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干旱区地理 ›› 2020, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (1): 79-86.doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2020.01.10

• 气候与水文 • 上一篇    下一篇

西南地区干旱的变化特征及其与大气环流的关系

谢清霞1谷晓平2万雪丽1,李1刘彦华1张艳梅1,吴1   

  1. 1 贵州省气象台,贵州贵阳5500022 贵州省山地气候与资源重点实验室,贵州贵阳550002
  • 收稿日期:2019-03-29 修回日期:2019-07-05 出版日期:2020-01-05 发布日期:2020-01-05
  • 作者简介:谢清霞,女,工程师,硕士,主要从事中短期天气预报及其数值模拟研究. E-mail:66506485@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国气象局预报员专项(CMAYBY2016-065);贵州省气象局开放基金黔气科合(KF(2016)11)

Characteristics of drought variation and its relationship with general circulation of southwest China

XIE Qing-xia1,GU Xiao-ping2,WAN Xue-li1,LI Gang1,LIU Yan-hua1,ZHANG Yan-mei1,WU Lei1   

  1. 1 The Meteorological Observatory in Guizhou Province,Guiyang 550002,Guizhou,China; 2 Key Laboratory of Mountain Climate and Resources in Guizhou Province,Guiyang 550002,Guizhou,China
  • Received:2019-03-29 Revised:2019-07-05 Online:2020-01-05 Published:2020-01-05

摘要: 选用19622017年(10~次年5月)西南地区(四川、贵州、云南和重庆市)90 个地面气象观测台站的逐日降水和日平均气温实测气象要素资料,运用综合气象干旱指数[WTBX](CI)[WTBZ]统计出西南地区累计干旱日数和频次,并分析两者近56 a来的时空变化特征,再挑选其高、低值年进行大气环流形势讨论,最后制作差值图(均为高值年减低值年)与相关场构造的图进行比较。研究结果表明:累计干旱日数和频次均呈逐渐降低的趋势;两者的年代距平在20世纪60年代~80年代同为正,而在20世纪90年代同为负,其后21世纪初两者距平则相反;累计干旱日数具有5 a9 a的年际周期变化,12 a的年代际周期,干旱频次具有8 a左右的年际周期和20 a的年代际周期;两者均在四川西部地区和云南中北部为大值中心,云南西部、重庆和贵州中东部为小值中心;高、中和低层的环流形势也缺少水汽和系统抬升等配置关系。

关键词: 综合气象干旱指数(CI), 时空分布, 大气环流

Abstract: The cumulative dry days and the drought frequency are calculated using the meteorological drought composite index (CI) based on the data about daily precipitation and daily average temperature collected from 90 meteorological stations in Southwest China (Sichuan, Yunnan, Guizhou Province and Chongqing City) during the time period from 1962 to 2017.Using the wavelet analysis and linear trend, the temporal and spatial variation of cumulative dry days and frequency in the span of 56 years are analyzed in detail. In addition, the atmospheric circulation profiles of the years with lower and higher value are investigated too using correlation and composition analysis. The conclusions are summarized as follows: (1) The overall trend of cumulative dry days and frequency are gradually decreased, the decade anomaly between the two is positive correlated from 1960s to 1980s, negative correlated in 1990s and positive correlated again at the beginning of the 21st century. (2) The duration (the accumulative dry days) has an inter-annual variation period of 5 years and 9 years, and a decade-wise variation period of 12 years. The drought frequency has an inter-annual variation period of 8 years and a decade-wise variation period of 20 years. (3) The duration and frequency have the same center area with higher values including the west Sichuan and the middle and north Yunnan, and the same center area with lower values including the west of Yunnan, the middle and east of Guizhou and Chongqing. (4) The relevant circulation analysis indicated it is to the disadvantage of precipitation in the region if without water vapor and the uplift dynamics in each of the high, middle and low layers atmospheric circulation.

Key words: meteorological drought composite index (CI), temporal and spatial distribution, atmospheric circulation