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干旱区地理 ›› 2015, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (1): 1-9.

• 气候与水文 •    下一篇

近60 a河西走廊极端气温的变化特征分析

李红英1,2,高振荣2,王胜3,王海燕2   

  1. (1    甘肃省气象局, 甘肃    兰州    730020;    2    甘肃省酒泉市气象局, 甘肃    酒泉    735000;
    3    甘肃省金塔县气象局, 甘肃    金塔    735300)
  • 收稿日期:2014-05-02 修回日期:2014-07-29 出版日期:2015-01-25
  • 通讯作者: 高振荣(1957-),男,甘肃酒泉,高级工程师,天气预报及气候分析. Email:gaozrong@163.com
  • 作者简介:李红英(1979-),女,甘肃高台,高级工程师, 天气预报及气候分析. Email:gsjqlhy@163.com
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金(41175081)

Extreme temperature variation of Hexi Corridor in recent 60 years

LI  Hong-ying1,2,GAO  Zhen-rong2,WANG  Sheng3,WANG  Hai-yan2   

  1. (1   Gansu Provice Meteorological Bureau, Lanzhou  730020, Gansu, China;2   Jiuquan Meteorological Bureau of Gansu, Jiuquan  735000, Gansu, China;   3   Jinta Meteorological Bureau of Gansu, Jinta  735300, Gansu, China)
  • Received:2014-05-02 Revised:2014-07-29 Online:2015-01-25

摘要: 选取河西走廊具有代表性的11个气象站1953年1月~2013年2月逐月极端最高、最低气温观测资料,运用趋势拟合、小波分析和Mann-Kendall方法,对近60 a来河西走廊年、季极端气温进行了趋势拟合,分析了年和季节的变化规律,并对其时间序列进行了小波及突变分析。结果表明:近60 a来、季极端最高和最低气温都是增高的。极端最低气温的增温幅度明显高于极端最高气温,且秋、冬季极端最高、最低气温增温最强。年极端最高气温演变呈现为二次曲线;年极端最低气温线性递增趋势显著0.337 ℃·(10 a)-1。年、季极端最高、最低气温空间分布存在差异,夏季最炎热的地区分布在安敦盆地和民勤等与沙漠接壤的地域,偏暖时段更容易出现极端最高气温的极值,冬季最寒冷的地区位于马鬃山区。年极端最高气温存在着5 a左右的主周期性变化,50~60 a超长周期尺度较为明显;夏季极端最高气温的周期变化与年极端最高气温的周期变化有相似之处。年极端最低气温的变化表现为3 a、6~8 a、10~12 a周期和50~60 a超长周期尺度;冬季还存在40 a超长周期尺度。年极端最高气温暖突变出现在1996年,夏季极端最高气温暖突变出现在2006年;年极端最低气温暖突变出现在1993年;冬季极端最低气温暖突变出现在1977年。

关键词: 极端气温, 时空变化, 小波及突变分析, 河西走廊

Abstract: With the monthly extreme maximum and minimum temperature data of 11 ground meteorological observ- ation stations at Dunhuang,Guazhou,Yumen Town,Jiuquan,Gaotai,Zhangye,Shandan,Wuwei,Minqin and Wush- aoling regions in Hexi Corridor,Gansu Province,China from January 1953 to February 2013,using linear regression,wavelet and Mann-Kendall method,the paper simulated the trends of annual and seasonal extreme maximum and minimum temperatures of Hexi Corridor in near 60 years, interpreted the changing laws of the annual and seasonal extreme maximum and minimum temperatures,and conducted wavelet and mutation analysis to their time series. The results show that both the annual and seasonal extreme maximum and minimum temperatures are increasing in near 60 years. The warming extent of the extreme minimum temperature is obviously higher than that of the extreme max- imum temperature,and the autumn and winter extreme maximum and minimum temperatures have the highest warm- ing extent. The evolution of annual extreme maximum temperature is in accord with quadratic curve,and the annual extreme minimum temperature shows a linear increasing tendency with a rate of 0.337 ℃·(10 a)-1. Spatial distribu- tion of annual and seasonal extreme maximum and minimum temperatures has disparities;the hottest districts in summer appear at the areas joining the deserts such as Andun Basin and Minqin County,where the extreme value of the maximum temperatures is more possibly presented during the warmer stage. The coldest district in winter appears at Mazong Mountain. The annual extreme maximum temperature has 5 a main periodic changes,simultaneously with more obvious 50-60 a ultra-long periodic changes; and the periodic change of the summer extreme maximum temperature is similar to that of the annual extreme maximum temperature. The annual extreme minimum temperature has 3 a,6-8 a,10-12 a periodic changes and 50-60 a ultra-long periodic changes,additionally the winter extreme maximum temperature has 40 a ultra-long periodic changes. The warm abrupt change of the annual extreme maximum temperature of Hexi Corridor is appeared in 1996,and that of the summer extreme maximum temperature is appeared in 2006. Whereas,the warm abrupt change of the annual extreme minimum temperature is appeared in 1993,and that of the winter extreme maximum temperature is appeared in 1977.

Key words: extreme temperature, temporal and spatial variation, wavelet analysis and mutation, Hexi Corridor

中图分类号: 

  • P423.3