格尔系数/%	0.0517	-
		农村最低生活保障支出/10⁴人	0.0276	+
		人均住房面积/m³	0.0393	+
		农村每百户汽车拥有量/辆	0.0185	+

类型	划分依据	亚类型	系统数值对比	子类型
协调发展	0.9<D≤1.0	高级协调	g(E)-f(U)>0.1	旅游滞后
			\|g(E)-f(U)\|≤0.1	系统均衡发展
			g(E)-f(U)<-0.1	乡村振兴滞后
	0.8<D≤0.9	良好协调	g(E)-f(U)>0.1	旅游滞后
			\|g(E)-f(U)\|≤0.1	系统均衡发展
			g(E)-f(U)<-0.1	乡村振兴滞后
	0.7<D≤0.8	中级协调	g(E)-f(U)>0.1	旅游滞后
			\|g(E)-f(U)\|≤0.1	系统均衡发展
			g(E)-f(U)<-0.1	乡村振兴滞后
转型发展	0.6<D≤0.7	初级协调	g(E)-f(U)>0.1	旅游滞后
			\|g(E)-f(U)\|≤0.1	系统均衡发展
			g(E)-f(U)<-0.1	乡村振兴滞后
	0.5<D≤0.6	勉强协调	g(E)-f(U)>0.1	旅游滞后
			\|g(E)-f(U)\|≤0.1	系统均衡发展
			g(E)-f(U)<-0.1	乡村振兴滞后
	0.4<D≤0.5	濒临失调	g(E)-f(U)>0.1	旅游滞后
			\|g(E)-f(U)\|≤0.1	系统均衡发展
			g(E)-f(U)<-0.1	乡村振兴滞后
不协调发展	0.2<D≤0.4	中度失调	g(E)-f(U)>0.1	旅游滞后
			\|g(E)-f(U)\|≤0.1	系统均衡发展
			g(E)-f(U)<-0.1	乡村振兴滞后
	0.0<D≤0.2	严重失调	g(E)-f(U)>0.1	旅游滞后
			\|g(E)-f(U)\|≤0.1	系统均衡发展
			g(E)-f(U)<-0.1	乡村振兴滞后

探测因子	TRE	ECO	TRA	IND	GOV
q	0.9261	0.8912	0.9052	0.7078	0.7489
P	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0024	0.0048