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干旱区地理 ›› 1988, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (2): 55-60.doi: 10.13826/j.cnki.cn65-1103/x.1988.02.010

• • 上一篇    下一篇

国土规划工作中的预测技术

陈正江   

  1. 中国科学院新疆地理研究所
  • 出版日期:1988-06-25 发布日期:2025-12-25

FORECASTING TECHNIQUE IN TERRITORY PLANNING WORKS

Chen Zhengjiang   

  1. Xinjiang Institute of geography,Academia Sinica
  • Published:1988-06-25 Online:2025-12-25

摘要: 预测是计划工作中至为重要的基础工作之一。本文结合国土规划工作中经常遇到的几个预测问题:人口与劳动力,可能投资,可能经济增长,科学技术与生产力发展等,浅论了现代预测技术在国土规划工作中的应用。

关键词: 国土规划, 预测技术, 因果预测, 时间序列预测, 定性预测

Abstract: For the development of calculating technique,the forecasting technique has been more and more used in the complex system of socio-economic areas. Territory planning is a regional economy planning work,which requires a great deal of support of forecasting technique as well.
In this paper,writer related the utilizations of technique in territory planning works by examples of some general forecasting objects,which are: 1)the population and labours;2)the possible investment;3)the possible eco-nomy growth;4)the effect of development of science,technique produ-ction forces.
This paper just presented the uses of forecasting technique in the terri-tory planning works in general terms.writer aims to emphasize that the modern scientific forecasting technique should be used in territory planning works.