[1] ELIZBARASHVILI M,ELIZBARASHVILI E,TATISHVILI M,et al.Georgian climate change under global warming conditions[J]. Annals of Agrarian Science,2017,15(1):17–25. [2] JAN E, EDWARD R C, FRITZ H S.Low-frequency signals in long tree-ring chronologies for reconstructing past temperature variability[J]. Science,2002,295(5563):2250–2253. [3] 戴君虎,邵雪梅,崔海亭,等. 太白山树木年轮宽度资料对过去生态气候要素的重建[J]. 第四纪研究,2003,23(4):87–94. [DAI Junhu,SHAO Xuemei,CUI Haiting,et al.Reconstruction of past eco-climate by tree-ring width index of Larix chinensis on MT Taibai[J]. Quaternary Sciences,2003,23(4):87–94.] [4] 刘禹,马利民,蔡秋芳,等. 依据陕西秦岭镇安树木年轮重建3~4月份气温序列[J]. 自然科学进展,2001,11(2):157–162. [LIU Yu,MA Limin,CAI Qiufang,et al.Reconstruction of March to April temperature using tree ring data of Qinling Mountains,Shaanxi Province[J]. Progress in Natural Science,2001,11(2):157–162.] [5] 秦进,白红英,刘荣娟,等. 近144年来秦岭太白山林线区3~6月平均气温的重建[J]. 生态学报,2017,37(22):7585–7594. [QIN Jin,BAI Hongying,LIU Rongjuan,et al.Reconstruction of March-June mean air temperature along the timberline of Mount Taibai,Qinling Mountains,northwest China,over the last 144 years[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2017,37(22):7585–7594.] [6] 侯丽,李书恒,陈兰,等. 近200年来秦岭2~4月历史气温重建与空间差异[J]. 地理研究,2017,36(8):1428–1442. [HOU Li,LI Shuheng,CHEN Lan,et al.Reconstruction of the historical temperature from February to April of the Qinling Mountains in recent 200 years[J]. Geographical Research,2017,36(8):1428–1442.] [7] 苏凯,白红英,张扬,等. 基于树轮–气候资料的160多年来秦岭太白山降水变化特征重建[J]. 生态学杂志,2018,37(5):1467–1475. [SU Kai,BAI Hongying,ZHANG Yang,et al.Reconstruction of precipitation history in Taibai Mountain of Qinling Mountains based on tree-ring width and meteorological data in recent 160 years[J]. Chinese Journal of Ecology,2018,37(5):1467–1475.] [8] CHEN F,ZHANG R,WANG H,et al.Updated precipitation reconstruction (AD 1482-2012) for Huashan,north-central China[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology,2016,123(3–4):723–732. [9] CHEN F,YUAN Y,WEI W,et al.April-June precipitation reconstruction for Xi’an and drought assessment for the Guanzhong Plain from tree rings of Chinese pine[J]. Journal of Water and Climate Change,2015,6(3):638–646. [10] 邵雪梅,吴祥定. 华山树木年轮年表的建立[J]. 地理学报,1994,49(2):174–181. [SHAO Xuemei,WU Xiangding.Tree-ring chronologies for Pinus armandi franch from Huashan,China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica,1994,49(2):174–181.] [11] 陈兰,李书恒,侯丽,等. 基于Vaganov-Shashkin模型的太白红杉径向生长对气候要素的响应[J]. 应用生态学报,2017,28(8):2470–2480. [CHEN Lan,LI Shuheng,HOU Li,et al.Response of Larix chinensis radial growth to climatic factors based on the Vaganov-Shashkin model[J]. Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology,2017,28(8):2470–2480.] [12] VICENTE-SERRANO S M,BEGUERIA S,LOPEZMORENO J I,et al. A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming:The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index[J]. Journal of Climate,2010,23(7):1696–1718. [13] 白红英. 秦巴山区森林植被对环境变化的响应[M]. 北京:科学出版社,2014. [BAI Hongying.The response of forest vegetation to environment changes in Qinba Mountains[M]. Beijing:Science Press,2014.] [14] 秦进,白红英,李书恒,等. 太白山南北坡高山林线太白红杉对气候变化的响应差异[J]. 生态学报,2016,36(17):5333–5342. [QIN Jin,BAI Hongying,LI Shuheng,et al.Differences in growth response of Larix chinensis to climate change at the upper timberline of southern and northern slopes of Mt. Taibai in central Qinling Mountains,China[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2016,36(17):5333–5342.] [15] LIU H,TANG Z,DAI J,et al.Larch timberline and its development in north China[J]. Mountain Research and Development,2002,22(4):359–367. [16] 张文辉,王延平,康永祥,等. 太白红杉种群结构与环境的关系[J]. 生态学报,2004,24(1):41–47. [ZHANG Wenhui,WANG Yanping,KANG Yongxiang,et al.Study on the relationship between Larix chinensis population’s structure and environment factors[J]. Acta Ecologica Sinica,2004,24(1):41–47.] [17] 杨文峰,李兆元,吴素良,等. 秦岭太白山树木年轮对气候变化的响应分析[J]. 陕西气象,1993,(5):11–13. [YANG Wenfeng,LI Zhaoyuan,WU Suliang,et al.Response of tree-ring width to climate change in Mount Taibai of Qinling Mountains[J]. Shaanxi Meteorology,1993,(5):11–13.] [18] 任毅,刘明时,田联会,等. 太白山自然保护区生物多样性研究与管理[M]. 北京:中国林业出版社,2006. [REN Yi,LIU Mingshi,TIAN Lianhui,et al.Biodiversity,conservation and management of Taibai Mountain National Nature Reserve[M]. Beijing:China Forestry Publishing House,2006.] [19] FRITTS H C.Reconstructing large-scale climatic patterns from tree-ring data:A diagnostic analysis[J]. University of Arizona Press,1991,16(3):245–8. [20] VICENTE-SERRANO S M,BEGUERIA S,LOPEZMORENO J I,et al. A new global 0.5° gridded dataset (1901–2006) of a multiscalar drought index:Comparison with current drought index datasets based on the Palmer drought severity index[J]. Journal of Hydrometeorology,2010,11(4):1033–1043. [21] BEGUERIA S,VICENTE-SERRANO S M,ANGULO-MARTINEZ M. A multiscalar global drought dataset:The SPEI base:A new gridded product for the analysis of drought variability and impacts[J]. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,2010,91(10):1351–1356. [22] HOLMES R L.Computer-assisted quality control in tree-ring dating and measurement[J]. Tree-Ring Bulletin,1983,43(1):69–78. [23] GRISSINO-MAYER H D. Evaluating crossdating accuracy:A manual and tutorial for the computer program COFECHA[J]. Tree-Ring Research,2001,57:205–221. [24] MELVIN T M,BRIFA K R.A “signal-free” approach to dendroclimatic standardisation[J]. Dendrochronologia,2008,26(2):71–86. [25] BRIFFA K R,MELVIN T M.A closer look at regional curve standardization of tree-ring records:Justification of the need,a warning of some pitfalls,and suggested improvements in its application[C]. //HUGHES M K,SWETNAM T W,DIAZ H F, Dendro climatology. Dordreche:Springer,2011:113-145. [26] COOK E R.A time series analysis approach to tree-ring standardization(dendrochronology,forestry,dendroclimatology,autoregressive process)[D]. Tucson:The University of Arizona,1985. [27] COOK E R,ALARCON A,HERRERA M E,et al.Methods of dendrochronology:Applications in the environmental sciences[J]. Arctic and Alpine Research,1990,23(1):120. [28] STORCH H V,NAVARRA A.Analysis of climate variability[M]. Heidelberg Berlin:Springer-Verlag,1995. [29] GAIRE N P,DHAKAL Y R,SHAH S K,et al.Drought (scPDSI) reconstruction of trans-Himalayan region of central Himalaya using Pinus wallichiana tree-rings[J]. Palaeogeography,Palaeoclimatology,Palaeoecology,2019,514:251–264. [30] MANN M E,LEES J M.Robust estimation of background noise and signal detection in climatic time series[J]. Climatic Change,1996,33(3):409–445. [31] SEUNGJICK Y,WRIGHT B D.Persistence of growth variation in tree-ring chronologies[J]. Forest Science,2000,46(4):507–520. [32] 秦进,白红英,周旗,等. 牛背梁自然保护区林线不同海拔巴山冷杉径向生长对气候变化的响应[J]. 干旱区地理,2017,40(1):147–155. [QIN Jin,BAI Hongying,ZHOU Qi,et al.Radial growth response of Abies fargesii to climate change from different elevations at timberline of Niubeiliang Natural Reserve[J]. Arid Land Geography,2017,40(1):147–155.] [33] SHEKHHAR M,PAL A K,BHATTACHARYYA A,et al.Tree-ring based reconstruction of winter drought since 1767 CE from Uttarkashi,western Himalaya[J]. Quaternary International,2018,479:58–69. [34] 李俊生,胡理乐,舒俭民,等. 秦岭林线树种太白红杉生态特征及其对气候变化的响应[M]. 北京:科学出版社,2012. [LI Junsheng,HU Lile,SHU Jianmin,et al.Ecological characteristics of Pinus taiwanensis in the forest line of Qinling Mountains and its response to climate change[M]. Beijing:Science Press,2012.] [35] FRITTS H C.Tree rings and climate[M]. London:Academic Press,1976. [36] OSBORN J F,MOSTELLER F,TUKEY J W.Data analysis and regression[J]. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society,1977,141(4):549. [37] 蔡秋芳,刘禹,包光,等. 树轮记录的吕梁山地区公元1836年以来5~7月平均气温变化[J]. 科学通报,2010,55(20):2033–2039. [CAI Qiufang,LIU Yu,BAO Guang,et al.Tree-ring-based May-July mean temperature history for Lüliang Mountains,China,since 1836[J]. Chinese Science Bull,2010,55(20):2033–2039.] [38] 胡跃文,杨小怡. 北极涛动与北大西洋涛动的低频变化特征[J]. 气象科学,2007,27(3):316–322. [HU Yuewen,YANG Xiaoyi.Low-frequency variability of AO and NAO[J]. Scientia Meteorologica Sinica,2007,27(3):316–322.] [39] FANG K Y,GOU X H,CHEN F H,et al.Tree-ring based reconstruction of drought variability (1615–2009) in the Kongtong Mountain area,northern China[J]. Global and Planetary Change,2012,80(1):190–197. [40] FANG K Y,GOU X H,CHEN F H,et al.Drought variations in the eastern part of northwest China over the past two centuries:Evidence from tree rings[J]. Climate Research,2009,38(2):129–135. [41] LI Y J,WANG S Y,NIU J J,et al.Tree-ring-based reconstruction of drought variability (1792–2011) in the middle reaches of the Fen River,north China[J]. Dendrochronologia,2016,40:1–11. [42] CHEN F,SHANG H M,YUAN Y J.Dry / wet variations in the eastern Tien Shan (China) since AD 1725 based on Schrenk spruce (Picea schrenkiana Fisch. et Mey) tree rings[J]. Dendrochronologia,2016,40:110–116. [43] CHEN F,YUAN Y J,ZHANG R B,et al.A tree-ring based drought reconstruction (AD 1760–2010) for the Loess Plateau and its possible driving mechanisms[J]. Global and Planetary Change,2014,122:82–88. [44] YANG B,BRAEUNING A,JOHNSON K R,et al. General characteristics of temperature variation in China during the last two millennia[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2002,29(9):38–1–38–4. [45] HUGHES M K,WU X D,SHAO X M,et al.A preliminary reconstruction of rainfall in North-Central China since AD 1600 from tree-ring density and width[J]. Quaternary Research,1994,42(1):88–99. [46] FANG K Y,GOU X H,CHEN F H,et al.Precipitation variability during the past 400 years in the Xiaolong Mountain (central China) inferred from tree rings[J]. Climate Dynamics,2012,39(7–8):1697–1707. [47] 高涛涛,殷淑燕,王水霞. 基于SPEI指数的秦岭南北地区干旱时空变化特征[J]. 干旱区地理,2018,41(4):761–770. [GAO Taotao,YIN Shuyan,WANG Shuixia.Spatial and temporal variations of drought in northern and southern regions of Qinling Mountains based on standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index[J]. Arid Land Geography,2018,41(4):761–770.] [48] LIANG E Y,LIU X H,YUAN Y J,et al.The 1920s drought recorded by tree rings and historical documents in the semi-arid and arid areas of northern China[J]. Climatic Change,2006,79(3–4):403–432. [49] PEDERSON N,JACOBY G C,D’ARRIGO R D,et al. Hydrometeorological reconstructions for northeastern Mongolia derived from tree rings:1651–1995[J]. Journal of Climate,2001,14(5):872–881. [50] LI J,ZENG Q. A unified monsoon index[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2002,29(8):115–1–115–4. [51] 宋佃星,延军平,马莉. 近50 a来秦岭南北气候分异研究[J]. 干旱区研究,2011,28(3):492–498. [ SONG Tianxing,YAN Junping,MA Li.Study on climatic differentiation in the south and north Qinling Mountains in recent 50 years[J]. Arid Zone Research,2011,28(3):492–498.] [52] 白志虎,董安祥,郑广芬. 中国西北地区近五百年旱涝分布图集:1470~2008[M]. 北京:中国气象出版社,2010. [BAI zhihu,DONG Anxiang,ZHENG Guangfen,et al. Atlas of the drought/flood category for nearly 500 years in northwestern China[M]. Beijing:China Meteorological Press,2010.] [53] YANG F,WANG N,SHI F,et al.The spatial distribution of precipitation over the west Qinling region,China,AD 1470-2000[J]. Palaeogeography Palaeoclimatology Palaeoecology,2016,443:278–285. [54] 陆日宇. 华北汛期降水量年际变化与赤道东太平洋海温[J]. 科学通报,2005,50(11):1131–1135. [LU Riyu.Interannual variation of north China rainfall in rainy season and SSTs in the equatorial eastern Pacific[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin,2005,50(11):1131–1135.] [55] 朱艳峰,陈隆勋. 亚澳季风异常与ENSO准四年变化的联系分析[J]. 大气科学进展,2002,19(4):727–740. [ZHU Yanfeng,CHEN Longxun.The relationship between the Asian/Australian Monsoon and ENSO on a quasi-four-year scale[J]. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,2002,19(4):727–739.] [56] 龚道溢,王绍武. 近百年ENSO对全球陆地及中国降水的影响[J]. 科学通报,1999,44(3):315-320. [GONG Daoyi,WANG Shaowu.Impacts of ENSO on rainfall of global land and China[J]. Chinese Science Bulletin,1999,44(3):315–320.] [57] YANG F L,LAU K M.Trend and variability of China precipitation in spring and summer:Linkage to sea-surface temperatures[J]. International Journal of Climatology,2004,24(24):1625–1644. [58] 马柱国,邵丽娟. 中国北方近百年干湿变化与太平洋年代际振荡的关系[J]. 大气科学,2006,30(3):464–474. [MA Zhuguo,SHAO LiJuan. Relationship between dry/wet variation and the Pacific Decade Oscillation (PDO) in northern China during the last 100 years[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,2006,30(3):464–474.] |