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干旱区地理 ›› 2016, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (5): 967-978.

• 丝绸之路经济带中国-哈萨克斯坦国际合作专栏 • 上一篇    下一篇

丝绸之路经济带陆路边境口岸城市地缘战略优势度综合评估

于晓华1,2, 方创琳1, 罗奎1,2   

  1. 1 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 北京 100101;
    2 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049
  • 收稿日期:2016-05-11 修回日期:2016-07-01 出版日期:2016-09-25
  • 通讯作者: 方创琳.Email:fangcl@igsnrr.ac.cn
  • 作者简介:于晓华(1991-),女,山东青岛人,硕士,主要研究方向为城市与区域规划.Email:yuxh.14s@igsnrr.ac.cn
  • 基金资助:

    中国科学院重点部署项目“一带一路”典型区域地缘环境系统演化模拟研究(编号ZDRW-ZS-2016-6-2);中国科学院国际合作重点项目“丝绸之路经济带中哈国际合作示范区建设思路研究”(编号131A11KYSB20150031)资助

Comprehensive evaluation of the advantage value of geopolitical strategy of frontier port cities under the background of the Silk Road Economic Belt

YU Xiao-hua1,2, FANG Chuang-lin1, LUO Kui1,2   

  1. 1 Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing 100101, China;
    2 University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
  • Received:2016-05-11 Revised:2016-07-01 Online:2016-09-25

摘要: “丝绸之路经济带”战略背景下,边境口岸城市作为中国对外开放的重要门户,成为新常态下中国与邻国共同发展的增长节点,成为“丝绸之路经济带”建设的重要依托点,其发展态势决定着该战略实施建设的成效。口岸城市的发展主要依托相应口岸的建设,具有不同地域条件及发展基础的边境口岸拥有不同的发展优势及潜力。通过对“丝绸之路经济带”战略及口岸地缘战略优势内涵的深入了解,提出地缘战略优势度的概念,从政策支持、通关条件、区域支撑、基础设施和民族文化5个影响因素出发,构建了包含18个具体指标的口岸地缘战略优势度的综合评估体系,从而对陆路边境口岸城市的发展现状及其未来发展潜力进行定量评估。并且以此为依据,将陆路边境口岸划分为6个等级,探索不同优势度等级的陆路边境口岸发展存在的问题以及其所依托城市未来的发展前景,从而提出有利于口岸城市发展的优化政策与建议。

关键词: 丝绸之路经济带, 陆路边境口岸城市, 地缘战略优势度, 模糊层次分析法

Abstract: Under the background of the Silk Road Economic Belt,port cities as the important portal of China's opening-up,has become the new growth of the common development between China and its neighbors and the important relying point of the "Silk Road Economic Belt" construction. Its developmental trend determines the effectiveness of the implementation and construction of the strategy. The development of port cities mainly relies on the construction of the corresponding ports. Frontier ports with different regional condition and development foundation have different developmental advantages and potentials. Based on the deep understanding of the Silk Road Economic Belt strategy and the connotation of geostrategic dominance,we innovatively proposed the concept of the advantage value of geopolitical strategy. Based on the relevant data of China port statistical Yearbook 2014,and by using the Fuzzy AHP method,we constructed a comprehensive assessment system of the advantage value of geopolitical strategy which contained 18 specific indicators from 5 aspects including policy support,customs clearance conditions,regional support,infrastructure and culture,to quantitatively assess the current situation and future development potential of frontier port cities. AHP Fuzzy is the combination of the quantitative feature and objectiveness of AHP and the inclusiveness of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method,can considers the factors more comprehensively and less subjectively,therefore has a stronger applicability. When determining the weight of each factor while evaluating the strategic advantage,for the development of a single port,relevant policy is the biggest support,clearance conditions is an important guarantee,location condition is the necessary support,infrastructure is the key point of construction,and national culture is the main supplement. Therefore,the importance of the five factors,from more to less,ranks as:the policy support,customs clearance conditions,regional support,infrastructure,and national culture. Overall,we can see that:the frontier port cities which have different advantage value grades distribute more evenly; Xinjiang ports and the corresponding cities have the significant differences; the Timbuktu port and tower city have more potential for greater development. At present, the support and promote effect of the port on the Silk Road Economic Zone is increasingly obvious,and it will also effectively develop the great potential of economic development in Xinjiang. Thus,although Xinjiang is closed and behind as a border province,it also has the forefront of developing export-oriented economy. As long as we hold on the strategic opportunity of the Silk Road Economic Belt and strengthen the economic ties and cooperation between Xinjiang and its neighboring countries,not only can it promotes Xinjiang into a "core area" of the Silk Road Economic Belt and shorten the gap between the East and the West,but also it helps form a good demonstration effect,promote the smooth implementation of effective strategies,and realize the new concept of globalization in the long term.

Key words: the Silk Road Economic Belt, port cities with land border, advantage value of geopolitical strategy, Fuzzy AHP

中图分类号: 

  • K901.4