1 宝鸡文理学院/陕西省灾害监测与机理模拟重点实验室,陕西 宝鸡 721013; 2 西北农林科技大学水土保持研究所,陕西 杨凌 712100; 3 兰州区域气候中心,甘肃 兰州 730020
收稿日期: 2019-07-19
修回日期: 2019-12-07
网络出版日期: 2020-05-25
基金资助
国家自然基金青年基金项目（41705062）；陕西省重点实验室项目（16JS005）；陕西省社会科学基金（2015D057）；甘肃省气象局人才项目（GSMArc2019-06）；宝鸡文理学院重点项目（ZK16014）；陕西省重点学科自然地理学资助
Assessment and zoning of vulnerability of agricultural flood diaster in Baoji City based on county scale
Received date: 2019-07-19
Revised date: 2019-12-07
Online published: 2020-05-25
徐玉霞, 许小明, 方锋, 贺锐
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县域尺度下的宝鸡市农业洪水灾害脆弱性评价及区划[J]. 干旱区地理, 2020
Floods are a natural phenomenon.The frequency of flooding disasters will increase if there is an imbalance between people and the land.Agricultural floods occur because of the interaction between natural and socio-economic factors.The vulnerability and adaptability of the disaster-affected bodies affect the vulnerability of agricultural floods.As a critical agricultural city and population gathering area in the western part of the Guanzhong area,Shaanxi Province,China,the landform types of Baoji City in the area are complex and diverse.Owing to the inter-annual and seasonal fluctuations in the East Asian summer monsoon,the flood disasters in Baoji City are frequent and serious,and the damage caused by flood disasters is second only to drought disasters.Therefore,it is critical to conduct a risk assessment and zoning research of agricultural floods.Based on the precipitation data in 2014 and the socio-economic statistics in 2015,this study initially discussed with the vulnerability and adaptability factors and selected 12 subindexes,including annual precipitation.We constructed the index system and evaluation model for the vulnerability assessment of agricultural flood disasters in Baoji City and determined the weight by using a mean-variance weighting method.The vulnerability of agricultural flood disasters in the study area was comprehensively evaluated and zoned using ArcGIS 10.2 technology from the perspective of a county scale.Results show the following:(1) The high-vulnerability area is concentrated in the districts and counties with high annual precipitation and the large proportion of cultivated land in Daishan County and Jintai District.(2) Highly adaptable areas include economically developed areas such as Weibin District and Jintai District.(3) High-vulnerability areas are Taibai County and Qianyang County.The higher vulnerability areas are Jixian,Linyou,Daishan,and Fufeng,the mediumfragile areas are the Chencang District and Fengxiang County,and the lowvulnerability areas are the Jintai District,Weibin District,Meixian County,and Feng County.Overall,the highfragility areas of agricultural floods in Baoji City are concentrated in the northeastern part of the county.Agricultural floods are generally manifested in areas such as the Weihe River and Qianhe River,the mountain river catchment areas,channel coasts,and closed low-lying basins.The Baoji Municipal government and relevant departments should formulate the necessary disaster prevention and mitigation measures to reduce agricultural flood damage based on the characteristics of the cultivated environment,economic development level,population distribution pattern,and land-use structure of each district and county.Among them,ecological disaster reduction is a practical and effective measure to cope with flood disasters.The zoning results are consistent with the disaster situation in Baoji City,which could provide a reliable reference for the comprehensive management of regional agricultural floods.As there are few studies on flood disasters in small and medium-scale areas with complex topographical conditions of the past,this study is aimed at Baoji City,a mesoscale area with complex topographical and geomorphological conditions in a typical monsoon climate zone.We analyzed and evaluated the vulnerability of local agricultural flood disasters and proposed countermeasures.We believe that the occurrence of agricultural floods in small-scale regional areas is characterized by locality,suddenness,uncertainty,and difficulty in forecasting.The early warning,forecasting,and monitoring are of great practical significance for reducing the vulnerability and mitigating the actual damage.
Key words：
agricultural
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