Spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and impact assessment of snow disasters in the Ili region of Xinjiang from 1990 to 2020
Received date: 2023-10-26
Revised date: 2024-03-04
Online published: 2024-12-03
The snow disasters in the Ili region of Xinjiang, China, have led to significant economic and social impacts, mainly through reduced agricultural production and ecosystem damage. To quantify and evaluate the impact of snow disasters in this region, this study analyzed 95 snow disaster events that occurred between 1990 and 2020. A disaster loss index was calculated using selected indicators, dimensionless processing, and weight assignment. The severity of snow disasters was categorized into four levels (mild, moderate, severe, and extreme) using the percentile method. The key findings are as follows: (1) Snow disasters in the Ili region exhibited a bimodal distribution, with peak occurrences in November and January-February, aligning with the region’s seasonal climatic characteristics. Since 2014, the frequency of snow disasters has notably decreased. (2) Mild snow disasters were the most frequent, accounting for 49.4% of events, while moderate, severe, and extreme snow disasters represented 23.2%, 24.2%, and 5.0%, respectively. (3) The most severe disaster losses were observed in Nilka County, followed by Xinyuan County and Yining County, whereas Zhaosu County was the least affected. (4) Key meteorological factors influencing snow disasters, including cumulative snowfall, maximum snow depth, minimum temperature, and snowfall duration, displayed regional variations. Areas with high snow disaster incidence had higher mean values of maximum snow depth compared to other regions. This study provides a scientific foundation for risk assessment and management of snow disasters in the Ili region.
HUO Hong , LIU Yan , Maiwulaxia MUBAREKE . Spatiotemporal distribution characteristics and impact assessment of snow disasters in the Ili region of Xinjiang from 1990 to 2020[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2024 , 47(11) : 1828 -1840 . DOI: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.609
[1] | Changnon S A, Changnon D, Karl T R. Temporal and spatial characteristics of snowstorms in the contiguous United States[J]. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 2006, 45(8): 1141-1155. |
[2] | Cohen J, Pfeiffer K, Francis J A. Warm Arctic episodes linked with increased frequency of extreme winter weather in the United States[J]. Nature Communications, 2018, 9(1): 869, doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-02992-9. |
[3] | 杨登兴, 刘峰贵, 延军平, 等. 青藏铁路沿线雪灾风险评估[J]. 地理研究, 2021, 40(5): 1223-1238. |
[Yang Dengxing, Liu Fenggui, Yan Junping, et al. A risk assessment of snow disaster along Qinghai-Tibet railway[J]. Geographical Research, 2021, 40(5): 1223-1238.] | |
[4] | AghaKouchak A, Chiang F, Huning L S, et al. Climate extremes and compound hazards in a warming world[J]. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 2020, 48(1): 519-548. |
[5] | Gao J M. Analysis and assessment of the risk of snow and freezing disaster in China[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2016, 19: 334-340. |
[6] | 韩燕丽. 苏尼特草原雪灾时空分布特征[J]. 现代盐化工, 2023, 50(1): 89-91. |
[Han Yanli. Spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of snow disasters in Sunit grassland[J]. Modern Salt and Chemical Industry, 2023, 50(1): 89-91.] | |
[7] | 李兴, 李金凤, 陈宏松, 等. 青海海西地区近41年雪灾时空分布特征[J]. 青海环境, 2022, 32(2): 90-95. |
[Li Xing, Li Jinfeng, Chen Hongsong, et al. Temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of snow disasters in Haixi area of Qinghai Province in recent 41 years[J]. Journal of Qinghai Environment, 2022, 32(2): 90-95.] | |
[8] | 葛海燕. 赤峰地区近60年雪灾时空分布特征分析[J]. 农业技术与装备, 2022(1): 146-148. |
[Ge Haiyan. Analysis on temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of snow disaster in Chifeng area in recent 60 years[J]. Agricultural Technology & Equipment, 2022(1): 146-148.] | |
[9] | 彭英超, 陈晶, 唐仲涛. 近60年黄南州南部牧区雪灾特征研究[J]. 农业灾害研究, 2021, 11(9): 84-86. |
[Peng Yingchao, Chen Jing, Tang Zhongtao. A study on the characteristics of snow disasters in the pastoral areas of southern Huangnan Prefecture in recent 60 years[J]. Journal of Agricultural Catastropholgy, 2021, 11(9): 84-86.] | |
[10] | 王秀琴, 卢新玉, 马禹, 等. 基于灾情数据的新疆雪灾的评估与区划[J]. 冰川冻土, 2019, 41(4): 836-844. |
[Wang Xiuqin, Lu Xinyu, Ma Yu, et al. Study on snow disaster assessment method and snow disaster regionalization in Xinjiang[J]. Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology, 2019, 41(4): 836-844.] | |
[11] | 肖鹏峰. 2022年美国雪灾应对工作分析及建议[J]. 中国减灾, 2023(3): 36-39. |
[Xiao Pengfeng. Analysis and recommendations on the response to the 2022 snow disaster in the United States[J]. Disaster Reduction in China, 2023(3): 36-39.] | |
[12] | 2006年全国低温冷冻和雪灾情况[J]. 中国减灾, 2007(2): 16. |
[2006 national situation on low-temperature freeze and snow disasters[J]. Disaster Reduction in China, 2007(2): 16.] | |
[13] | 王旭, 储长江, 牟欢. 新疆雪灾空间格局和年际变化特征分析[J]. 干旱区研究, 2020, 37(6): 1488-1495. |
[Wang Xu, Chu Changjiang,, Mou Huan. . Spatial pattern and interannual variation characteristics of snow disaster in Xinjiang[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2020, 37(6): 1488-1495.] | |
[14] | 安莹, 李生才. 2014年9—10月国内环境事件[J]. 安全与环境学报, 2014, 14(6): 348-351. |
[An Ying, Li Shengcai. Statistics of environmental events in China during period from November to December in 2013[J]. Journal of Safety and Environment, 2014, 14(6): 348-351.] | |
[15] | 马恒, 张钢锋, 史培军. 畜牧业雪灾致灾成害过程和风险评估研究进展与展望[J]. 地理科学进展, 2021, 40(12): 2116-2129. |
[Ma Heng, Zhang Gangfeng, Shi Peijun. Advances and prospects of livestock snow disaster mechanism research and risk assessment[J]. Progress in Geography, 2021, 40(12): 2116-2129.] | |
[16] | 赵慧霞, 周立隆, 袁慧敏, 等. 东北地区强降雪过程综合评估模型初探[J]. 气象与环境科学, 2021, 44(3): 1-7. |
[Zhao Huixia, Zhou Lilong, Yuan Huimin, et al. Comprehensive assessment model of heavy snow process in northeast China[J]. Meteorological and Environmental Sciences, 2021, 44(3): 1-7.] | |
[17] | 刘兴元, 梁天刚, 郭正刚, 等. 阿勒泰地区草地畜牧业雪灾的遥感监测与评价[J]. 草业学报, 2003(6): 115-120. |
[Liu Xingyuan, Liang Tiangang, Guo Zhenggang, et al. Assessment and monitoring of snow disaster effect on grassland livestock industry in the Aletai region using remote sensing technology[J]. Acta Prataculturae Sinica, 2003(6): 115-120.] | |
[18] | 庄晓翠, 周鸿奎, 王磊, 等. 新疆北部牧区雪灾评估指标及其成因分析[J]. 干旱区研究, 2015, 32(5): 1000-1006. |
[Zhuang Xiaocui, Zhou Hongkui, Wang Lei, et al. Evaluation and cause study on the snow disasters in pastoral areas of northern Xinjiang[J]. Arid Zone Research, 2015, 32(5): 1000-1006.] | |
[19] | 许剑辉, 舒红, 刘艳. 2000—2010年新疆雪灾时空自相关分析[J]. 灾害学, 2014, 29(1): 221-227. |
[Xu Jianhui, Shu Hong, Liu Yan. Spatio-temporal autocorrelation of snow disasters in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2010[J]. Journal of Catastrophology, 2014, 29(1): 221- 227.] | |
[20] | 魏娟娟, 万瑜, 张俊兰, 等. 近20 a塔城地区暖区暴雪环流分型及成因分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2022, 45(6): 1718-1728. |
[Wei Juanjuan, Wan Yu, Zhang Junlan, et al. Circulation classification and cause analysis of the warm-area blizzards in Tacheng area in recent 20 years[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2022, 45(6): 1718-1728.] | |
[21] | 李彦华, 高明华, 肖继东, 等. 伊犁地区近35年冬季积雪变化特征分析[J]. 沙漠与绿洲气象, 2007(2): 26-28. |
[Li Yanhua, Gao Minghua, Xiao Jidong, et al. Comparison analysis of snow change characteristic in Yili region in recent 35 years[J]. Desert and Oasis Meteorology, 2007(2): 26-28.] | |
[22] | 王秀琴, 王昀, 王旭. 1990—2019年新疆不同等级风灾变化特征[J]. 气象科技, 2022, 50(2): 273-281. |
[Wang Xiuqin, Wang Yun, Wang Xu. Variation characteristics of wid disasters at different levels in Xinjiang from 1990 to 2019[J]. Meteorological Science and Technology, 2022, 50(2): 273-281.] | |
[23] | 李凡, 侯光良, 鄂崇毅, 等. 基于乡镇单元的青海高原果洛地区雪灾致灾风险评估[J]. 自然灾害学报, 2014, 23(6): 141-148. |
[Li Fan, Hou Guangliang, E Chongyi, et al. Township unit-based risk assessment of snowstorm hazard in Guoluo Prefecture of Qinghai Plateau[J]. Journal of Natural Disasters, 2014, 23(6): 141-148.] | |
[24] | 郭帷, 谢海涛, 王旭, 等. 1981—2019年北疆暴雨洪涝灾害的时空变化特征分析[J]. 暴雨灾害, 2022, 41(1): 101-108. |
[Guo Wei, Xie Haitao, Wang Xu, et al. Spatio-temporal variation of rainstorm flooding disaster events in northern Xinjiang from 1981 to 2019[J]. Torrential Rain and Disasters, 2022, 41(1): 101-108.] | |
[25] | 常秉松, 许东蓓, 丁艺涵, 等. 青海省洪涝灾害及致洪降雨特征综合分析[J]. 高原气象, 2023, 42(5): 1194-1206. |
[Chang Bingsong, Xu Dongbei, Ding Yihan, et al. Comprehensive analysis of flooding and flooding causing precipitation characteristics in Qinghai Province[J]. Plateau Meteorology, 2023, 42(5): 1194-1206.] | |
[26] | 陈颖, 马禹. 新疆不同等级暴雨洪涝灾害的时空变化特征[J]. 干旱区地理, 2021, 44(6): 1515-1524. |
[Chen Ying, Ma Yu. Spatial and temporal characteristics of flood and rainstorm disaster in Xinjiang[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2021, 44(6): 1515-1524.] | |
[27] | 韩孺村, 张莹, 李占玲. 两种不确定性来源对干旱指数SPEI及干旱评估的影响[J]. 干旱区地理, 2022, 45(5): 1392-1401. |
[Han Rucun, Zhang Ying, Li Zhanling. Effects of two uncertainty sources on drought index of SPEI and on drought assessment[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2022, 45(5): 1392-1401.] |
/
〈 |
|
〉 |