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干旱区地理 ›› 2019, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (5): 1221-1228.doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2019.05.28

• 区域发展 • 上一篇    

资源型地区产业多元化问题研究——以山西省为例

WANG Tao1,WANG Qing-qing2,ZHAO Dan2,TONG Chao3   

  1. 1 山西财经大学统计学院,山西太原0300061; 2 山西财经大学财政与公共经济学院,山西太原030006 ; 3 山西财经大学统计学院、山西省统计局,山西太原030006
  • 收稿日期:2019-02-01 修回日期:2019-05-11 出版日期:2019-09-25 发布日期:2019-09-19
  • 作者简介:王涛(1981-),男,山西阳城人,副教授,研究方向为宏观经济统计分析. E-mail:wtzd_sun@aliyun.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金(18BTJ018);山西省高等学校哲学社会科学研究项目(2016323);山西省社会科学联合会项目(SSKLZDKT2017038

Problems of industrial diversification in resource based areas:Taking Shanxi Province as an example

王涛1,王晴晴2,赵丹2,童超3   

  1. 1 School of Statistics,Shanxi University of Finance and Economics,Taiyuan 030006,Shanxi,China; 2 School of Public Finance and Economics,Shanxi University of Economics and Finance,Taiyuan 030006,Shanxi,China; 3 School of Statistics,Shanxi University of Economics and Finance,Shanxi Provincial Bureau of Statistics,Taiyuan 030006,Shanxi,China
  • Received:2019-02-01 Revised:2019-05-11 Online:2019-09-25 Published:2019-09-19

摘要: 通过2002—2015年的投入产出表以及投入产出延长表综合分析山西省产业发展状况,根据山西省的产业发展特征,将投入产出表中的42个行业进行了归并,运用投入产出指标对山西的产业发展状况进行了跟踪描述并采用扩散感应系数以及扩散能力系数跟踪经济发展中关键产业的变化规律,采用熵指数测算山西省的产业多元化程度,定量跟踪和评价山西产业多元化发展进程,同时运用社会网络研究方法,构建山西省投入产出关联图,直观地考察山西省的产业关联及产业发展集合。结果显示:山西省2002—2015年产业多元化进程受阻,2015年形成了两个重要的产业集合,一个是以煤炭资源业为中心,一个以建筑业为中心。

关键词: 资源型经济, 投入产出, 产业多元化, 社会网络分析, 熵指数

Abstract: China is a resource-rich country and there are rich resources in many provinces.However,the resource-based provinces relay on resource excessively to develop the economy.It will lead to a single economic structure and will not achieve sustainable development.Therefore,resource-based provinces should develop industrial diversification in a timely manner and form a pattern of common development of multiple industries.As a typical resource-based province,the economy of Shanxi Province is particularly dependent on resource-based industries.This paper takes Shanxi Province as an example to comprehensively study the diversified development of its industry.Firstly,according to the characteristics of resource-based economic development in Shanxi Province,42 industries were merged into 22 industry categories.And then through the input-output table and extension table from 2002 to 2015 we analyze the industrial development of Shanxi Province comprehensively.It is found that the total input ratio in the coal resources industry is significantly higher than that in other industries in the past few years,and the second highest is the non-coal resources industry.From a perspective of the intermediate input ratio,the construction industry is maintained at a high level,followed by the non-coal resources industry; Secondly,according to the diffusion induction coefficient and the diffusion influence coefficient,we track the changing laws of key industries in economic development.In 2002,the diffusion influence coefficient of the coal resources industry and the consumer goods industry was not obvious.By 2015,the coal resource industry,non-coal resources industry,consumer goods industry,equipment manufacturing industry and material chemical industry had become key sectors of industrial development in Shanxi Province.The financial industry and the transportation industry have changed from leading industries to non-leading industries.And the changes in other industries were not very obvious.Thirdly,the service industry was merged into 13 industries.And then we take entropy index to measure the degree of industrial diversification in Shanxi Province from 2002 to 2015.The results showed that the industrial structure of Shanxi Province had gradually concentrated over time and the industry had become more specialized; finally,using social network analysis,according to a certain mathematical processing and constraints we made the Shanxi Province input-output correlation diagram to visually examine the associations and industrial developments of various industries in Shanxi Province.It was found that two important industrial collections were formed in 2015.One is dominated by coal resources industry and supported by non-coal resources industry,equipment manufacturing industry,transportation industry,and finance industry,the other is dominated by construction industry and supported by non-coal resources industry,materials and chemical industries.Since more than ten years of development,the industrial development of Shanxi Province had become more concentrated and had formed a collection of industries,which led by the coal industry and the construction industry.The industrial development was more concentrated on the collection of these two industries.

Key words: resource-oriented economics, input-output table, industrial diversification, social network analysis, entropy index