• 生态与环境 •

### 基于环境库兹涅茨模型对铜川市近几年经济与环境特征分析

1. 1. 宝鸡文理学院陕西省灾害监测与机理模拟重点实验室, 陕西宝鸡 721013;
2. 铜川市环境监测站, 陕西铜川 727000
• 收稿日期:2014-12-17 修回日期:2015-02-09 出版日期:2015-09-25
• 通讯作者: 范拴喜.Email:fanshuanxi123@sina.com E-mail:fanshuanxi123@sina.com
• 作者简介:王陆军(1960-),男,教授,硕士,主要从事环境分析与评价研究.Email:wanglujun2014@126.com
• 基金资助:

陕西省重点实验室项目(编号:11JS013);宝鸡市科技计划项目(编号:11R03-8,2013R6-2)

### Characteristics of economic and environment in Tongchuan City based on environmental Kuznets Curve(EKC)model

WANG Lu-jun1, FAN Shuan-xi1, BAI Hui-li2

1. 1. Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Disaster Monitoring and Mechanism Simulation, Baoji University of Arts and Sciences, Baoji 721013, Shaanxi, China;
2. Environmental Monitoring of Tongchuan, Tongchuan 727000, Shaanxi, China
• Received:2014-12-17 Revised:2015-02-09 Online:2015-09-25

Abstract: Based on researches on the model of environmental Kuznets curve conducted by domestic and foreign scholars, per capita GDP and environmental pollution data of Tongchuan City, Shaanxi Province, China during 2001-2013 as main research object, the model of environmental Kuznets curve was established, and the regression analysis were performed with SPSS. On that basis, this paper collected the optimal environmental Kuznets curve models of suitable for the per capita GDP and pollution characteristics about Tongchuan during, and environmental Kuznets curve was produced, and analyzed them. The results show that environmental improvements will not happen automatically with economic growth. The economic growth is a necessary and not a sufficient condition for environmental improvements. The data between per capita GDP and pollution characteristics for Tongchuan did not produce an inverted-U curve. The per capita GDP grow synchronously with industrial wastewater discharge and industrial COD emission. It presented the left of inverted-U curve between the industrial emissions of NH3-N, waste gas, SO2, smoke and solid waste produced volume and per capita GDP, and promising reaching the inflection point. There is still a great environmental pressure in Tongchuan. With the efforts from all the respects, the environmental and economic development could progress in coordination. The discusses on economic and environment in Tongchuan will be helpful to elaborate the quantitative relationship between economic growth and environmental pollution, and to analyze the changing regularity between the economic growth and environmental quality. Moreover, it provides policy-making reference and management measures for coordinated development of environment and economy in Tongchuan, also it sets up scientific foundation for the comprehensive implementation of "Ecological and Leisure City".

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