黄河流域旅游经济与居民福祉耦合协调时空演变及驱动机制研究

doi:10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.459

干旱区地理 ›› 2026, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (7): 1493-1508.doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2025.459 cstr: 32274.14.ALG2025459

黄河流域旅游经济与居民福祉耦合协调时空演变及驱动机制研究

高莹¹(), 周可丽¹, 元媛¹^,²(), 史薪茹¹, 吴佳霖¹

¹ 河南大学地理科学与工程学部，河南郑州 450046
² 河南大学黄河中下游数字地理技术教育部重点实验室，河南开封 475004

收稿日期:2025-08-03 修回日期:2025-09-09 出版日期:2026-07-25 发布日期:2026-07-07
通讯作者: 元媛（1982-），女，博士，副教授，主要从事旅游资源评价与开发、区域生态及经济研究. E-mail: yuanyuan_8575@163.com
作者简介:高莹（2002-），女，硕士研究生，主要从事旅游资源评价与开发、区域生态及经济研究. E-mail: 13183278012@163.com
基金资助:
河南省高校人文社会科学研究一般项目(2025-ZDJH-388);国家自科基金面上项目(42171186)

Spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanism of coupling coordination between tourism economy and residents’ well-being in the Yellow River Basin

GAO Ying¹(), ZHOU Keli¹, YUAN Yuan¹^,²(), SHI Xinru¹, WU Jialin¹

¹ Faculty of Geographical Science and Engineering, Henan University, Zhengzhou 450046, Henan, China
² Key Laboratory of Digital Geographical Technology for the Middle and Lower Yellow River, Ministry of Education, Henan University, Kaifeng 475004, Henan, China

Received:2025-08-03 Revised:2025-09-09 Published:2026-07-25 Online:2026-07-07

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

旅游经济与居民福祉的协同发展及相互赋能，是推动黄河流域实现高质量发展的核心路径。选取黄河流域78个地级市作为样本，通过构建综合指标评价体系，运用基于熵权的优劣解距离法（TOPSIS）、耦合协调模型、探索性空间数据分析（ESDA）、地理探测器、时空地理加权回归（GTWR）模型等研究方法，系统分析2013—2022年该流域旅游经济与居民福祉耦合协调度的时空演变规律，明晰二者耦合协调水平的发展现状，从自然禀赋、经济发展及社会文明3个维度探究其多元驱动机制。结果表明：（1）黄河流域旅游经济与居民福祉的耦合协调度整体上呈现“M”型的变化趋势，二者耦合协调度表现出明显的“东高西低”的空间分异特征，并呈现核心-边缘扩散的圈层式结构。（2）黄河流域内二者耦合协调发展受到自然禀赋、经济发展与社会文明3方面因素的交互影响，其中，自然禀赋是发展的基础支撑，经济发展是核心驱动力量，社会文明发挥调节支撑作用。（3）绿化覆盖面积、地区生产总值、固定资产投资总额及旅游固定资产投资占比对黄河流域旅游经济与居民福祉的耦合协调起到促进作用，而单位土地面积人口数对二者耦合协调有一定的抑制作用，各影响因子存在明显的空间异质性特征。黄河流域上游应强化生态建设促进生态旅游优势发挥，中游应促进科技成果向旅游业转化，下游应提升投资质量和创新效能。

关键词: 旅游经济, 居民福祉, 耦合协调, 时空特征, 黄河流域

Abstract:

The synergistic development and mutual empowerment of the tourism economy and residents’ well-being are the core pathway to advancing high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin of China. This study selected 78 prefecture-level cities in the basin as the sample. By constructing a comprehensive index evaluation system and employing methods such as the entropy weighted technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution, the coupling coordination model, exploratory spatial data analysis, geographical detector, and the geographically and temporally weighted regression model, this study systematically analyzes the spatiotemporal evolution of coupling coordination between the tourism economy and residents’ well-being in the basin from 2013 to 2022. It also clarifies the current development status of their coupling coordination level and explores its multi-dimensional driving mechanisms from three dimensions—natural endowment, economic development, and social civilization. The research findings are as follows: (1) The coupling coordination degree between the tourism economy and residents’ well-being in the Yellow River Basin exhibits an overall “M” shaped trend. The coupling coordination degree demonstrates distinct spatial differentiation characterized by higher values in the east and lower values in the west, forming a concentric-layer structure with core-periphery diffusion. (2) The coupled and coordinated development of these two aspects within the Yellow River Basin is influenced by the interplay of three factors—natural endowment, economic development, and social civilization. Among these, natural endowment offers the fundamental support for development; economic growth serves as the core driving force; and social civilization plays a regulatory and supporting role. (3) Green coverage area, regional gross domestic product, total fixed asset investment, and the proportion of tourism-related fixed asset investment promote the coordinated coupling between tourism economics and residents’ well-being in the Yellow River Basin. Conversely, population density per unit of land area exerts a certain inhibitory effect on this coupling. Each influencing factor exhibits distinct spatial heterogeneity. The Yellow River Basin upstream efforts should strengthen ecological development to enhance the advantages of ecotourism. Midstream initiatives should promote the transformation of scientific and technological achievements into tourism applications. Downstream measures should improve investment quality and innovation efficiency.

Key words: tourism economy, residents’ well-being, coupling coordination, spatiotemporal characteristics, Yellow River Basin

高莹, 周可丽, 元媛, 史薪茹, 吴佳霖. 黄河流域旅游经济与居民福祉耦合协调时空演变及驱动机制研究[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(7): 1493-1508.

GAO Ying, ZHOU Keli, YUAN Yuan, SHI Xinru, WU Jialin. Spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanism of coupling coordination between tourism economy and residents’ well-being in the Yellow River Basin[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2026, 49(7): 1493-1508.

图/表 16

图1

图2

表1

表2

图3

图4

图5

表3

图6

表4

表5

图7

图8

图9

图10

图11

参考文献 26

[1]	习近平. 在黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展座谈会上的讲话[J]. 求是, 2019(20): 4-11.
	[Xi Jinping. Speech at the symposium on ecological protection and high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin[J]. Qiushi, 2019(20): 4-11.]
[2]	习近平. 在教育文化卫生体育领域专家代表座谈会上的讲话[N]. 人民日报, 2020-09-23(002).
	[Xi Jinping. Speech at the symposium for experts and representatives in the fields of education, culture, health and sports[N]. People’s Daily, 2020-09-23(002).]
[3]	Liu A Y, Wu D C. Tourism productivity and economic growth[J]. Annals of Tourism Research, 2019, 76: 253-265. doi: 10.1016/j.annals.2019.04.005
[4]	Elgin C, Elveren A Y. Unpacking the economic impact of tourism: A multidimensional approach to sustainable development[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2024, 478: 143947, doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2024.143947.
[5]	王松茂, 牛金兰. 山东省旅游经济与城市生态韧性协同演化研究[J]. 地理学报, 2023, 78(10): 2591-2608. doi: 10.11821/dlxb202310013
	[Wang Songmao, Niu Jinlan. Co-evolution of tourism economy and urban ecological resilience in Shandong Province[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2023, 78(10): 2591-2608.] doi: 10.11821/dlxb202310013
[6]	田小波. 黄河流域城市旅游业高质量发展水平测度与空间格局特征[J]. 干旱区地理, 2025, 48(9): 1660-1671. doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.103
	[Tian Xiaobo. Measurement and spatial pattern characteristics of high-quality development level of urban tourism in the Yellow River Basin[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2025, 48(9): 1660-1671.] doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2024.103
[7]	Diener E, Pressman S D, Hunter J, et al. If, why, and when subjective well-being influences health, and future needed research[J]. Applied Psychology: Health and Well-Being, 2017, 9(2): 133-167. doi: 10.1111/aphw.2017.9.issue-2
[8]	桑林. 居民幸福感、主观态度与商业保险市场参与——基于中国家庭金融调查数据的研究[J]. 经济与管理, 2019, 33(2): 45-53.
	[Sang Lin. Residents’ happiness, subjective attitude and commercial insurance market participation: A study based on China household finance survey data[J]. Economy and Management, 2019, 33(2): 45-53.]
[9]	李启维. 国民幸福指数研究综述[J]. 财会研究, 2017(2): 67-72.
	[Li Qiwei. A literature review on the national happiness index[J]. Research of Finance and Accounting, 2017(2): 67-72.]
[10]	朱媛媛, 杨千龙, 朱晓华, 等. 中国城乡居民福祉水平演变及影响因素[J]. 地理学报, 2025, 80(8): 2109-2127. doi: 10.11821/dlxb202508007
	[Zhu Yuanyuan, Yang Qianlong, Zhu Xiaohua, et al. Evolution and influencing factors of the well-being level of urban and rural residents in China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2025, 80(8): 2109-2127.] doi: 10.11821/dlxb202508007
[11]	麻学锋, 孙洋. 旅游产业发展与民生福祉适配关系研究——以张家界为例[J]. 旅游科学, 2024, 38(6): 1-19.
	[Ma Xuefeng, Sun Yang. Research on the adaptation of tourism industry development and people’s livelihood and well-being: A case study of Zhangjiajie[J]. Tourism Science, 2024, 38(6): 1-19.]
[12]	Zhang C T, Zhao L, Song X Y, et al. Spatial-temporal coupling characteristics and interaction effects of economic resilience and people’s livelihoods and well-being: An analysis of 78 cities in the Yellow River Basin[J]. Sustainable Cities and Society, 2024, 112: 105638, doi: 10.1016/j.scs.2024.105638.
[13]	Wang M H, Su M M, Gan C, et al. A coordination analysis on tourism development and resident well-being in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration, China[J]. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2023, 421: 138361, doi: 10.1016/j.jclepro.2023.138361.
[14]	中共中央、国务院. 黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展规划纲要[J]. 中国水利, 2021(21): 3-16.
	[The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council. Outline of the plan for ecological conservation and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin[J]. China Water Resources, 2021(21): 3-16.]
[15]	水利部黄河水利委员会. 黄河年鉴(2018)[M]. 郑州: 黄河年鉴社, 2018: 503-508.
	[Yellow River Water Conservancy Commission of the Ministry of Water Resources. Yellow River yearbook (2018)[M]. Zhengzhou: Yellow River Yearbook Press, 2018: 503-508.]
[16]	郭付友, 佟连军, 仇方道, 等. 黄河流域生态经济走廊绿色发展时空分异特征与影响因素识别[J]. 地理学报, 2021, 76(3): 726-739. doi: 10.11821/dlxb202103016
	[Guo Fuyou, Tong Lianjun, Qiu Fangdao, et al. Spatio-temporal differentiation characteristics and influencing factors of green development in the eco-economic corridor of the Yellow River Basin[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2021, 76(3): 726-739.] doi: 10.11821/dlxb202103016
[17]	石建中, 徐玉莹. 数旅融合背景下旅游业新质生产力的形成机制与发展路径研究[J]. 自然资源学报, 2025, 40(10): 2618-2632. doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20251003
	[Shi Jianzhong, Xu Yuying. Formation mechanism and development of new quality productive forces in tourism industry in the context of digital integration[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2025, 40(10): 2618-2632.] doi: 10.31497/zrzyxb.20251003
[18]	Jackson S B, Stevenson K T, Larson L R, et al. Outdoor activity participation improves adolescents’ mental health and well-being during the COVID-19 pandemic[J]. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2021, 18(5): 2506, doi: 10.3390/ijerph18052506.
[19]	王慧娴, 杨蓓, 杨宁君, 等. 黄河流域旅游经济差异及关键驱动因素研究[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024, 47(3): 515-527. doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.409
	[Wang Huixian, Yang Bei, Yang Ningjun, et al. Tourism economic differences and key driving factors in the Yellow River Basin[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2024, 47(3): 515-527.] doi: 10.12118/j.issn.1000-6060.2023.409
[20]	王兆峰, 张先甜. 中国省域旅游发展与民生福祉的动态响应及协调效应研究[J]. 旅游科学, 2023, 37(3): 1-19.
	[Wang Zhaofeng, Zhang Xiantian. A research on the dynamic response and coordination effect of provincial tourism development and the residents’ well-being in China[J]. Tourism Science, 2023, 37(3): 1-19.]
[21]	Sebestyén V, Trájer A J, Domokos E, et al. Objective well-being level (OWL) composite indicator for sustainable and resilient cities[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2024, 158: 111460, doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.111460.
[22]	孙黄平, 黄震方, 徐冬冬, 等. 泛长三角城市群城镇化与生态环境耦合的空间特征与驱动机制[J]. 经济地理, 2017, 37(2): 163-170.
	[Sun Huangping, Huang Zhenfang, Xu Dongdong, et al. The spatial characteristics and drive mechanism of coupling relationship between urbanization and eco-environment in the Pan Yangtze River Delta[J]. Economic Geography, 2017, 37(2): 163-170.]
[23]	郭芸, 范柏乃, 龙剑. 我国区域高质量发展的实际测度与时空演变特征研究[J]. 数量经济技术经济研究, 2020, 37(10): 118-132.
	[Guo Yun, Fan Bonai, Long Jian. Practical evaluation of China’s regional high-quality development and its spatiotemporal evolution characteristics[J]. Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics, 2020, 37(10): 118-132.]
[24]	陈万旭, 李江风, 曾杰, 等. 中国土地利用变化生态环境效应的空间分异性与形成机理[J]. 地理研究, 2019, 38(9): 2173-2187. doi: 10.11821/dlyj020180659
	[Chen Wanxu, Li Jiangfeng, Zeng Jie, et al. Spatial heterogeneity and formation mechanism of eco-environmental effect of land use change in China[J]. Geographical Research, 2019, 38(9): 2173-2187.]
[25]	郭付友, 李睿, 尹鹏, 等. 基于GTWR模型的黄河流域城乡融合发展时空分异与驱动机制[J]. 地理科学, 2024, 44(12): 2166-2175. doi: 10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.20230882
	[Guo Fuyou, Li Rui, Yin Peng, et al. Spatio-temporal differentiation and driving mechanism of urban-rural integ rated development in the Yellow River Basin based on GTWR model[J]. Geographical Science, 2024, 44(12): 2166-2175.]
[26]	王金伟, 王启翔, 陆大道. 数字经济、旅游经济与新型城镇化时空耦合格局及影响因素——以长三角地区为例[J]. 地理研究, 2024, 43(12): 3301-3326. doi: 10.11821/dlyj020231126
	[Wang Jinwei, Wang Qixiang, Lu Dadao. Spatio-temporal coupling pattern and its influencing factors of digital economy, tourism economy and new urbanization: A case study of Yangtze River Delta region[J]. Geographical Research, 2024, 43(12): 3301-3326.]

一级指标	二级指标	三级指标	单位	属性	权重
旅游经济	旅游经济资源	A级景区数量	个	正	0.0639
		星级酒店数量	个	正	0.0672
		博物馆个数	个	正	0.0911
		国家级非物质文化遗产数	个	正	0.0650
	旅游经济效益	国内旅游收入	10⁸元	正	0.0972
		旅游总收入	10⁸元	正	0.0991
		人均旅游消费	元·人^-1	正	0.0350
		旅游产值密度	10⁴元·km^-2	正	0.1593
	旅游经济规模	国内旅游人数	10⁴人	正	0.0827
	旅游经济规模	旅游总人数	10⁴人	正	0.0831
	旅游持续能力	旅游总收入增长率	%	正	0.0107
		旅游总人数增长率	%	正	0.0122
		旅游总收入占GDP比重增长率	%	正	0.0202
		旅游固定资产	10⁸元	正	0.1133
居民福祉	社会保障	人均社会消费品总额	元·人^-1	正	0.1169
		城镇居民人均可支配收入	10⁴元·人^-1	正	0.0685
		农村居民人均可支配收入	10⁴元·人^-1	正	0.0371
		年末单位从业人数	人	正	0.1568
	医疗健康	每万人医院卫生院床位数	张·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.0359
		每万人卫生技术人员数	人·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.0612
		每万人执业助理医师	人·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.0420
		每万人注册护师、护士数	人·(10⁴人)^-1	正	0.0409
	人居环境	PM_2.5浓度	μg·m^-3	负	0.0207
	人居环境	人均公园绿地面积	km²·人^-1	正	0.0410
	教育科技	教育支出占财政支出的比例	%	正	0.0676
		公共图书馆数量	个	正	0.1424
		数字普惠金融指数	-	正	0.0539
		每百人互联网用户数	户·(100人)^-1	正	0.0580
		每百人移动电话用户数	户·(100人)^-1	正	0.0570

耦合协调度（D）	耦合协调度等级	耦合协调度（D）	耦合协调度等级
0.0<D≤0.1	极度失调	0.5<D≤0.6	勉强协调
0.1<D≤0.2	严重失调	0.6<D≤0.7	初级协调
0.2<D≤0.3	中度失调	0.7<D≤0.8	中级协调
0.3<D≤0.4	轻度失调	0.8<D≤0.9	良好协调
0.4<D≤0.5	濒临失调	0.9<D≤1.0	优质协调

年份	全局莫兰指数	Z得分
2013	0.402	5.423
2014	0.349	5.027
2015	0.375	5.063
2016	0.324	4.393
2017	0.328	4.456
2018	0.332	4.034
2019	0.296	3.695
2020	0.260	3.570
2021	0.314	4.280
2022	0.309	4.230

系统层	准则层	指标层
自然禀赋	资源禀赋	绿化覆盖面积（X₁）/hm²
	气候条件	年均气温（X₂）/℃
	人口密度	单位土地面积人口数（X₃）/人·km^-2
经济发展	经济条件	地区生产总值（X₄）/10⁸元
	投资力度	固定资产投资总额（X₅）/10⁴元
	金融发展	金融机构贷款余额（X₆）/10⁴元
社会文明	科技创新	专利授权数（X₇）/件
	交通便利	公路密度（X₈）/km·km^-2
	政府规制	政府财政支出占GDP比重（X₉）/%
	投资政策	旅游固定资产投资占比（X₁₀）/%

驱动因子	2013年	2016年	2019年	2022年	2013—2022年
驱动因子	2013年	2016年	2019年	2022年	平均值	排序
X₁	0.628^***	0.539^***	0.608^***	0.639^***	0.635	5
X₂	0.283^***	0.282^**	0.251^**	0.301^***	0.279	7
X₃	0.318^***	0.283^**	0.265^**	0.335^**	0.300	6
X₄	0.713^***	0.678^***	0.710^***	0.717^***	0.705	1
X₅	0.713^***	0.737^***	0.626^***	0.644^**	0.680	2
X₆	0.709^***	0.634^***	0.671^***	0.676^***	0.673	3
X₇	0.693^***	0.646^***	0.606^***	0.716^***	0.665	4
X₈	0.299^***	0.253^***	0.199^***	0.209^**	0.198	10
X₉	0.324^***	0.284^***	0.327^***	0.287^***	0.240	8
X₁₀	0.289^**	0.258^***	0.159	0.207	0.228	9

黄河流域旅游经济与居民福祉耦合协调时空演变及驱动机制研究

Spatiotemporal evolution and driving mechanism of coupling coordination between tourism economy and residents’ well-being in the Yellow River Basin

RichHTML

PDF (PC)

赞

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

图/表 16

参考文献 26

相关文章 15

Metrics

本文评价

推荐阅读 0

[1]	杨昊凡, 黄维东, 牛最荣. 陇中地区干旱特征及其与降水量和潜在蒸散发的关系[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(7): 1336-1346.
[2]	宁雅萱, 尹豪, 李金诺. 中国北方农牧交错带中段新型城镇化与农业生态系统服务耦合分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(7): 1457-1469.
[3]	李文君, 张维梅. 中国数字经济与共同富裕的耦合协调关系及时空演进趋势[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(7): 1481-1492.
[4]	马小雯, 郭精军, 谢雁. 新质生产力对黄河流域城市绿色发展的赋能效应研究[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(6): 1238-1248.
[5]	吕宛青, 宋志高, 肖钊富. 中国新型城镇化与旅游业高质量发展耦合协调、障碍诊断及驱动因素[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(5): 1063-1073.
[6]	李文美, 吴新年, 任珩, 李娜, 张晶. 基于文献计量的黄河流域生态环境研究态势分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(5): 928-938.
[7]	杨蓉欣, 原野, 袁媛, 杨雨青, 武艺超. 陕北黄土高原生态系统服务与人类福祉关系的尺度依赖性——基于生态恢复与社会发展双重驱动[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(5): 949-962.
[8]	陈文宣, 陈钰, 王生隆. 黄河流域农业碳排放时空演化特征及其影响因素分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(4): 713-726.
[9]	郝晓燕, 李玥蓉, 吴月. 黄河流域物流业全要素碳生产率测度及影响因素——基于能源禀赋差异视角[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(4): 756-768.
[10]	王伟军, 李娟, 李花. 黄河流域旅游-生态-福祉耦合协调的多尺度时空演化及分异机理[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(4): 683-696.
[11]	卢昭东, 秦璐, 马燕. 新质生产力对中国旅游经济高质量发展的影响[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(3): 451-461.
[12]	王生霞, 武芯如. 中国西北地区数字经济与旅游经济韧性的协同演化[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(3): 462-473.
[13]	王慧丽, 李妞, 刘英, 刘咏涵. 黄河流域水资源-生态韧性动态耦合与级层障碍解析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(3): 569-580.
[14]	高俊杰, 仲俊涛, 马勇洁, 陈颖慧. 青海湖国家公园农户现代化与生计稳定性耦合协调研究[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(3): 631-642.
[15]	周文丽, 武珊珊, 苏鹏. 新质生产力对旅游业高质量发展的影响效应研究——基于黄河流域9省区的实证[J]. 干旱区地理, 2026, 49(2): 224-234.