中国农业农村现代化发展水平测度及其协调性研究
收稿日期: 2023-07-05
修回日期: 2023-08-24
网络出版日期: 2024-01-26
基金资助
国家社会科学基金一般项目(21BJY196)
Measurement and its coordination of the development level of agricultural and rural modernization in China
Received date: 2023-07-05
Revised date: 2023-08-24
Online published: 2024-01-26
推进农业农村现代化是全面建设社会主义现代化强国的重大任务。通过构建评价指标体系测度2010—2020年中国30个省（市、区）的农业农村现代化发展水平并分析其时空特征，引入耦合协调度模型分析农业现代化与农村现代化协调性并探索其空间相关性，通过判断相对滞后类型发现农业农村现代化发展的短板。结果显示：（1） 2010—2020年中国农业农村现代化、农村现代化和农业现代化发展水平均为波动上升趋势；农业农村现代化中高和高水平等级小范围集聚在沿海地区，其余地区则均为中低和低水平等级；农业现代化发展水平和农村现代化发展水平空间分布差异较大。（2） 农业现代化与农村现代化耦合协调度不断提高，但高值与低值集聚区对立趋势增强。（3） 耦合协调等级优劣与农业农村现代化发展水平等级高低呈同向相关。初级协调及以上类型中上海、天津、北京表现为农业现代化发展水平相对滞后，山东、浙江、福建表现为农村现代化发展水平相对滞后，江苏、广东则较均衡发展；其他地区属于勉强协调及以下类型，表现为农村现代化发展水平相对滞后或农业现代化发展水平和农村现代化发展水平“双低”且失调。
孟晓 , 田明华 , 杜磊 , 马爽 . 中国农业农村现代化发展水平测度及其协调性研究[J]. 干旱区地理, 2024 , 47(1) : 137 -146 . DOI: 10.12118/j.issn.1000－6060.2023.339
Promoting the modernization of agriculture and rural areas is a major task in the overall development of a powerful socialist modernization country. This study constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system to measure the level of agricultural and rural modernization development in 30 provinces (cities, autonomous regions) of China from 2010 to 2020 and analyzes their spatiotemporal characteristics. The coupling coordination degree model is introduced to analyze the coordination between agricultural and rural modernization and to explore its spatial correlation. Identify the shortcomings of agricultural and rural modernization development by judging the lagging types. The results are as follows: (1) From 2010 to 2020, the level of agricultural and rural modernization, rural modernization, and agricultural modernization development in China exhibited a fluctuating upward trend. Higher levels of agricultural and rural modernization are concentrated in small areas along the coast, whereas the rest of the areas are at lower levels. Furthermore, there is a significant spatial difference between the development level of agricultural and rural modernization. (2) The coupling and coordination between agricultural and rural modernization are constantly improving; however, the trend of opposition between high and low-value agglomeration areas is increasing. (3) Shanghai, Tianjin, and Beijing have a relatively low level of agricultural modernization development; Shandong, Zhejiang, and Fujian have a relatively low level of rural modernization development, whereas Jiangsu and Guangdong have a balanced level of both. Other regions belong to the category of barely coordinated or below, with backward levels of rural modernization development or low and imbalanced levels of agricultural and rural modernization development.
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