基于红皮云杉（Picea koraiensis）重建大兴安岭南麓历史径流量

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2022.532

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

基于红皮云杉（Picea koraiensis）年轮宽度标准化年表重建了大兴安岭南麓贡格尔河流域1845—2016年历史径流量序列。结果表明：（1）贡格尔河流域在过去172 a共经历1853—1855年、2000—2010年2个枯水期和1869—1873年、1911—1918年、1952—1958年3个丰水期，丰水年及枯水年占比分别为17.4%和10.5%。（2）重建序列存在显著的3 a、7~12 a、15~22 a及30 a周期，研究区水文变化受全球大尺度气候环流活动的影响。丰、枯水期与该地区历史典籍记载的自然灾害高度重合，与附近其他重建结果相关性显著，重建方程稳定可靠。研究结果丰富了大兴安岭地区树木年轮数据库，为区域长历史时期水文变化的研究提供参考。

关键词: 红皮云杉, 树木年轮, 径流量重建, 大兴安岭

Abstract:

To understand and master the historical hydrological change patterns and characteristics of the Da Hinggan Ling Mountains, a standardized chronology of tree annual rings width was constructed by Picea koraiensis. After analyzing the response relationships of chronology to hydrological and climatic factors such as temperature and runoff, it was found that runoff was the main controlling factor affecting the radial growth of Picea koraiensis, hence the historical runoff series of Gonger River drainage area from 1845 to 2016 were reconstructed using tree-ring width chronology. The reconstruction equations are accurate and reliable and can be used in the reconstruction of historical runoff. The reconstruction results showed that the runoff sequence of the Gonger drainage area showed an overall decreasing trend, with abrupt changes in 1849, 1854 and 1993, experienced a total of seven drying periods and six wetting periods in the last 172 years, there were two dry seasons (1853—1855 and 2000—2010) and three wet seasons (1869—1873, 1911—1918 and 1952—1958), the proportion of wet years and dry years was 17.4% and 10.5%. The reconstructed sequences have significant cycles of 3 a, 7-12 a, 15-22 a and 30 a, the hydroclimate of the study area is influenced by global large-scale activities. The wet and dry periods are generally consistent with the historical canonical records of natural disasters in the region, and correlate significantly with other reconstruction results in the vicinity. The innovation of this paper is to reconstruct the runoff variation characteristics of the southern Da Hinggan Ling Mountains in the last two centuries by using the precious tree species Picea koraiensis, which enriches the tree-ring database in this area and provides a reference for the study of hydrological changes in the region during long historical periods.

Key words: Picea koraiensis, tree-ring, runoff reconstruction, Da Hinggan Ling Mountains

魏英楠, 马龙, 孙柏林, 张晶. 基于红皮云杉（Picea koraiensis）重建大兴安岭南麓历史径流量[J]. 干旱区地理, 2023, 46(8): 1269-1278.

WEI Yingnan, MA Long, SUN Bolin, ZHANG Jing. Reconstruction of historical runoff in the southern foothills of the Da Hinggan Ling Mountains based on Picea koraiensis[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2023, 46(8): 1269-1278.

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统计参数	数值
平均值	1.000
中位数	1.004
偏度系数	0.066
峰度系数	0.910
平均敏感度	0.245
标准差	0.147
一阶自相关系数	0.535
各序列与主序列间平均相关系数	0.301
信噪比	18.493
样本总体代表性	0.949
SSS>0.85的第一年	1845