收藏 ｜ 设为首页 广告服务 ｜ 联系我们 ｜ 在线留言
高级检索

干旱区地理 ›› 2014, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (6): 1272-1280.

• 区域发展 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于脱钩分析方法的耕地占用与经济发展的关系研究——以武威市为例

陈英1，张文斌2，谢保鹏3   

  1. 1 甘肃农业大学资源与环境学院， 甘肃 兰州 730070； 2 兰州商学院财税与公共管理学院， 甘肃 兰州 730101；
    3 中国农业大学资源与环境学院， 北京 100094
  • 收稿日期:2013-12-11 修回日期:2014-03-24 出版日期:2014-11-25
  • 作者简介:陈英（1969-），男，甘肃武威人，副教授，博士，主要研究方向为土地生态与土地资产管理. Email：cheny@gsau.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:

    国家自然科学基金项目(71263003)；甘肃农业大学青年导师基金

Relationship between cultivated land occupation and economic growth based on the decoupling method：a case of Wuwei City

CHEN Ying1，ZHANG Wen-bin2，XIE Bao-peng3   

  1. 1 College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou 730070, Gansu, China ；2 School of Finance Taxation and Public Administration, Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics, Lanzhou 730101, Gansu, China ；3 College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193,China
  • Received:2013-12-11 Revised:2014-03-24 Online:2014-11-25

PDF (PC)

41

赞

摘要： 基于脱钩分析方法，选取建设占用耕地量、非农GDP产值两个指标作为主要指标，并对非农GDP进行重新界定，改进了脱钩的研究方法；采用1998-2012年的相关统计数据对武威市耕地占用与经济发展的关系进行了实证研究，结果表明：（1）武威市2001-2012年建设占用耕地与非农GDP的关系主要呈现出5种状态，即强负脱钩、扩张负脱钩、强脱钩、衰退连接和弱脱钩，表现为强脱钩和弱脱钩的状态期数合计占统计期数的67%，总体上有6个年期处于强脱钩状态；（2）脱钩弹性曲线总体上表现出“M”型变化，呈现出“非理想状态-畸形状态-理想状态”的周期性变化，且武威市近3 a都表现为脱钩的理想状态，经济发展摆脱了以牺牲耕地资源为代价的经济增长方式；（3）耕地保护政策落实、产业结构调整、产业集聚等是促进脱钩的主要原因，与武威市的实际情况相吻合。证明改进后的脱钩分析方法可准确反映耕地占用与经济发展的关系。

关键词: 耕地占用, 经济发展, 脱钩分析, 非农GDP, 武威市

Abstract: On the basis of the decoupling methods, with the occupation of the farmland for the urban construction and the non-agriculture GDP as the main indexes, and by re-defining the non-agriculture GDP and improving the decoupled research methods as well, the paper is aimed to conduct an empirical research on the relationship between economic growth and cultivated land occupation in Wuwei City，Gansu Province in terms of the relevant statistical data of the occupation of the farmland for the urban construction and the three industry output values from 1998 to 2012. The results show as follows：（1） There are 5 main types in the relationship between cultivated land occupied for construction purpose and non-agriculture GDP in Wuwei City：Strong and negative decoupling, the expansion of the negative decoupling, the strong decoupling, recession decoupling and the weak decoupling. The periods of strong decoupling and weak decoupling states contribute to 67% of the whole states；there are 6 tenures in the strong decoupling in total. （2） The elastic curve of decoupling takes on “M” type in general, and presents the periodic variation from “non ideal state”，“deformity state” to “ideal state”；and the ideal decoupling state has been found in Wuwei City in recent three years，the economic development has broken away from the economic growth pattern at the expense of the cultivated land resources. （3） The study results and the reasons for decoupling are consistent with the actual situation in Wuwei City, so they have profound practical significances. In conclusion, with the innovated decoupled research methods, which strip off the contribution of non-agriculture GDP from cultivated land occupation and avoid the exaggeration of the pressure of cultivated land occupation in the condition that the increment of non-agriculture GDP is the same and the ratio of cultivated land occupied for construction purpose is different by means of direct adaptation of non-agriculture GDP，the relationship between economic growth and cultivated land occupation can be revealed more accurately.  

Key words: cultivated land occupation, economic development, decoupling analysis, non-agricultural GDP, Wuwei City

中图分类号: 

  • F301.24